Jupiler Pro LeagueSat 31 Oct 2026 · 17:15 GMTMatchday 10 · Maurice Dufrasne, Liege

Standard Liege v Kortrijk match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Standard Liege are favoured at home with the model giving them a 62% chance of victory. The match shows an expected goals total of 2.66, with Standard projected to create 1.84 and Kortrijk 0.82—a gap of 1.02 in Standard's favour. Both teams are in poor form, with Standard winning one of their last five and Kortrijk winning one of theirs.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 61%Standard Liege win
  • 24%Draw
  • 15%Kortrijk win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Standard LiegeStandard Liege

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Genk
  2. lost0–1v Charleroi
  3. lost1–2at Gent
  4. lost2–4at KVC Westerlo
  5. won1–0v Antwerp
KortrijkKortrijk

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–3at Genk
  2. won1–0v SK Beveren
  3. lost0–3at RAAL La Louvière
  4. lost0–2v Zulte Waregem
  5. lost0–1at Anderlecht

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Standard Liege won 19 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Kortrijk avoided defeat in 2 of 20 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Kortrijk's last 10 away league games.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of Kortrijk's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Standard Liege 3, draws 2, Kortrijk 3

Goals: Standard Liege 5, Kortrijk 6

DateMatchScore
10 Jan 2025Standard Liege v Kortrijk1–0
18 Aug 2024Kortrijk v Standard Liege1–0
20 Jan 2024Standard Liege v Kortrijk0–1
26 Aug 2023Kortrijk v Standard Liege1–1
12 Feb 2023Standard Liege v Kortrijk0–2
28 Aug 2022Kortrijk v Standard Liege0–1
20 Mar 2022Kortrijk v Standard Liege0–1
30 Oct 2021Standard Liege v Kortrijk1–1

Home and away

Standard Liege

Standard Liege at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostCharleroi11 Oct 20260–1
  • WonAntwerp5 Sep 20261–0
  • WonRAAL La Louvière21 Aug 20262–0
  • DrawnCercle Brugge8 Aug 20262–2
  • LostCharleroi23 May 20260–2

Standard Liege: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Kortrijk

Kortrijk away

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostGenk10 Oct 20260–3
  • LostRAAL La Louvière13 Sep 20260–3
  • LostAnderlecht3 Sep 20260–1
  • LostClub Brugge KV7 Aug 20260–3
  • WonCercle Brugge3 May 20252–0

Kortrijk: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 19 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Standard Liege
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Genk · Jupiler Pro League
Next match
6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk
Last match
21 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Genk · Jupiler Pro League
Next match
4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Standard Liege

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreStandard LiegeLeague sides
Scored first19 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 32 matches640 won, 195 drawn, 122 lost in 957 matches
Conceded first6 won, 5 drawn, 25 lost in 36 matches122 won, 195 drawn, 640 lost in 957 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 18 drawn, 14 lost in 43 matches241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 15 drawn, 9 lost in 30 matches170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes13 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches336 won, 94 drawn, 21 lost in 451 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches118 won, 336 drawn, 118 lost in 572 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches105 won, 366 drawn, 105 lost in 576 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 21 drawn, 20 lost in 59 matches526 won, 410 drawn, 526 lost in 1462 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 20 drawn, 17 lost in 53 matches378 won, 342 drawn, 378 lost in 1098 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreStandard LiegeLeague sides
All matches14 scored, 28 conceded (77)686 scored, 686 conceded (2062)
When leading after 75 minutes0 scored, 9 conceded (27)268 scored, 243 conceded (743)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 8 conceded (25)175 scored, 175 conceded (576)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 11 conceded (25)243 scored, 268 conceded (743)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 14(league sides: 1,093 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 481)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Kortrijk

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreKortrijkLeague sides
Conceded first1 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 20 matches122 won, 195 drawn, 640 lost in 957 matches
Level after 15 minutes6 won, 3 drawn, 12 lost in 21 matches526 won, 410 drawn, 526 lost in 1462 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreKortrijkLeague sides
All matches6 scored, 14 conceded (32)686 scored, 686 conceded (2062)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 23 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 5(league sides: 1,093 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 481)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Standard LiegeKortrijk
77Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG32Since 3 Nov 2024
95.39xG for36.06
78Goals scored33
118.62xG against52.56
92Goals conceded62

Standard Liege

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Standard Liege: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Genk1.483.321–2
11 Oct 2026v Charleroi1.780.990–1
18 Sep 2026at Gent1.111.301–2
12 Sep 2026at KVC Westerlo1.221.412–4
5 Sep 2026v Antwerp3.420.831–0
29 Aug 2026at OH Leuven1.361.892–1
21 Aug 2026v RAAL La Louvière1.151.072–0
16 Aug 2026at KV Mechelen1.642.753–3
8 Aug 2026v Cercle Brugge2.601.472–2
23 May 2026v Charleroi0.581.910–2

Kortrijk

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Kortrijk: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Genk0.701.830–3
20 Sep 2026v SK Beveren2.250.421–0
13 Sep 2026at RAAL La Louvière0.813.580–3
6 Sep 2026v Zulte Waregem0.551.190–2
3 Sep 2026at Anderlecht0.461.500–1
29 Aug 2026v Charleroi1.201.691–3
15 Aug 2026v Antwerp0.771.190–3
7 Aug 2026at Club Brugge KV1.023.490–3
10 May 2025v St. Truiden1.583.432–2
3 May 2025at Cercle Brugge1.110.962–0

This league season

Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Standard LiegeKortrijk
9 of 9Matches with xG8 of 8
11Points in those matches3
12.89xPts7.18
15.76xG for7.76
15.03xG against14.89

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Standard Liege and Kortrijk

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 31 Oct 2026, 16:13 GMT · not changed since

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