Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 2 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Gençlerbirliği and Alanyaspor are tightly matched, with the model giving each a roughly equal chance of winning. Expected goals are nearly level at 1.22 and 1.23 respectively, totalling 2.45. Both teams are struggling for form—Gençlerbirliği have not won in five matches, while Alanyaspor have just one win in their last five. The teams drew 0-0 and 2-2 in their last two meetings.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 36%Gençlerbirliği S.K. win
- 29%Draw
- 35%Alanyaspor win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost0–2at Konyaspor
- lost0–1v Galatasaray
- drew2–2v Amed
- lost0–4at Başakşehir
- lost1–2v Kasımpaşa
Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
- lost1–2v Kocaelispor
- lost0–3at Fenerbahçe
- drew0–0v Erzurumspor FK
- won2–1at Çorum FK
- drew2–2v Göztepe
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Gençlerbirliği S.K. avoided defeat in 7 of 25 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Alanyaspor won 18 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0, draws 2, Alanyaspor 0
Goals: Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2, Alanyaspor 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | Alanyaspor v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0–0 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. v Alanyaspor | 2–2 |
Home and away
Gençlerbirliği S.K. at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostGalatasaray17 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnAmed10 Oct 20262–2
- LostKasımpaşa13 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnErzurumspor FK28 Aug 20261–1
- WonFenerbahçe15 Aug 20262–1
Gençlerbirliği S.K.: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Alanyaspor away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostFenerbahçe17 Oct 20260–3
- WonÇorum FK19 Sep 20262–1
- WonRizespor7 Sep 20261–0
- LostEyüpspor30 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnGaziantep FK15 Aug 20261–1
Alanyaspor: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 4 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Karaköprü Belediyespor · Türkiye Kupası
- Next match
- 6 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Beşiktaş · Süper Lig
- Last match
- 6 days before27 Oct 2026 · v 12 Bingölspor · Türkiye Kupası
- Next match
- 6 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Trabzonspor · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Since 9 Aug 2025
| Score | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Conceded first | 3 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 25 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 683 lost in 1031 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 7 won, 8 drawn, 16 lost in 31 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 6 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 22 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 9 scored, 12 conceded (43) | 758 scored, 758 conceded (2234) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 25 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 9(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Alanyaspor
Since 3 Nov 2024
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 33 matches | 683 won, 199 drawn, 149 lost in 1031 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 9 drawn, 17 lost in 28 matches | 149 won, 199 drawn, 683 lost in 1031 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 9 won, 7 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 319 won, 110 drawn, 57 lost in 486 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches | 275 won, 328 drawn, 275 lost in 878 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 15 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches | 200 won, 340 drawn, 200 lost in 740 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 161 won, 382 drawn, 161 lost in 704 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 21 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches | 121 won, 418 drawn, 121 lost in 660 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 21 drawn, 19 lost in 55 matches | 559 won, 464 drawn, 559 lost in 1582 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 15 drawn, 12 lost in 41 matches | 403 won, 358 drawn, 403 lost in 1164 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 19 scored, 18 conceded (69) | 758 scored, 758 conceded (2234) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (30) | 196 scored, 196 conceded (678) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 6 conceded (22) | 264 scored, 298 conceded (778) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 206, by full time 529)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Alanyaspor | ||
|---|---|---|
| 43Since 9 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 69Since 3 Nov 2024 |
| 44.06 | xG for | 77.22 |
| 43 | Goals scored | 84 |
| 70.35 | xG against | 94.26 |
| 65 | Goals conceded | 88 |
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | at Konyaspor | 1.16 | 1.84 | 0–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Galatasaray | 1.16 | 1.81 | 0–1 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Amed | 0.50 | 2.16 | 2–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Başakşehir | 0.52 | 2.74 | 0–4 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Kasımpaşa | 1.16 | 1.32 | 1–2 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 0.86 | 3.21 | 0–5 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 0.75 | 0.86 | 1–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Göztepe | 1.56 | 1.92 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | v Fenerbahçe | 1.19 | 2.90 | 2–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 1.58 | 0.57 | 3–0 |
Alanyaspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | v Kocaelispor | 0.47 | 1.54 | 1–2 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Fenerbahçe | 0.99 | 3.77 | 0–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 0.98 | 1.69 | 0–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Çorum FK | 1.18 | 1.11 | 2–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.72 | 1.79 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Rizespor | 2.07 | 1.28 | 1–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.66 | 1.48 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 0.54 | 0.74 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1–1 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Fatih Karagümrük | 0.74 | 1.78 | 1–2 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Alanyaspor | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 12 |
| 7.04 | xPts | 9.58 |
| 8.86 | xG for | 9.86 |
| 18.76 | xG against | 14.68 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
- Ruled out
- O. Diabate (Yellow Cards) · P. Etebo (Inactive) · K. Rodrigues (Muscle Injury)
- Doubtful
- D. Goutas (Injury) · P. Pereira (Injury)
Alanyaspor
- Doubtful
- F. Aksoy (Injury) · P. Fernandes (Injury)
Published 2 Nov 2026, 15:57 GMT · not changed since
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