Süper Lig0–2Finished

Kocaelispor

Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 10:30 GMTMatchday 11 · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul

Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Eyüpspor a 29% chance of winning, Kocaelispor a 41% chance, and a draw a 30% chance. Eyüpspor's form is dire with five consecutive losses, while Kocaelispor have won two of their last five. Expected goals are 1.02 for Eyüpspor and 1.28 for Kocaelispor. Recent head-to-head matches have been split, with each team winning once.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

29%Eyüpspor win
30%Draw
41%Kocaelispor win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Eyüpspor

Last 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats

lost1–5at Amed
lost0–1v Kasımpaşa
lost0–2at Erzurumspor FK
lost0–4v Göztepe
lost0–8at Fenerbahçe

Kocaelispor

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

drew0–0v Rizespor
won2–1at Alanyaspor
lost1–2v Göztepe
lost1–2at Beşiktaş
won2–0v Gaziantep FK

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Eyüpspor won 16 of 28 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
Kocaelispor avoided defeat in 7 of 24 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 11 Aug 2025.
Not both teams scored in 8 of Eyüpspor's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Eyüpspor 0, draws 0, Kocaelispor 2

Goals: Eyüpspor 0, Kocaelispor 2

Date	Match	Score
9 Mar 2026	Eyüpspor v Kocaelispor	0–1
4 Oct 2025	Kocaelispor v Eyüpspor	1–0

Home and away

Eyüpspor

Eyüpspor at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

LostKasımpaşa24 Oct 20260–1
LostGöztepe12 Oct 20260–4
LostRizespor12 Sep 20260–2
WonAlanyaspor30 Aug 20262–1
LostGaziantep FK23 Aug 20260–1

Eyüpspor: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 10 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 2 of 10

Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

WonAlanyaspor23 Oct 20262–1
LostBeşiktaş11 Oct 20261–2
LostGalatasaray13 Sep 20260–1
WonKonyaspor29 Aug 20262–1
LostBaşakşehir16 Aug 20260–2

Kocaelispor: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 7 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 4 of 10
Clean sheets: 0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Eyüpspor

Last match: 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Amed · Süper Lig
Next match: Not known

Kocaelispor

Last match: 7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
Next match: 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Eyüpspor

Since 9 Nov 2024

Score	Eyüpspor	League sides
Scored first	16 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches	684 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1032 matches
Conceded first	3 won, 1 drawn, 34 lost in 38 matches	149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches
Level at half-time	5 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 28 matches	275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes	6 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches	200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 70 minutes	5 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost in 20 matches	161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
Level after 15 minutes	10 won, 10 drawn, 26 lost in 46 matches	559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes	7 won, 8 drawn, 21 lost in 36 matches	403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Eyüpspor	League sides
All matches	16 scored, 33 conceded (69)	759 scored, 759 conceded (2236)
When leading after 75 minutes	7 scored, 10 conceded (20)	299 scored, 264 conceded (779)
When trailing after 75 minutes	3 scored, 17 conceded (31)	264 scored, 299 conceded (779)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 8(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Kocaelispor

Since 11 Aug 2025

Score	Kocaelispor	League sides
Conceded first	1 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 24 matches	149 won, 199 drawn, 684 lost in 1032 matches
Level at half-time	4 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost in 24 matches	275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes	4 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches	200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 15 minutes	13 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches	559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes	8 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 30 matches	403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
Score	Kocaelispor	League sides
All matches	11 scored, 14 conceded (44)	759 scored, 759 conceded (2236)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 8(league sides: 1,189 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Eyüpspor		Kocaelispor
69Since 9 Nov 2024	Matches with xG	44Since 11 Aug 2025
78.57	xG for	41.57
71	Goals scored	37
114.02	xG against	46.53
112	Goals conceded	47

Eyüpspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Eyüpspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026	at Amed	0.98	4.95	1–5
24 Oct 2026	v Kasımpaşa	0.43	0.59	0–1
17 Oct 2026	at Erzurumspor FK	0.44	1.23	0–2
12 Oct 2026	v Göztepe	1.33	3.15	0–4
20 Sep 2026	at Fenerbahçe	0.72	5.14	0–8
12 Sep 2026	v Rizespor	1.42	2.05	0–2
6 Sep 2026	at Çorum FK	0.73	2.58	0–3
30 Aug 2026	v Alanyaspor	1.48	0.66	2–1
23 Aug 2026	v Gaziantep FK	0.49	1.16	0–1
16 Aug 2026	at Beşiktaş	0.09	1.28	0–1

Kocaelispor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left

Show the numbers

Kocaelispor: Last matches with xG, newest first
Date	Opponent	xG for	xG against	Goals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026	v Rizespor	0.59	1.24	0–0
23 Oct 2026	at Alanyaspor	1.54	0.47	2–1
18 Oct 2026	v Göztepe	1.50	0.94	1–2
11 Oct 2026	at Beşiktaş	1.65	2.21	1–2
19 Sep 2026	v Gaziantep FK	1.30	1.03	2–0
13 Sep 2026	at Galatasaray	0.82	2.26	0–1
6 Sep 2026	v Samsunspor	1.59	1.74	1–0
29 Aug 2026	at Konyaspor	0.76	0.85	2–1
24 Aug 2026	v Amed	1.31	0.60	2–0
16 Aug 2026	at Başakşehir	0.43	1.96	0–2

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Eyüpspor		Kocaelispor
10 of 10	Matches with xG	10 of 10
3	Points in those matches	16
7.04	xPts	12.79
8.11	xG for	11.49
22.79	xG against	13.30

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Eyüpspor and Kocaelispor

Corners won and concededPRO
Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
First-half goals, scored and concededPRO

PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 7 Nov 2026, 09:27 GMT · not changed since

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