Rizespor v Erzurumspor FK · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Rizespor win
The model makes Rizespor slight favourites at home, with draws and away victories also in contention. Expected goals total 2.72, with a gap of 0.48 in the hosts' favour. Rizespor's form is concerning at one draw and four defeats in five, while Erzurumspor have won three of their last five matches.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 48%Rizespor win
- 27%Draw
- 25%Erzurumspor FK win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
- drew0–0at Kocaelispor
- lost3–4v Trabzonspor
- lost1–2at Çorum FK
- lost0–3v Fenerbahçe
- drew2–2at Göztepe
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- lost1–3v Çorum FK
- won3–1at Gaziantep FK
- won2–0v Eyüpspor
- drew0–0at Alanyaspor
- won1–0v Samsunspor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data isn’t available yet.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Rizespor won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 200 of 257.
- Rizespor without a win in their last 5 home games.
Home and away
Rizespor at home
Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost
- LostTrabzonspor26 Oct 20263–4
- LostFenerbahçe10 Oct 20260–3
- LostAlanyaspor7 Sep 20260–1
- LostSamsunspor22 Aug 20260–2
- DrawnBeşiktaş15 May 20262–2
Rizespor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Erzurumspor FK away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- WonGaziantep FK24 Oct 20263–1
- DrawnAlanyaspor10 Oct 20260–0
- LostBeşiktaş11 Sep 20260–3
- DrawnGençlerbirliği S.K.28 Aug 20261–1
- LostAmed16 Aug 20260–3
Erzurumspor FK: away league games
Last 5 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 4 scored, 8 conceded in 5
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 5
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Kocaelispor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Amed · Süper Lig
- Last match
- 8 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Rizespor
| Score | Rizespor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 20 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 34 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 32 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 19 won, 13 drawn, 22 lost in 54 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 41 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Rizespor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 29 scored, 34 conceded (70) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 13 conceded (21) | 299 scored, 264 conceded (779) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 10 conceded (26) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 11 conceded (23) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 17(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Erzurumspor FK | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Matches with xG | — |
| 102.29 | xG for | — |
| 102 | Goals scored | — |
| 89.98 | xG against | — |
| 107 | Goals conceded | — |
Rizespor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 1.24 | 0.59 | 0–0 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | v Trabzonspor | 1.81 | 2.63 | 3–4 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | at Çorum FK | 0.81 | 0.66 | 1–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 1.52 | 0.96 | 0–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Göztepe | 0.78 | 2.78 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 2.05 | 1.42 | 2–0 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.28 | 2.07 | 0–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.17 | 0.79 | 2–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Samsunspor | 1.85 | 0.33 | 0–2 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Konyaspor | 1.52 | 0.62 | 1–0 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Erzurumspor FK | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 11 | Points in those matches | 14 |
| 15.22 | xPts | 10.94 |
| 14.03 | xG for | 8.33 |
| 12.85 | xG against | 13.29 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Rizespor and Erzurumspor FK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 19:33 GMT
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