Alanyaspor v Erzurumspor FK match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 56%Alanyaspor win
- 24%Draw
- 20%Erzurumspor FK win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
AlanyasporLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Erzurumspor FKLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Alanyaspor won 18 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 196 of 251.
- Erzurumspor FK without a win in their last 3 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Alanyaspor's last 10 home league games.
Home and away
AlanyasporAlanyaspor at home
Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnGöztepe12 Sep 20262–2
- WonBeşiktaş23 Aug 20261–0
- WonKayserispor9 May 20263–1
- LostSamsunspor27 Apr 20262–3
- DrawnTrabzonspor11 Apr 20261–1
Alanyaspor: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK away
Last 3: 0 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBeşiktaş11 Sep 20260–3
- DrawnGençlerbirliği S.K.28 Aug 20261–1
- LostAmed16 Aug 20260–3
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Alanyaspor- Last match
- 21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Çorum FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig
Erzurumspor FK- Last match
- 20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Samsunspor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after17 Oct 2026 · v Eyüpspor · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Alanyaspor
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 34 matches | 658 won, 197 drawn, 145 lost in 1000 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 9 drawn, 16 lost in 27 matches | 145 won, 197 drawn, 658 lost in 1000 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 9 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches | 305 won, 108 drawn, 55 lost in 468 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 270 won, 322 drawn, 270 lost in 862 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 196 won, 332 drawn, 196 lost in 724 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 18 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 155 won, 376 drawn, 155 lost in 686 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 20 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 116 won, 412 drawn, 116 lost in 644 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 4 drawn, 16 lost in 20 matches | 11 won, 70 drawn, 354 lost in 435 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 20 drawn, 18 lost in 53 matches | 538 won, 454 drawn, 538 lost in 1530 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 39 matches | 391 won, 352 drawn, 391 lost in 1134 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Alanyaspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 19 scored, 17 conceded (68) | 734 scored, 734 conceded (2166) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 8 conceded (29) | 188 scored, 188 conceded (658) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 5 conceded (22) | 258 scored, 288 conceded (754) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,156 times, within 15 minutes 202, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 20 Oct 2024
| Alanyaspor | Erzurumspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Matches with xG | — |
| 77.75 | xG for | — |
| 85 | Goals scored | — |
| 89.86 | xG against | — |
| 87 | Goals conceded | — |
Alanyaspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Çorum FK | 1.18 | 1.11 | 2–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.72 | 1.79 | 2–2 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Rizespor | 2.07 | 1.28 | 1–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Eyüpspor | 0.66 | 1.48 | 1–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Beşiktaş | 0.54 | 0.74 | 1–0 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1–1 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Fatih Karagümrük | 0.74 | 1.78 | 1–2 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Kayserispor | 2.05 | 1.88 | 3–1 |
| 3 May 2026 | at Antalyaspor | 0.94 | 0.15 | 0–0 |
| 27 Apr 2026 | v Samsunspor | 1.10 | 1.54 | 2–3 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Alanyaspor | Erzurumspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 of 6 | Matches with xG | 6 of 6 |
| 11 | Points in those matches | 7 |
| 7.85 | xPts | 5.15 |
| 7.42 | xG for | 4.03 |
| 7.68 | xG against | 9.54 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Published 10 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since
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