Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Trabzonspor win
Trabzonspor hold a 47% chance of victory against Alanyaspor's 26%, with draws possible at 26%. The visitors arrive in excellent form with four wins from their last five, while Alanyaspor have lost three of five. Trabzonspor are expected to create more chances, with a 0.47 gap in their favour across 2.73 total expected goals.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 27%Alanyaspor win
- 26%Draw
- 47%Trabzonspor win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
AlanyasporLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost0–5at Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- lost1–2v Kocaelispor
- lost0–3at Fenerbahçe
- drew0–0v Erzurumspor FK
- won2–1at Çorum FK
TrabzonsporLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
- lost0–1v SC Freiburg
- won2–0v Gaziantep FK
- won4–3at Rizespor
- won2–0v Heart Of Midlothian
- won2–0v Beşiktaş
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Alanyaspor won 18 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Nov 2024.
- Trabzonspor won 32 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Trabzonspor won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Trabzonspor's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Alanyaspor 3, draws 3, Trabzonspor 4
Goals: Alanyaspor 17, Trabzonspor 19
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor | 1–1 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor | 1–1 |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor | 4–3 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor | 2–1 |
| 4 Mar 2024 | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor | 3–1 |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor | 1–0 |
| 3 Jun 2023 | Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor | 5–1 |
| 9 Jan 2023 | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor | 5–0 |
| 20 Feb 2022 | Alanyaspor v Trabzonspor | 0–4 |
| 27 Sep 2021 | Trabzonspor v Alanyaspor | 1–1 |
Home and away
AlanyasporAlanyaspor at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- LostKocaelispor23 Oct 20261–2
- DrawnErzurumspor FK10 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnGöztepe12 Sep 20262–2
- WonBeşiktaş23 Aug 20261–0
- WonKayserispor9 May 20263–1
Alanyaspor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
TrabzonsporTrabzonspor away
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- WonRizespor26 Oct 20264–3
- WonKuPSUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20264–2
- WonSamsunspor10 Oct 20263–0
- LostKonyaspor12 Sep 20260–1
- LostAmed31 Aug 20261–2
Trabzonspor: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 17 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Alanyaspor- Last match
- 6 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Gençlerbirliği S.K. · Süper Lig
- Next match
- Not known
Trabzonspor- Last match
- 3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v SC Freiburg · UEFA Europa Conference League
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Alanyaspor
Since 24 Nov 2024
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 9 drawn, 18 lost in 29 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 9 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 320 won, 110 drawn, 57 lost in 487 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 18 drawn, 7 lost in 29 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 20 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 20 drawn, 19 lost in 54 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 19 scored, 19 conceded (69) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (29) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 7 conceded (23) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Trabzonspor
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 32 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 43 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 9 drawn, 12 lost in 27 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| Level at half-time | 14 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 348 won, 101 drawn, 45 lost in 494 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 25 won, 14 drawn, 13 lost in 52 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost in 35 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Trabzonspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 27 scored, 20 conceded (72) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 8 conceded (35) | 299 scored, 264 conceded (779) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 22(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 69Since 24 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 70Since 9 Nov 2024 |
| 77.35 | xG for | 107.89 |
| 84 | Goals scored | 132 |
| 95.63 | xG against | 94.80 |
| 93 | Goals conceded | 81 |
Alanyaspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.50 | 1.91 | 0–5 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | v Kocaelispor | 0.47 | 1.54 | 1–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Fenerbahçe | 0.99 | 3.77 | 0–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 0.98 | 1.69 | 0–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Çorum FK | 1.18 | 1.11 | 2–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.72 | 1.79 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Rizespor | 2.07 | 1.28 | 1–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.66 | 1.48 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 0.54 | 0.74 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1–1 |
Trabzonspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 1.23 | 0.67 | 2–0 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | at Rizespor | 2.63 | 1.81 | 4–3 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 2.35 | 1.19 | 2–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Samsunspor | 2.02 | 1.66 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Galatasaray | 2.20 | 0.96 | 4–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Konyaspor | 0.83 | 1.01 | 0–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3.21 | 0.86 | 5–0 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | at Amed | 0.93 | 2.69 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Başakşehir | 2.27 | 1.95 | 2–1 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kasımpaşa | 0.85 | 1.86 | 1–1 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Alanyaspor | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 12 | Points in those matches | 22 |
| 10.04 | xPts | 16.04 |
| 10.36 | xG for | 18.52 |
| 16.59 | xG against | 14.66 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Alanyaspor and Trabzonspor
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 19:08 GMT
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