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Eredivisie
Willem II
19:00
PEC Zwolle
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg

Willem II v PEC Zwolle · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: PEC Zwolle win

Willem II and PEC Zwolle are near-evenly matched, with the model giving the hosts a 37% win chance compared to 38% for the away side and a 25% draw probability. Expected goals total 3.08 with a gap of 0.04 in PEC Zwolle's favour. Willem II have won one of five recent matches while PEC Zwolle show mixed form, and both squads face significant injuries.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 37%Willem II win
  • 25%Draw
  • 38%PEC Zwolle win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Willem IIWillem II

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–7at PSV Eindhoven
  2. won4–3at Helmond Sport
  3. lost1–6v Cambuur
  4. lost2–3at Sparta Rotterdam
  5. lost1–3at Utrecht
PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won1–0v ADO Den Haag
  2. lost1–2v FC OSS
  3. drew1–1at Utrecht
  4. won4–1v GO Ahead Eagles
  5. lost0–1v Cambuur

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 163 of 223.
  • PEC Zwolle won 18 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • PEC Zwolle won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
  • Willem II without a win in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Willem II 2, draws 1, PEC Zwolle 3

Goals: Willem II 7, PEC Zwolle 9

DateMatchScore
14 May 2025Willem II v PEC Zwolle1–2
13 Dec 2024PEC Zwolle v Willem II0–1
10 Mar 2023Willem II v PEC ZwolleEerste Divisie2–3
9 Sep 2022PEC Zwolle v Willem IIEerste Divisie2–2
14 Jan 2022PEC Zwolle v Willem II2–0
28 Aug 2021Willem II v PEC Zwolle1–0

Home and away

Willem II

Willem II at home

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostCambuur24 Oct 20261–6
  • LostFortuna Sittard19 Sep 20260–1
  • LostExcelsior5 Sep 20260–3
  • DrawnHeerenveen30 Aug 20262–2
  • LostNEC Nijmegen15 Aug 20261–4

Willem II: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnUtrecht24 Oct 20261–1
  • LostGroningen18 Sep 20260–3
  • DrawnSparta Rotterdam4 Sep 20262–2
  • WonHeerenveen22 Aug 20262–0
  • LostTwente16 Aug 20261–3

PEC Zwolle: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 25 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Willem II
Last match
6 days before31 Oct 2026 · v PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Next match
Not known
PEC Zwolle
Last match
5 days before1 Nov 2026 · v ADO Den Haag · Eredivisie
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

PEC Zwolle

ScorePEC ZwolleLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 35 matches658 won, 229 drawn, 121 lost in 1008 matches
Conceded first2 won, 7 drawn, 23 lost in 32 matches121 won, 229 drawn, 658 lost in 1008 matches
Level at half-time4 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches234 won, 302 drawn, 234 lost in 770 matches
Level after 60 minutes2 won, 14 drawn, 9 lost in 25 matches171 won, 290 drawn, 171 lost in 632 matches
Level after 70 minutes1 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches124 won, 324 drawn, 124 lost in 572 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 14 drawn, 19 lost in 47 matches492 won, 400 drawn, 492 lost in 1384 matches
Level after 30 minutes10 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches344 won, 320 drawn, 344 lost in 1008 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePEC ZwolleLeague sides
All matches15 scored, 29 conceded (69)767 scored, 767 conceded (2098)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 7 conceded (25)338 scored, 243 conceded (781)
When level after 75 minutes3 scored, 12 conceded (20)186 scored, 186 conceded (536)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 10 conceded (24)243 scored, 338 conceded (781)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 15(league sides: 1,198 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 552)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

Willem IIPEC Zwolle
—Matches with xG67
—xG for80.57
—Goals scored86
—xG against116.19
—Goals conceded121

PEC Zwolle

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
PEC Zwolle: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026v ADO Den Haag1.480.521–0
24 Oct 2026at Utrecht0.951.661–1
18 Oct 2026v GO Ahead Eagles1.812.764–1
11 Oct 2026v Cambuur0.980.820–1
18 Sep 2026at Groningen0.431.390–3
13 Sep 2026v Feyenoord0.193.400–7
4 Sep 2026at Sparta Rotterdam1.072.232–2
29 Aug 2026v NEC Nijmegen2.031.941–3
22 Aug 2026at Heerenveen1.550.852–0
16 Aug 2026at Twente0.682.081–3

PEC Zwolle: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Willem IIPEC Zwolle
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
2Points in those matches11
9.00xPts11.26
13.72xG for11.76
25.56xG against19.19

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Willem II and PEC Zwolle

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Willem IIWillem II
    Ruled out
    J. Hoogma (Knee Injury) · A. Lachkar (Groin Injury)
  • PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle
    Ruled out
    S. Floranus (Injury) · F. Krastev (Achilles Tendon Injury) · G. Rahajaan (Inactive)

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 17:58 GMT

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