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Eredivisie
Twente
13:30
Ajax
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

Twente v Ajax · analysis and preview

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Most likely: Twente win

Twente host Ajax with the model giving Twente a 46% chance of victory, Ajax 30%, and a 25% chance of a draw. Twente have won four of their last five matches at home, while Ajax are in excellent form with five consecutive wins. Expected goals total 3.18, with Twente projected at 1.76 and Ajax at 1.42.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 45%Twente win
  • 25%Draw
  • 30%Ajax win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

TwenteTwente

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won3–1v Pafos
  2. won9–0at Excelsior
  3. won2–0at AZ Alkmaar
  4. won4–1at Lincoln Red Imps FC
  5. lost1–2v Utrecht
AjaxAjax

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

  1. won6–1at FC Midtjylland
  2. won1–0v AZ Alkmaar
  3. won2–1at Sparta Rotterdam
  4. won2–0v Atalanta
  5. won5–2at Groningen

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Twente won 29 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Ajax won 35 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Ajax won 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Twente 3, draws 2, Ajax 5

Goals: Twente 13, Ajax 18

DateMatchScore
4 Apr 2026Ajax v Twente1–2
26 Oct 2025Twente v Ajax2–3
18 May 2025Ajax v Twente2–0
10 Nov 2024Twente v Ajax2–2
14 Apr 2024Ajax v Twente2–1
17 Sep 2023Twente v Ajax3–1
28 May 2023Twente v Ajax3–1
9 Feb 2023Twente v AjaxKNVB Beker0–1
14 Jan 2023Ajax v Twente0–0
13 Feb 2022Ajax v Twente5–0

Home and away

Twente

Twente at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonPafosUEFA Europa Conference League5 Nov 20263–1
  • LostUtrecht18 Oct 20261–2
  • WonFC ThunUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20261–0
  • WonPSV Eindhoven20 Sep 20263–2
  • WonADO Den Haag12 Sep 20262–0

Twente: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Ajax

Ajax away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonFC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference League5 Nov 20266–1
  • WonSparta Rotterdam25 Oct 20262–1
  • WonGroningen18 Oct 20265–2
  • LostHNK Hajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League15 Oct 20261–2
  • WonFortuna Sittard12 Sep 20265–1

Ajax: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Twente
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v Pafos · UEFA Europa Conference League
Next match
Not known
Ajax
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa Conference League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Twente

ScoreTwenteLeague sides
Scored first29 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 46 matches658 won, 229 drawn, 121 lost in 1008 matches
Conceded first5 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 29 matches121 won, 229 drawn, 658 lost in 1008 matches
1 goal up at half-time11 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches300 won, 104 drawn, 53 lost in 457 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 32 matches234 won, 302 drawn, 234 lost in 770 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 26 matches171 won, 290 drawn, 171 lost in 632 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches124 won, 324 drawn, 124 lost in 572 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches78 won, 344 drawn, 78 lost in 500 matches
Level after 15 minutes26 won, 17 drawn, 10 lost in 53 matches492 won, 400 drawn, 492 lost in 1384 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes14 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches268 won, 100 drawn, 62 lost in 430 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 32 matches344 won, 320 drawn, 344 lost in 1008 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreTwenteLeague sides
All matches31 scored, 23 conceded (78)767 scored, 767 conceded (2098)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 11 conceded (34)338 scored, 243 conceded (781)
When level after 75 minutes9 scored, 7 conceded (22)186 scored, 186 conceded (536)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 5 conceded (22)243 scored, 338 conceded (781)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 21(league sides: 1,198 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Ajax

ScoreAjaxLeague sides
Scored first35 won, 11 drawn, 1 lost in 47 matches658 won, 229 drawn, 121 lost in 1008 matches
Conceded first7 won, 9 drawn, 21 lost in 37 matches121 won, 229 drawn, 658 lost in 1008 matches
1 goal up at half-time17 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches300 won, 104 drawn, 53 lost in 457 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 34 matches234 won, 302 drawn, 234 lost in 770 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches292 won, 104 drawn, 27 lost in 423 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches171 won, 290 drawn, 171 lost in 632 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes18 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches279 won, 97 drawn, 18 lost in 394 matches
Level after 70 minutes4 won, 16 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches124 won, 324 drawn, 124 lost in 572 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches386 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 389 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes18 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches311 won, 95 drawn, 4 lost in 410 matches
Level after 80 minutes3 won, 17 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches78 won, 344 drawn, 78 lost in 500 matches
Level after 15 minutes29 won, 17 drawn, 15 lost in 61 matches492 won, 400 drawn, 492 lost in 1384 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes19 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches268 won, 100 drawn, 62 lost in 430 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 15 drawn, 13 lost in 44 matches344 won, 320 drawn, 344 lost in 1008 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAjaxLeague sides
All matches34 scored, 29 conceded (87)767 scored, 767 conceded (2098)
When leading after 75 minutes15 scored, 11 conceded (41)338 scored, 243 conceded (781)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 9 conceded (25)186 scored, 186 conceded (536)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 9 conceded (21)243 scored, 338 conceded (781)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 25(league sides: 1,198 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 10 Nov 2024

TwenteAjax
69Matches with xG69
127.21xG for124.26
129Goals scored137
84.81xG against84.62
93Goals conceded75

Twente

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Twente: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026at Excelsior6.290.009–0
25 Oct 2026at AZ Alkmaar2.041.242–0
18 Oct 2026v Utrecht1.361.251–2
10 Oct 2026at Fortuna Sittard1.150.951–1
20 Sep 2026v PSV Eindhoven2.401.023–2
12 Sep 2026v ADO Den Haag2.810.542–0
9 Sep 2026v Telstar2.650.521–0
6 Sep 2026at Groningen2.301.482–2
30 Aug 2026at Cambuur1.760.474–1
16 Aug 2026v PEC Zwolle2.080.683–1

Ajax

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Ajax: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v AZ Alkmaar0.772.321–0
25 Oct 2026at Sparta Rotterdam1.370.852–1
18 Oct 2026at Groningen3.042.295–2
10 Oct 2026v NEC Nijmegen1.781.051–1
19 Sep 2026v Excelsior2.510.822–2
15 Sep 2026v Willem II3.791.585–1
12 Sep 2026at Fortuna Sittard4.130.715–1
5 Sep 2026v PSV Eindhoven1.992.551–3
30 Aug 2026at Telstar2.131.134–0
16 Aug 2026v Heerenveen2.001.362–2

Twente: 1 without xG left outAjax: 2 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

TwenteAjax
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
23Points in those matches24
24.10xPts20.49
26.62xG for25.05
8.54xG against15.25

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Twente and Ajax

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:33 GMT

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