Süper LigSat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Chobani Stadium, Istanbul

Fenerbahçe v Göztepe match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 67%Fenerbahçe win
  • 20%Draw
  • 13%Göztepe win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2at Galatasaray
  2. drew2–2v Slavia Praha
  3. won3–0v Alanyaspor
  4. lost0–6at Aston Villa
  5. won3–0at Rizespor
GöztepeGöztepe

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

  1. won2–0v Çorum FK
  2. won2–1at Kocaelispor
  3. won4–0at Eyüpspor
  4. drew2–2v Rizespor
  5. drew2–2at Alanyaspor

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Fenerbahçe won 45 of 56 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Göztepe won 23 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Fenerbahçe won 2 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Fenerbahçe 2, draws 4, Göztepe 0

Goals: Fenerbahçe 9, Göztepe 6

DateMatchScore
25 Jan 2026Fenerbahçe v Göztepe1–1
16 Aug 2025Göztepe v Fenerbahçe0–0
26 Jan 2025Fenerbahçe v Göztepe3–2
17 Aug 2024Göztepe v Fenerbahçe2–2
16 Apr 2022Fenerbahçe v Göztepe2–0
29 Nov 2021Göztepe v Fenerbahçe1–1

Home and away

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe at home

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnSlavia PrahaUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20262–2
  • WonAlanyaspor17 Oct 20263–0
  • WonEyüpspor20 Sep 20268–0
  • DrawnAS RomaUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–1
  • LostBeşiktaş5 Sep 20261–2

Fenerbahçe: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
32 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
9 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Göztepe

Göztepe away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonKocaelispor18 Oct 20262–1
  • WonEyüpspor12 Oct 20264–0
  • DrawnAlanyaspor12 Sep 20262–2
  • LostGalatasaray29 Aug 20262–3
  • DrawnSamsunspor17 Aug 20263–3

Göztepe: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
18 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Fenerbahçe
Last match
5 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Galatasaray · Süper Lig
Next match
4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Liverpool · UEFA Champions League
Göztepe
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Başakşehir · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Fenerbahçe

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreFenerbahçeLeague sides
Scored first45 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 56 matches680 won, 198 drawn, 148 lost in 1026 matches
Conceded first13 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 37 matches148 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1026 matches
1 goal up at half-time22 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches318 won, 109 drawn, 56 lost in 483 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches234 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 251 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes19 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches347 won, 100 drawn, 44 lost in 491 matches
Level after 60 minutes11 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 28 matches200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches298 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 306 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes23 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches341 won, 86 drawn, 27 lost in 454 matches
Level after 70 minutes6 won, 18 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes33 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 33 matches334 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 338 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches362 won, 71 drawn, 11 lost in 444 matches
Level after 80 minutes6 won, 20 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes37 won, 21 drawn, 12 lost in 70 matches557 won, 462 drawn, 557 lost in 1576 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes19 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches271 won, 99 drawn, 67 lost in 437 matches
Level after 30 minutes22 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 45 matches401 won, 358 drawn, 401 lost in 1160 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFenerbahçeLeague sides
All matches47 scored, 20 conceded (101)752 scored, 752 conceded (2224)
When leading after 75 minutes25 scored, 9 conceded (52)296 scored, 260 conceded (773)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 3 conceded (27)196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 8 conceded (22)260 scored, 296 conceded (773)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 13, by full time 32(league sides: 1,182 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 526)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Göztepe

Since 1 Nov 2024

ScoreGöztepeLeague sides
Scored first23 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 40 matches680 won, 198 drawn, 148 lost in 1026 matches
Conceded first3 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 23 matches148 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1026 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches318 won, 109 drawn, 56 lost in 483 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 19 drawn, 12 lost in 47 matches557 won, 462 drawn, 557 lost in 1576 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 18 drawn, 12 lost in 43 matches401 won, 358 drawn, 401 lost in 1160 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGöztepeLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 20 conceded (70)752 scored, 752 conceded (2224)
When leading after 75 minutes10 scored, 10 conceded (29)296 scored, 260 conceded (773)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 2 conceded (20)196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 8 conceded (21)260 scored, 296 conceded (773)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 14(league sides: 1,182 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 526)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

FenerbahçeGöztepe
70Since 3 Nov 2024Matches with xG70Since 1 Nov 2024
145.66xG for114.99
170Goals scored104
69.25xG against80.79
77Goals conceded87

Fenerbahçe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fenerbahçe: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
26 Oct 2026at Galatasaray0.312.271–2
17 Oct 2026v Alanyaspor3.770.993–0
10 Oct 2026at Rizespor0.961.523–0
20 Sep 2026v Eyüpspor5.140.728–0
14 Sep 2026at Gaziantep FK1.340.490–0
5 Sep 2026v Beşiktaş0.591.751–2
30 Aug 2026at Samsunspor1.560.462–0
22 Aug 2026v Konyaspor2.362.154–2
15 Aug 2026at Gençlerbirliği S.K.2.901.191–2
17 May 2026v Eyüpspor1.330.523–3

Göztepe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Göztepe: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Çorum FK1.910.742–0
18 Oct 2026at Kocaelispor0.941.502–1
12 Oct 2026at Eyüpspor3.151.334–0
20 Sep 2026v Rizespor2.780.782–2
12 Sep 2026at Alanyaspor1.791.722–2
7 Sep 2026v Gaziantep FK3.261.882–4
29 Aug 2026at Galatasaray0.632.872–3
23 Aug 2026v Gençlerbirliği S.K.1.921.560–1
17 Aug 2026at Samsunspor1.712.803–3
16 May 2026at Samsunspor2.202.110–3

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

FenerbahçeGöztepe
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
16Points in those matches12
15.44xPts14.23
18.93xG for18.09
11.54xG against15.18

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Fenerbahçe and Göztepe

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
    Ruled out
    N. Ake (Muscle Injury) · M. Asensio (Knee Injury) · A. Brown (Red Card) · J. Oosterwolde (Achilles Tendon Injury)
  • GöztepeGöztepe
    Ruled out
    Allan Godoi (Injury) · F. Bayir (Inactive) · O. Bayrak (Inactive) · I. Sabra (Ankle Injury)
    Doubtful
    L. Gugeshashvili (Inactive) · Rhaldney (Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 14:58 GMT · not changed since

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