Süper LigSun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11

Rizespor v Erzurumspor FK · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Rizespor win

The model makes Rizespor slight favourites at home, with draws and away victories also in contention. Expected goals total 2.72, with a gap of 0.48 in the hosts' favour. Rizespor's form is concerning at one draw and four defeats in five, while Erzurumspor have won three of their last five matches.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 48%Rizespor win
  • 27%Draw
  • 25%Erzurumspor FK win

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Form · newest first

RizesporRizespor

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  1. drew0–0at Kocaelispor
  2. lost3–4v Trabzonspor
  3. lost1–2at Çorum FK
  4. lost0–3v Fenerbahçe
  5. drew2–2at Göztepe
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. lost1–3v Çorum FK
  2. won3–1at Gaziantep FK
  3. won2–0v Eyüpspor
  4. drew0–0at Alanyaspor
  5. won1–0v Samsunspor

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Rizespor won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 200 of 257.
  • Rizespor without a win in their last 5 home games.

Home and away

Rizespor

Rizespor at home

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostTrabzonspor26 Oct 20263–4
  • LostFenerbahçe10 Oct 20260–3
  • LostAlanyaspor7 Sep 20260–1
  • LostSamsunspor22 Aug 20260–2
  • DrawnBeşiktaş15 May 20262–2

Rizespor: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonGaziantep FK24 Oct 20263–1
  • DrawnAlanyaspor10 Oct 20260–0
  • LostBeşiktaş11 Sep 20260–3
  • DrawnGençlerbirliği S.K.28 Aug 20261–1
  • LostAmed16 Aug 20260–3

Erzurumspor FK: away league games

Last 5 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
4 scored, 8 conceded in 5
Both teams scored
2 of 5
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 5
Clean sheets
1 of 5

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Rizespor
Last match
8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Amed · Süper Lig
Erzurumspor FK
Last match
8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Rizespor

ScoreRizesporLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches
Conceded first5 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 34 matches149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes9 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 70 minutes9 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 13 drawn, 22 lost in 54 matches559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 41 matches403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreRizesporLeague sides
All matches29 scored, 34 conceded (70)759 scored, 759 conceded (2236)
When leading after 75 minutes13 scored, 13 conceded (21)299 scored, 264 conceded (779)
When level after 75 minutes9 scored, 10 conceded (26)196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 11 conceded (23)264 scored, 299 conceded (779)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 17(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

RizesporErzurumspor FK
70Matches with xG—
102.29xG for—
102Goals scored—
89.98xG against—
107Goals conceded—

Rizespor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Rizespor: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Kocaelispor1.240.590–0
26 Oct 2026v Trabzonspor1.812.633–4
16 Oct 2026at Çorum FK0.810.661–2
10 Oct 2026v Fenerbahçe1.520.960–3
20 Sep 2026at Göztepe0.782.782–2
12 Sep 2026at Eyüpspor2.051.422–0
7 Sep 2026v Alanyaspor1.282.070–1
29 Aug 2026at Gaziantep FK1.170.792–1
22 Aug 2026v Samsunspor1.850.330–2
15 Aug 2026at Konyaspor1.520.621–0

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

RizesporErzurumspor FK
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
11Points in those matches14
15.22xPts10.94
14.03xG for8.33
12.85xG against13.29

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 19:33 GMT

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