Süper LigMon 2 Nov 2026 · 17:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara

Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 2 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Gençlerbirliği and Alanyaspor are tightly matched, with the model giving each a roughly equal chance of winning. Expected goals are nearly level at 1.22 and 1.23 respectively, totalling 2.45. Both teams are struggling for form—Gençlerbirliği have not won in five matches, while Alanyaspor have just one win in their last five. The teams drew 0-0 and 2-2 in their last two meetings.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 36%Gençlerbirliği S.K. win
  • 29%Draw
  • 35%Alanyaspor win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–2at Konyaspor
  2. lost0–1v Galatasaray
  3. drew2–2v Amed
  4. lost0–4at Başakşehir
  5. lost1–2v Kasımpaşa
AlanyasporAlanyaspor

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2v Kocaelispor
  2. lost0–3at Fenerbahçe
  3. drew0–0v Erzurumspor FK
  4. won2–1at Çorum FK
  5. drew2–2v Göztepe

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Gençlerbirliği S.K. avoided defeat in 7 of 25 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
  • Alanyaspor won 18 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0, draws 2, Alanyaspor 0

Goals: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2, Alanyaspor 2

DateMatchScore
9 Mar 2026Alanyaspor v Gençlerbirliği S.K.0–0
4 Oct 2025Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor2–2

Home and away

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostGalatasaray17 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnAmed10 Oct 20262–2
  • LostKasımpaşa13 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnErzurumspor FK28 Aug 20261–1
  • WonFenerbahçe15 Aug 20262–1

Gençlerbirliği S.K.: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostFenerbahçe17 Oct 20260–3
  • WonÇorum FK19 Sep 20262–1
  • WonRizespor7 Sep 20261–0
  • LostEyüpspor30 Aug 20261–2
  • DrawnGaziantep FK15 Aug 20261–1

Alanyaspor: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 13 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Last match
4 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Karaköprü Belediyespor · Türkiye Kupası
Next match
6 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Beşiktaş · Süper Lig
Alanyaspor
Last match
6 days before27 Oct 2026 · v 12 Bingölspor · Türkiye Kupası
Next match
6 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Since 9 Aug 2025

ScoreGençlerbirliği S.K.League sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 25 matches149 won, 199 drawn, 683 lost in 1031 matches
Level after 15 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 16 lost in 31 matches559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 22 matches403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGençlerbirliği S.K.League sides
All matches9 scored, 12 conceded (43)758 scored, 758 conceded (2234)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 25 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 9(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Alanyaspor

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreAlanyasporLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches683 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1031 matches
Conceded first2 won, 9 drawn, 17 lost in 28 matches149 won, 199 drawn, 683 lost in 1031 matches
1 goal up at half-time9 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches319 won, 110 drawn, 57 lost in 486 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 15 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 21 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 21 drawn, 19 lost in 55 matches559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches
Level after 30 minutes14 won, 15 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAlanyasporLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 18 conceded (69)758 scored, 758 conceded (2234)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 8 conceded (30)196 scored, 196 conceded (678)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 6 conceded (22)264 scored, 298 conceded (778)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Alanyaspor
43Since 9 Aug 2025Matches with xG69Since 3 Nov 2024
44.06xG for77.22
43Goals scored84
70.35xG against94.26
65Goals conceded88

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Gençlerbirliği S.K.: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at Konyaspor1.161.840–2
17 Oct 2026v Galatasaray1.161.810–1
10 Oct 2026v Amed0.502.162–2
19 Sep 2026at Başakşehir0.522.740–4
13 Sep 2026v Kasımpaşa1.161.321–2
6 Sep 2026at Trabzonspor0.863.210–5
28 Aug 2026v Erzurumspor FK0.750.861–1
23 Aug 2026at Göztepe1.561.921–0
15 Aug 2026v Fenerbahçe1.192.902–1
17 May 2026at Trabzonspor1.580.573–0

Alanyaspor

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Alanyaspor: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026v Kocaelispor0.471.541–2
17 Oct 2026at Fenerbahçe0.993.770–3
10 Oct 2026v Erzurumspor FK0.981.690–0
19 Sep 2026at Çorum FK1.181.112–1
12 Sep 2026v Göztepe1.721.792–2
7 Sep 2026at Rizespor2.071.281–0
30 Aug 2026at Eyüpspor0.661.481–2
23 Aug 2026v Beşiktaş0.540.741–0
15 Aug 2026at Gaziantep FK1.251.281–1
16 May 2026at Fatih Karagümrük0.741.781–2

This league season

Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.Alanyaspor
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
8Points in those matches12
7.04xPts9.58
8.86xG for9.86
18.76xG against14.68

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.
    Ruled out
    O. Diabate (Yellow Cards) · P. Etebo (Inactive) · K. Rodrigues (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    D. Goutas (Injury) · P. Pereira (Injury)
  • AlanyasporAlanyaspor
    Doubtful
    F. Aksoy (Injury) · P. Fernandes (Injury)

Published 2 Nov 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since

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