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Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht
4–1Finished
KVC Westerlo
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:45 GMTMatchday 10 · Lotto Park, Brussels

Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Anderlecht are slight favourites against Westerlo in a competitive Belgian First Division A clash. The model gives the hosts a 51% chance of winning, with expected goals of 1.84 for Anderlecht and 1.25 for Westerlo, a gap of 0.59 in the hosts' favour, and a combined total of 3.09 suggesting an open match.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 51%Anderlecht win
  • 24%Draw
  • 25%KVC Westerlo win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

AnderlechtAnderlecht

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–4at Gent
  2. won3–0at Jagiellonia
  3. lost0–1at Dinamo Zagreb
  4. won2–1at Cercle Brugge
  5. won3–0v Zulte Waregem
KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo

Last 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats

  1. drew4–4v SK Beveren
  2. won5–1v Antwerp
  3. won2–0at St. Truiden
  4. won4–2v Standard Liege
  5. won4–0at KV Mechelen

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Anderlecht won 34 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • KVC Westerlo won 22 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Anderlecht's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Anderlecht's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Anderlecht 3, draws 2, KVC Westerlo 3

Goals: Anderlecht 13, KVC Westerlo 14

DateMatchScore
7 Dec 2025KVC Westerlo v Anderlecht4–0
27 Jul 2025Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo5–2
9 Mar 2025KVC Westerlo v Anderlecht2–0
14 Sep 2024Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo2–2
1 Dec 2023KVC Westerlo v Anderlecht1–3
20 Aug 2023Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo2–1
9 Apr 2023Anderlecht v KVC Westerlo0–0
11 Sep 2022KVC Westerlo v Anderlecht2–1

Home and away

Anderlecht

Anderlecht at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonZulte Waregem19 Sep 20263–0
  • LostLyonUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnGenk6 Sep 20260–0
  • WonKortrijk3 Sep 20261–0
  • WonKairat AlmatyUEFA Europa League27 Aug 20263–0

Anderlecht: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
KVC Westerlo

KVC Westerlo away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonSt. Truiden20 Sep 20262–0
  • WonKV Mechelen5 Sep 20264–0
  • LostLommel United23 Aug 20260–4
  • LostGenk15 Aug 20262–3
  • LostAntwerp23 May 20260–2

KVC Westerlo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Anderlecht
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Gent · Jupiler Pro League
Next match
5 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League
KVC Westerlo
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Charleroi · Jupiler Pro League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Anderlecht

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreAnderlechtLeague sides
Scored first34 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 44 matches641 won, 195 drawn, 122 lost in 958 matches
Conceded first8 won, 4 drawn, 32 lost in 44 matches122 won, 195 drawn, 641 lost in 958 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 35 matches241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches
1 goal down at half-time4 won, 1 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches44 won, 99 drawn, 305 lost in 448 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches326 won, 105 drawn, 31 lost in 462 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes5 won, 2 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches31 won, 105 drawn, 326 lost in 462 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches337 won, 94 drawn, 21 lost in 452 matches
Level after 70 minutes8 won, 10 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches118 won, 336 drawn, 118 lost in 572 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes18 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches324 won, 81 drawn, 9 lost in 414 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches105 won, 366 drawn, 105 lost in 576 matches
Level after 15 minutes30 won, 12 drawn, 18 lost in 60 matches527 won, 410 drawn, 527 lost in 1464 matches
1 goal down after 15 minutes4 won, 2 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches38 won, 60 drawn, 177 lost in 275 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches256 won, 90 drawn, 50 lost in 396 matches
Level after 30 minutes21 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 44 matches378 won, 342 drawn, 378 lost in 1098 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes4 won, 1 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches50 won, 90 drawn, 256 lost in 396 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAnderlechtLeague sides
All matches39 scored, 30 conceded (94)686 scored, 686 conceded (2064)
When leading after 75 minutes18 scored, 14 conceded (42)268 scored, 243 conceded (744)
When trailing after 75 minutes13 scored, 10 conceded (33)243 scored, 268 conceded (744)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,094 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 481)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

KVC Westerlo

Since 1 Nov 2024

ScoreKVC WesterloLeague sides
Scored first22 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 34 matches641 won, 195 drawn, 122 lost in 958 matches
Conceded first5 won, 7 drawn, 25 lost in 37 matches122 won, 195 drawn, 641 lost in 958 matches
1 goal up at half-time16 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches305 won, 99 drawn, 44 lost in 448 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 23 matches170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes14 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches337 won, 94 drawn, 21 lost in 452 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches105 won, 366 drawn, 105 lost in 576 matches
Level after 15 minutes18 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 50 matches527 won, 410 drawn, 527 lost in 1464 matches
Level after 30 minutes11 won, 13 drawn, 16 lost in 40 matches378 won, 342 drawn, 378 lost in 1098 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreKVC WesterloLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 25 conceded (77)686 scored, 686 conceded (2064)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 9 conceded (24)268 scored, 243 conceded (744)
When level after 75 minutes9 scored, 7 conceded (26)175 scored, 175 conceded (576)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 9 conceded (27)243 scored, 268 conceded (744)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 22(league sides: 1,094 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 481)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

AnderlechtKVC Westerlo
77Since 3 Nov 2024Matches with xG77Since 1 Nov 2024
113.38xG for126.01
115Goals scored122
108.70xG against126.04
100Goals conceded121

Anderlecht

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Anderlecht: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Gent1.551.890–4
10 Oct 2026at Cercle Brugge1.061.022–1
19 Sep 2026v Zulte Waregem2.590.993–0
11 Sep 2026at KV Mechelen0.911.231–0
6 Sep 2026v Genk0.700.400–0
3 Sep 2026v Kortrijk1.500.461–0
30 Aug 2026at Union St. Gilloise1.341.600–3
16 Aug 2026at SK Beveren1.270.640–1
9 Aug 2026v RAAL La Louvière3.050.742–1
24 May 2026at Union St. Gilloise0.872.401–5

KVC Westerlo

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
KVC Westerlo: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v SK Beveren2.412.084–4
11 Oct 2026v Antwerp2.280.925–1
20 Sep 2026at St. Truiden1.872.002–0
12 Sep 2026v Standard Liege1.411.224–2
5 Sep 2026at KV Mechelen2.410.584–0
30 Aug 2026v Zulte Waregem2.161.512–2
23 Aug 2026at Lommel United0.651.170–4
15 Aug 2026at Genk0.854.242–3
8 Aug 2026v Union St. Gilloise0.761.791–5
23 May 2026at Antwerp0.441.550–2

This league season

Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

AnderlechtKVC Westerlo
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
16Points in those matches14
15.36xPts12.66
13.97xG for14.80
8.97xG against15.51

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 31 Oct 2026, 18:43 GMT · not changed since

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