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Ligue 1
Angers
2–5Finished
Marseille
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTMatchday 7 · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers

Angers v Marseille match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Marseille's attacking threat gives them a 50% chance of victory over Angers, who have a 24% chance with expected goals at 1.69 and 1.1 respectively. Both sides have injury issues, with Angers losing Lefort to suspension and several players doubtful for both teams.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 24%Angers win
  • 26%Draw
  • 50%Marseille win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

AngersAngers

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

MarseilleMarseille

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Angers won 21 of 24 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Marseille won 30 of 39 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Marseille won 5 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Angers's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Angers 0, draws 3, Marseille 5

Goals: Angers 8, Marseille 21

DateMatchScore
17 Jan 2026Angers v Marseille2–5
29 Oct 2025Marseille v Angers2–2
9 Feb 2025Angers v Marseille0–2
4 Oct 2024Marseille v Angers1–1
14 May 2023Marseille v Angers3–1
30 Sep 2022Angers v Marseille0–3
4 Feb 2022Marseille v Angers5–2
22 Sep 2021Angers v Marseille0–0

Home and away

Angers

Angers at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonEstac Troyes19 Sep 20262–0
  • LostRennes6 Sep 20261–2
  • LostLille23 Aug 20260–2
  • DrawnStrasbourg10 May 20261–1
  • LostParis Saint Germain25 Apr 20260–3

Angers: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
6 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Marseille

Marseille away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonEstac Troyes11 Oct 20262–0
  • LostBeşiktaşUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20261–4
  • LostRennes11 Sep 20260–1
  • LostMonaco30 Aug 20260–2
  • WonLe Havre10 May 20261–0

Marseille: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
5 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
1 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
3 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Angers
Last match
8 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Next match
7 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Lorient · Ligue 1
Marseille
Last match
3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Olympiakos Piraeus · UEFA Europa League
Next match
4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Angers

ScoreAngersLeague sides
Scored first21 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches636 won, 166 drawn, 111 lost in 913 matches
Conceded first0 won, 7 drawn, 33 lost in 40 matches111 won, 166 drawn, 636 lost in 913 matches
Level at half-time7 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 25 matches254 won, 276 drawn, 254 lost in 784 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches176 won, 282 drawn, 176 lost in 634 matches
Level after 15 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 24 lost in 48 matches513 won, 354 drawn, 513 lost in 1380 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost in 35 matches348 won, 314 drawn, 348 lost in 1010 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAngersLeague sides
All matches18 scored, 11 conceded (67)651 scored, 651 conceded (1964)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 1 conceded (20)274 scored, 222 conceded (706)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 6 conceded (35)222 scored, 274 conceded (706)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 10(league sides: 1,063 times, within 15 minutes 161, by full time 465)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Marseille

ScoreMarseilleLeague sides
Scored first30 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 39 matches636 won, 166 drawn, 111 lost in 913 matches
Conceded first9 won, 3 drawn, 26 lost in 38 matches111 won, 166 drawn, 636 lost in 913 matches
Level at half-time16 won, 2 drawn, 11 lost in 29 matches254 won, 276 drawn, 254 lost in 784 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes19 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches269 won, 7 drawn, 0 lost in 276 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches316 won, 66 drawn, 8 lost in 390 matches
Level after 15 minutes26 won, 6 drawn, 20 lost in 52 matches513 won, 354 drawn, 513 lost in 1380 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 2 drawn, 17 lost in 37 matches348 won, 314 drawn, 348 lost in 1010 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreMarseilleLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 34 conceded (77)651 scored, 651 conceded (1964)
When leading after 75 minutes18 scored, 17 conceded (38)274 scored, 222 conceded (706)
When trailing after 75 minutes4 scored, 8 conceded (23)222 scored, 274 conceded (706)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 16(league sides: 1,063 times, within 15 minutes 161, by full time 465)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 20 Oct 2024

AngersMarseille
67Matches with xG67
71.78xG for126.36
63Goals scored130
113.81xG against96.37
98Goals conceded92

Angers

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Angers: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Stade Brestois 291.393.821–5
19 Sep 2026v Estac Troyes2.251.022–0
12 Sep 2026at Le Havre0.591.310–0
6 Sep 2026v Rennes1.661.541–2
29 Aug 2026at Auxerre1.551.813–1
23 Aug 2026v Lille1.991.240–2
17 May 2026at Stade Brestois 290.681.571–1
10 May 2026v Strasbourg0.592.021–1
3 May 2026at Auxerre2.202.031–3
25 Apr 2026v Paris Saint Germain0.702.780–3

Marseille

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Marseille: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
11 Oct 2026at Estac Troyes1.301.062–0
20 Sep 2026v Paris Saint Germain1.804.331–2
11 Sep 2026at Rennes1.341.880–1
6 Sep 2026v Paris FC1.423.292–3
30 Aug 2026at Monaco1.401.720–2
21 Aug 2026v Strasbourg1.860.184–0
17 May 2026v Rennes2.922.493–1
10 May 2026at Le Havre1.211.141–0
2 May 2026at Nantes1.363.420–3
26 Apr 2026v Nice2.321.461–1

This league season

Ligue 1 matches since 21 Aug 2026.

AngersMarseille
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
7Points in those matches6
7.86xPts7.25
9.43xG for9.12
10.74xG against12.46

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Angers and Marseille

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • AngersAngers
    Ruled out
    J. Lefort (Red Card)
    Doubtful
    H. Belkebla (Injury) · O. Camara (Thigh Injury) · J. Kalulu (Groin Injury)
  • MarseilleMarseille
    Ruled out
    D. Cornelius (Hip Injury)
    Doubtful
    P. Hojbjerg (Muscle Injury)

Published 18 Oct 2026, 12:57 BST · not changed since

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