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Eredivisie
Feyenoord
1–1Finished
Fortuna Sittard
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:30 GMTMatchday 11 · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam

Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Feyenoord a 71% chance of winning against Fortuna Sittard at home. Expected goals stand at 2.56 for the hosts and 1.03 for the visitors, totalling 3.59. Feyenoord have won three of their last five matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won just once in that period and lost three of their last four away from home.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 71%Feyenoord win
  • 17%Draw
  • 12%Fortuna Sittard win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

FeyenoordFeyenoord

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. drew1–1at PSV Eindhoven
  2. lost0–1at Real Betis
  3. won4–3at Telstar
  4. won3–2v Como
  5. won2–0v AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard

Last 5: 2 wins, 3 draws, no defeats

  1. drew2–2at Sparta Rotterdam
  2. won1–0v Excelsior
  3. drew2–2at NEC Nijmegen
  4. drew1–1v Twente
  5. won1–0at Willem II

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Feyenoord won 38 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Fortuna Sittard won 20 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Feyenoord won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Feyenoord unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Feyenoord 7, draws 3, Fortuna Sittard 0

Goals: Feyenoord 21, Fortuna Sittard 6

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord1–2
17 Sep 2025Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard2–0
12 Apr 2025Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord0–2
30 Nov 2024Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard1–1
14 Apr 2024Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord0–1
13 Aug 2023Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard0–0
26 Feb 2023Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord2–4
22 Oct 2022Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard1–1
1 May 2022Fortuna Sittard v Feyenoord1–3
5 Dec 2021Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard5–0

Home and away

Feyenoord

Feyenoord at home

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonComoUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20263–2
  • WonAZ Alkmaar10 Oct 20262–0
  • WonUtrecht20 Sep 20265–0
  • DrawnADO Den Haag30 Aug 20262–2
  • DrawnGO Ahead Eagles16 Aug 20262–2

Feyenoord: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
21 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard away

Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnSparta RotterdamKNVB Beker28 Oct 20262–2 PEN
  • DrawnNEC Nijmegen18 Oct 20262–2
  • WonWillem II19 Sep 20261–0
  • WonADO Den Haag6 Sep 20263–2
  • WonGroningen28 Aug 20263–2

Fortuna Sittard: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Feyenoord
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Inter · UEFA Champions League
Fortuna Sittard
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Sparta Rotterdam · KNVB Beker
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Telstar · Eredivisie

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Feyenoord

ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
Scored first38 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 46 matches651 won, 228 drawn, 120 lost in 999 matches
Conceded first9 won, 9 drawn, 22 lost in 40 matches120 won, 228 drawn, 651 lost in 999 matches
1 goal up at half-time20 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 24 matches298 won, 104 drawn, 53 lost in 455 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 23 matches232 won, 300 drawn, 232 lost in 764 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 21 matches53 won, 104 drawn, 298 lost in 455 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes25 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches290 won, 103 drawn, 27 lost in 420 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches354 won, 11 drawn, 0 lost in 365 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes21 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches276 won, 96 drawn, 18 lost in 390 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches382 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 385 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes22 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches308 won, 94 drawn, 4 lost in 406 matches
Level after 15 minutes28 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 58 matches488 won, 398 drawn, 488 lost in 1374 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost in 42 matches341 won, 318 drawn, 341 lost in 1000 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFeyenoordLeague sides
All matches44 scored, 36 conceded (89)761 scored, 761 conceded (2080)
When leading after 75 minutes25 scored, 16 conceded (48)334 scored, 242 conceded (773)
When trailing after 75 minutes14 scored, 12 conceded (23)242 scored, 334 conceded (773)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 27(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 549)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Fortuna Sittard

ScoreFortuna SittardLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 33 matches651 won, 228 drawn, 120 lost in 999 matches
Conceded first3 won, 7 drawn, 25 lost in 35 matches120 won, 228 drawn, 651 lost in 999 matches
Level at half-time8 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches232 won, 300 drawn, 232 lost in 764 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches169 won, 290 drawn, 169 lost in 628 matches
Level after 15 minutes13 won, 12 drawn, 18 lost in 43 matches488 won, 398 drawn, 488 lost in 1374 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 33 matches341 won, 318 drawn, 341 lost in 1000 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreFortuna SittardLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 30 conceded (69)761 scored, 761 conceded (2080)
When leading after 75 minutes2 scored, 13 conceded (22)334 scored, 242 conceded (773)
When trailing after 75 minutes6 scored, 11 conceded (30)242 scored, 334 conceded (773)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,188 times, within 15 minutes 200, by full time 549)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 2 Nov 2024

FeyenoordFortuna Sittard
67Matches with xG67
138.83xG for79.04
156Goals scored91
75.73xG against118.30
82Goals conceded119

Feyenoord

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Feyenoord: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026at PSV Eindhoven1.191.921–1
17 Oct 2026at Telstar3.831.434–3
10 Oct 2026v AZ Alkmaar2.300.772–0
20 Sep 2026v Utrecht3.410.585–0
13 Sep 2026at PEC Zwolle3.400.197–0
5 Sep 2026at NEC Nijmegen1.110.743–1
30 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag2.470.242–2
23 Aug 2026at Cambuur2.620.965–2
16 Aug 2026v GO Ahead Eagles2.891.512–2
9 Aug 2026at Sparta Rotterdam3.531.011–0

Fortuna Sittard

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Fortuna Sittard: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Excelsior0.740.391–0
18 Oct 2026at NEC Nijmegen0.453.062–2
10 Oct 2026v Twente0.951.151–1
19 Sep 2026at Willem II1.311.011–0
12 Sep 2026v Ajax0.714.131–5
6 Sep 2026at ADO Den Haag0.550.483–2
28 Aug 2026at Groningen0.881.603–2
22 Aug 2026v AZ Alkmaar0.444.350–2
15 Aug 2026v Cambuur1.912.513–1
8 Aug 2026at PSV Eindhoven1.012.312–2

Feyenoord: 1 without xG left outFortuna Sittard: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

FeyenoordFortuna Sittard
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
24Points in those matches18
22.81xPts8.70
26.75xG for8.95
9.35xG against20.99

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Feyenoord and Fortuna Sittard

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • FeyenoordFeyenoord
    Ruled out
    T. Beelen (Broken Leg) · J. Bos (Knee Injury) · R. Nelson (Muscle Injury) · B. Nieuwkoop (Knee Injury) · G. Smal (Ankle Injury) · J. St. Juste (Leg Injury) · S. van Persie (Knock)
  • Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
    Ruled out
    R. Bayram (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    I. Marquez (Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 14:28 GMT · not changed since

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