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Eredivisie
Excelsior
20:00
GO Ahead Eagles
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam

Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles · analysis and preview

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Most likely: GO Ahead Eagles win

Excelsior and GO Ahead Eagles are closely matched, with the model giving the visitors a 40% win chance versus 36% for the home side and a 24% draw probability. Expected goals total 3.3 with a narrow gap of 0.12 in GO Ahead Eagles' favour. Form is mixed for both: Excelsior won just one of their last five, while GO Ahead Eagles posted a win and a draw recently alongside a loss.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 36%Excelsior win
  • 24%Draw
  • 40%GO Ahead Eagles win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–9v Twente
  2. won3–0at MVV
  3. lost0–1at Fortuna Sittard
  4. lost0–4at Heerenveen
  5. lost1–5v Groningen
GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–4at Cambuur
  2. won5–0at Koninklijke HFC
  3. won3–2v Telstar
  4. lost1–4at PEC Zwolle
  5. drew3–3v Sparta Rotterdam

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Excelsior avoided defeat in 10 of 26 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
  • GO Ahead Eagles won 20 of 37 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • GO Ahead Eagles won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Excelsior's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Excelsior 1, draws 1, GO Ahead Eagles 4

Goals: Excelsior 4, GO Ahead Eagles 11

DateMatchScore
1 Mar 2026Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles0–1
26 Oct 2025GO Ahead Eagles v Excelsior2–0
30 Mar 2024GO Ahead Eagles v Excelsior3–0
16 Dec 2023Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles1–1
14 Apr 2023Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles2–1
29 Oct 2022GO Ahead Eagles v Excelsior3–1

Home and away

Excelsior

Excelsior at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostTwente1 Nov 20260–9
  • LostGroningen11 Oct 20261–5
  • LostUtrecht13 Sep 20261–2
  • WonSparta Rotterdam29 Aug 20262–1
  • LostPSV Eindhoven15 Aug 20261–2

Excelsior: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 25 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostCambuur31 Oct 20260–4
  • WonKoninklijke HFCKNVB Beker27 Oct 20265–0
  • LostPEC Zwolle18 Oct 20261–4
  • DrawnNEC Nijmegen20 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnUtrecht5 Sep 20263–3

GO Ahead Eagles: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 25 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Excelsior
Last match
6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Twente · Eredivisie
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Feyenoord · Eredivisie
GO Ahead Eagles
Last match
7 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Cambuur · Eredivisie
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Excelsior

Since 9 Aug 2025

ScoreExcelsiorLeague sides
Conceded first1 won, 9 drawn, 16 lost in 26 matches121 won, 229 drawn, 658 lost in 1008 matches
Level after 15 minutes7 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost in 25 matches492 won, 400 drawn, 492 lost in 1384 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreExcelsiorLeague sides
All matches16 scored, 16 conceded (46)767 scored, 767 conceded (2098)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 7 conceded (22)243 scored, 338 conceded (781)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 31 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 15(league sides: 1,198 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

GO Ahead Eagles

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 37 matches658 won, 229 drawn, 121 lost in 1008 matches
Conceded first4 won, 10 drawn, 22 lost in 36 matches121 won, 229 drawn, 658 lost in 1008 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches234 won, 302 drawn, 234 lost in 770 matches
Level after 60 minutes6 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches171 won, 290 drawn, 171 lost in 632 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 22 matches27 won, 104 drawn, 292 lost in 423 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 15 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches124 won, 324 drawn, 124 lost in 572 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes2 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches18 won, 97 drawn, 279 lost in 394 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 18 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches78 won, 344 drawn, 78 lost in 500 matches
Level after 15 minutes13 won, 17 drawn, 17 lost in 47 matches492 won, 400 drawn, 492 lost in 1384 matches
Level after 30 minutes12 won, 15 drawn, 12 lost in 39 matches344 won, 320 drawn, 344 lost in 1008 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGO Ahead EaglesLeague sides
All matches27 scored, 29 conceded (77)767 scored, 767 conceded (2098)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 9 conceded (21)338 scored, 243 conceded (781)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 5 conceded (23)186 scored, 186 conceded (536)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 15 conceded (33)243 scored, 338 conceded (781)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,198 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
45Since 9 Aug 2025Matches with xG67Since 10 Nov 2024
58.26xG for97.11
59Goals scored118
83.01xG against115.69
84Goals conceded112

Excelsior

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Excelsior: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026v Twente0.006.290–9
25 Oct 2026at Fortuna Sittard0.390.740–1
16 Oct 2026at Heerenveen0.722.800–4
11 Oct 2026v Groningen1.743.061–5
19 Sep 2026at Ajax0.822.512–2
13 Sep 2026v Utrecht0.611.421–2
8 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.811.362–2
5 Sep 2026at Willem II1.600.863–0
29 Aug 2026v Sparta Rotterdam1.321.032–1
15 Aug 2026v PSV Eindhoven0.512.241–2

GO Ahead Eagles

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
GO Ahead Eagles: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Cambuur0.661.600–4
23 Oct 2026v Telstar1.140.793–2
18 Oct 2026at PEC Zwolle2.761.811–4
10 Oct 2026v Sparta Rotterdam1.292.363–3
20 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen2.311.041–1
12 Sep 2026v Groningen2.230.161–1
5 Sep 2026at Utrecht1.792.473–3
29 Aug 2026at AZ Alkmaar1.662.372–5
23 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag0.850.833–1
16 Aug 2026at Feyenoord1.512.892–2

GO Ahead Eagles: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

ExcelsiorGO Ahead Eagles
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
11Points in those matches14
11.45xPts15.87
12.87xG for18.63
23.01xG against17.83

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Excelsior and GO Ahead Eagles

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:03 GMT

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