Fenerbahçe v Göztepe match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 67%Fenerbahçe win
- 20%Draw
- 13%Göztepe win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- lost1–2at Galatasaray
- drew2–2v Slavia Praha
- won3–0v Alanyaspor
- lost0–6at Aston Villa
- won3–0at Rizespor
Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats
- won2–0v Çorum FK
- won2–1at Kocaelispor
- won4–0at Eyüpspor
- drew2–2v Rizespor
- drew2–2at Alanyaspor
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Fenerbahçe won 45 of 56 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
- Göztepe won 23 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
- Fenerbahçe won 2 of the last 6 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Fenerbahçe 2, draws 4, Göztepe 0
Goals: Fenerbahçe 9, Göztepe 6
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Fenerbahçe v Göztepe | 1–1 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Göztepe v Fenerbahçe | 0–0 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Fenerbahçe v Göztepe | 3–2 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Göztepe v Fenerbahçe | 2–2 |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Fenerbahçe v Göztepe | 2–0 |
| 29 Nov 2021 | Göztepe v Fenerbahçe | 1–1 |
Home and away
Fenerbahçe at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnSlavia PrahaUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20262–2
- WonAlanyaspor17 Oct 20263–0
- WonEyüpspor20 Sep 20268–0
- DrawnAS RomaUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–1
- LostBeşiktaş5 Sep 20261–2
Fenerbahçe: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 32 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 9 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Göztepe away
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- WonKocaelispor18 Oct 20262–1
- WonEyüpspor12 Oct 20264–0
- DrawnAlanyaspor12 Sep 20262–2
- LostGalatasaray29 Aug 20262–3
- DrawnSamsunspor17 Aug 20263–3
Göztepe: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before26 Oct 2026 · v Galatasaray · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 4 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Liverpool · UEFA Champions League
- Last match
- 6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Başakşehir · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Fenerbahçe
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Score | Fenerbahçe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 45 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 56 matches | 680 won, 198 drawn, 148 lost in 1026 matches |
| Conceded first | 13 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 37 matches | 148 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1026 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 22 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 318 won, 109 drawn, 56 lost in 483 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 234 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 251 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 19 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 347 won, 100 drawn, 44 lost in 491 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 11 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 28 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 298 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 306 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches | 341 won, 86 drawn, 27 lost in 454 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 18 drawn, 3 lost in 27 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 33 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 33 matches | 334 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 338 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 18 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 362 won, 71 drawn, 11 lost in 444 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 20 drawn, 0 lost in 26 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 37 won, 21 drawn, 12 lost in 70 matches | 557 won, 462 drawn, 557 lost in 1576 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 19 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches | 271 won, 99 drawn, 67 lost in 437 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 22 won, 16 drawn, 7 lost in 45 matches | 401 won, 358 drawn, 401 lost in 1160 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Fenerbahçe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 47 scored, 20 conceded (101) | 752 scored, 752 conceded (2224) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 25 scored, 9 conceded (52) | 296 scored, 260 conceded (773) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 3 conceded (27) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 8 conceded (22) | 260 scored, 296 conceded (773) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 13, by full time 32(league sides: 1,182 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 526)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Göztepe
Since 1 Nov 2024
| Score | Göztepe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 23 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 40 matches | 680 won, 198 drawn, 148 lost in 1026 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 23 matches | 148 won, 198 drawn, 680 lost in 1026 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 23 matches | 318 won, 109 drawn, 56 lost in 483 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 27 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 20 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 16 won, 19 drawn, 12 lost in 47 matches | 557 won, 462 drawn, 557 lost in 1576 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 13 won, 18 drawn, 12 lost in 43 matches | 401 won, 358 drawn, 401 lost in 1160 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Göztepe | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 25 scored, 20 conceded (70) | 752 scored, 752 conceded (2224) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 10 conceded (29) | 296 scored, 260 conceded (773) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 2 conceded (20) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 8 conceded (21) | 260 scored, 296 conceded (773) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 32 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 14(league sides: 1,182 times, within 15 minutes 205, by full time 526)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Göztepe | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70Since 3 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 70Since 1 Nov 2024 |
| 145.66 | xG for | 114.99 |
| 170 | Goals scored | 104 |
| 69.25 | xG against | 80.79 |
| 77 | Goals conceded | 87 |
Fenerbahçe
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.31 | 2.27 | 1–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 3.77 | 0.99 | 3–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Rizespor | 0.96 | 1.52 | 3–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Eyüpspor | 5.14 | 0.72 | 8–0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.34 | 0.49 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 0.59 | 1.75 | 1–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Samsunspor | 1.56 | 0.46 | 2–0 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Konyaspor | 2.36 | 2.15 | 4–2 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2.90 | 1.19 | 1–2 |
| 17 May 2026 | v Eyüpspor | 1.33 | 0.52 | 3–3 |
Göztepe
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | v Çorum FK | 1.91 | 0.74 | 2–0 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 0.94 | 1.50 | 2–1 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 3.15 | 1.33 | 4–0 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Rizespor | 2.78 | 0.78 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Alanyaspor | 1.79 | 1.72 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 3.26 | 1.88 | 2–4 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.63 | 2.87 | 2–3 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.92 | 1.56 | 0–1 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | at Samsunspor | 1.71 | 2.80 | 3–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Samsunspor | 2.20 | 2.11 | 0–3 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Göztepe | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 16 | Points in those matches | 12 |
| 15.44 | xPts | 14.23 |
| 18.93 | xG for | 18.09 |
| 11.54 | xG against | 15.18 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Fenerbahçe and Göztepe
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Fenerbahçe
- Ruled out
- N. Ake (Muscle Injury) · M. Asensio (Knee Injury) · A. Brown (Red Card) · J. Oosterwolde (Achilles Tendon Injury)
Göztepe
- Ruled out
- Allan Godoi (Injury) · F. Bayir (Inactive) · O. Bayrak (Inactive) · I. Sabra (Ankle Injury)
- Doubtful
- L. Gugeshashvili (Inactive) · Rhaldney (Injury)
Published 31 Oct 2026, 14:58 GMT · not changed since
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