Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 6 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 36%Gaziantep FK win
- 28%Draw
- 36%Kasımpaşa win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats
- lost0–2at Trabzonspor
- lost1–3v Erzurumspor FK
- lost1–2at Başakşehir
- lost0–3v Çorum FK
- lost0–2at Kocaelispor
Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- drew2–2v Beşiktaş
- won1–0at Eyüpspor
- won4–1v Samsunspor
- lost1–3at Galatasaray
- drew0–0v Konyaspor
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Gaziantep FK won 15 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Kasımpaşa won 16 of 25 matches in which they scored first, since 8 Nov 2024.
- Gaziantep FK without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Kasımpaşa's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Gaziantep FK 4, draws 2, Kasımpaşa 4
Goals: Gaziantep FK 16, Kasımpaşa 17
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa | 2–1 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Kasımpaşa v Gaziantep FK | 2–3 |
| 24 May 2025 | Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa | 2–2 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Kasımpaşa v Gaziantep FK | 2–2 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa | 2–0 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Kasımpaşa v Gaziantep FK | 4–2 |
| 2 Apr 2023 | Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa | 0–3 |
| 1 Oct 2022 | Kasımpaşa v Gaziantep FK | 1–0 |
| 3 Apr 2022 | Kasımpaşa v Gaziantep FK | 2–1 |
| 5 Nov 2021 | Gaziantep FK v Kasımpaşa | 2–0 |
Home and away
Gaziantep FK at home
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostErzurumspor FK24 Oct 20261–3
- LostÇorum FK11 Oct 20260–3
- DrawnFenerbahçe14 Sep 20260–0
- LostRizespor29 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnAlanyaspor15 Aug 20261–1
Gaziantep FK: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Kasımpaşa away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- WonEyüpspor24 Oct 20261–0
- LostGalatasaray9 Oct 20261–3
- WonGençlerbirliği S.K.13 Sep 20262–1
- DrawnBaşakşehir30 Aug 20261–1
- WonÇorum FK22 Aug 20261–0
Kasımpaşa: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 18 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- Not known
- Last match
- 5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Beşiktaş · Süper Lig
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Gaziantep FK
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 5 won, 5 drawn, 28 lost in 38 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| Level at half-time | 9 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 1 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches | 57 won, 110 drawn, 320 lost in 487 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 6 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches | 45 won, 101 drawn, 348 lost in 494 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 46 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 38 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Gaziantep FK | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 14 scored, 33 conceded (70) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 10 conceded (20) | 299 scored, 264 conceded (779) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (24) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 15 conceded (26) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 20(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Kasımpaşa
Since 8 Nov 2024
| Score | Kasımpaşa | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches | 684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 12 drawn, 22 lost in 38 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 22 matches | 57 won, 110 drawn, 320 lost in 487 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 2 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 23 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 2 won, 17 drawn, 9 lost in 28 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 20 drawn, 14 lost in 49 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 2 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 22 matches | 67 won, 100 drawn, 274 lost in 441 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Kasımpaşa | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 32 conceded (69) | 759 scored, 759 conceded (2236) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 12 conceded (22) | 299 scored, 264 conceded (779) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 10 conceded (26) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 10 conceded (21) | 264 scored, 299 conceded (779) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 14, by full time 30(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Kasımpaşa | ||
|---|---|---|
| 69Since 9 Nov 2024 | Matches with xG | 69Since 8 Nov 2024 |
| 86.39 | xG for | 83.06 |
| 83 | Goals scored | 95 |
| 107.74 | xG against | 96.91 |
| 110 | Goals conceded | 106 |
Gaziantep FK
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 0.67 | 1.23 | 0–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 1.15 | 0.65 | 1–3 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | at Başakşehir | 1.13 | 2.03 | 1–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Çorum FK | 0.99 | 2.67 | 0–3 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Kocaelispor | 1.03 | 1.30 | 0–2 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 0.49 | 1.34 | 0–0 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Göztepe | 1.88 | 3.26 | 4–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Rizespor | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 1.16 | 0.49 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1–1 |
Kasımpaşa
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 1.20 | 1.28 | 2–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.59 | 0.43 | 1–0 |
| 18 Oct 2026 | v Samsunspor | 2.60 | 1.13 | 4–1 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | at Galatasaray | 0.49 | 2.52 | 1–3 |
| 18 Sep 2026 | v Konyaspor | 0.59 | 1.22 | 0–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.32 | 1.16 | 2–1 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | v Amed | 1.04 | 1.11 | 2–2 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Başakşehir | 1.69 | 0.76 | 1–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Çorum FK | 0.32 | 1.11 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Trabzonspor | 1.86 | 0.85 | 1–1 |
Gaziantep FK: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Kasımpaşa | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 17 |
| 10.92 | xPts | 13.62 |
| 10.57 | xG for | 11.70 |
| 15.39 | xG against | 11.57 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Gaziantep FK and Kasımpaşa
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Gaziantep FK
- Ruled out
- F. Bavuk (Hamstring Injury) · N. Sangare (Back Injury)
- Doubtful
- S. Dursun (Inactive) · S. Hansen (Inactive) · A. Kizildag (Inactive) · U. Meleke (Injury) · O. Ozcicek (Inactive) · K. Tobiasz (Inactive)
Kasımpaşa
- Ruled out
- K. Corekci (Achilles Tendon Injury) · G. Frimpong (Injury)
- Doubtful
- F. Diabate (Inactive) · A. Karapo (Injury) · K. Mouanga (Inactive) · M. Ouanes (Muscle Injury)
Published 6 Nov 2026, 15:58 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures