Erzurumspor FK v Çorum FK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Erzurumspor host Çorum in a closely matched Süper Lig fixture where the model estimates a 34% chance of a home win, 27% for a draw and 38% for an away victory. Expected goals total 2.73, with Çorum holding a marginal 0.11 advantage. Erzurumspor show better recent form with two wins in five matches, while Çorum are without E. Gurluk and S. Saatci through injury, and C. Soyuncu is doubtful.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 34%Erzurumspor FK win
- 27%Draw
- 39%Çorum FK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Erzurumspor FKLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–1at Gaziantep FK
- won2–0v Eyüpspor
- drew0–0at Alanyaspor
- won1–0v Samsunspor
- lost0–3at Beşiktaş
Çorum FKLast 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats
- lost0–2at Göztepe
- won2–1v Rizespor
- won3–0at Gaziantep FK
- lost1–2v Alanyaspor
- won5–1at Samsunspor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 200 of 256.
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of Çorum FK's last 5 away league games.
Home and away
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK at home
Last 4: 3 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonEyüpspor17 Oct 20262–0
- WonSamsunspor20 Sep 20261–0
- WonKonyaspor5 Sep 20261–0
- LostGalatasaray21 Aug 20260–4
Çorum FKÇorum FK away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostGöztepe25 Oct 20260–2
- WonGaziantep FK11 Oct 20263–0
- WonSamsunspor12 Sep 20265–1
- LostBeşiktaş31 Aug 20262–6
- DrawnGalatasaray14 Aug 20262–2
Çorum FK: away league games
Last 5 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 11 conceded in 5
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 5
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 5
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Erzurumspor FK- Last match
- 7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Rizespor · Süper Lig
Çorum FK- Last match
- 6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Göztepe · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Erzurumspor FK | Çorum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 14 | Points in those matches | 13 |
| 9.95 | xPts | 12.19 |
| 7.60 | xG for | 11.88 |
| 12.11 | xG against | 13.04 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
Injuries and suspensions
- Doubtful
- M. Yumlu (Injury)
- Ruled out
- E. Gurluk (Injury) · S. Saatci (Inactive) · C. Soyuncu (Injury)
Published 31 Oct 2026, 09:27 GMT · not changed since
All fixtures