Antwerp v Charleroi match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Charleroi hold a 38% chance of victory, slightly ahead of Antwerp's 34%, with the model expecting 2.58 goals. Antwerp's five straight defeats stand in stark contrast to Charleroi's recent three wins in five, giving the visitors a form advantage despite playing away.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 34%Antwerp win
- 28%Draw
- 38%Charleroi win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
AntwerpLast 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats
CharleroiLast 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Antwerp won 19 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Charleroi won 33 of 44 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Charleroi won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
- Charleroi unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Antwerp 2, draws 1, Charleroi 7
Goals: Antwerp 11, Charleroi 16
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0–1 |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 2–1 |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0–2 |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 1–1 |
| 29 May 2025 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 1–2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 1–3 |
| 28 Jul 2024 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 0–1 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 4–1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Charleroi v Antwerp | 3–2 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Antwerp v Charleroi | 0–1 |
Home and away
AntwerpAntwerp at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostUnion St. Gilloise20 Sep 20260–2
- LostSt. Truiden30 Aug 20261–4
- DrawnGenk22 Aug 20264–4
- WonSK Beveren9 Aug 20262–1
- WonKVC Westerlo23 May 20262–0
Antwerp: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 20 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
CharleroiCharleroi away
Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
- WonStandard Liege11 Oct 20261–0
- WonZulte Waregem13 Sep 20261–0
- WonKortrijk29 Aug 20263–1
- WonLommel United16 Aug 20261–0
- WonStandard Liege23 May 20262–0
Charleroi: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 5 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 2 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 1 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Antwerp- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Heist · Cup
- Next match
- 8 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Albert Quévy-Mons · Cup
- Next match
- 8 days after1 Nov 2026 · v RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Antwerp
Since 27 Oct 2024
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 35 matches | 634 won, 193 drawn, 121 lost in 948 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 2 drawn, 31 lost in 37 matches | 121 won, 193 drawn, 634 lost in 948 matches |
| Level at half-time | 7 won, 15 drawn, 13 lost in 35 matches | 241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 3 won, 2 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches | 43 won, 97 drawn, 301 lost in 441 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 3 won, 15 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches | 30 won, 104 drawn, 321 lost in 455 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 116 won, 336 drawn, 116 lost in 568 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 17 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches | 105 won, 366 drawn, 105 lost in 576 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 18 won, 17 drawn, 23 lost in 58 matches | 522 won, 408 drawn, 522 lost in 1452 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 15 drawn, 18 lost in 47 matches | 376 won, 340 drawn, 376 lost in 1092 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Antwerp | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 23 scored, 24 conceded (78) | 675 scored, 675 conceded (2044) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 7 conceded (21) | 262 scored, 239 conceded (735) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 174 scored, 174 conceded (574) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 12 conceded (33) | 239 scored, 262 conceded (735) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 13(league sides: 1,080 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 474)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Charleroi
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Score | Charleroi | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 33 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 44 matches | 634 won, 193 drawn, 121 lost in 948 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 10 drawn, 21 lost in 32 matches | 121 won, 193 drawn, 634 lost in 948 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 22 matches | 301 won, 97 drawn, 43 lost in 441 matches |
| Level at half-time | 13 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost in 35 matches | 241 won, 328 drawn, 241 lost in 810 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 321 won, 104 drawn, 30 lost in 455 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 10 drawn, 10 lost in 29 matches | 170 won, 304 drawn, 170 lost in 644 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 18 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 333 won, 92 drawn, 21 lost in 446 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 1 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches | 21 won, 92 drawn, 333 lost in 446 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 24 won, 9 drawn, 18 lost in 51 matches | 522 won, 408 drawn, 522 lost in 1452 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 13 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 252 won, 89 drawn, 49 lost in 390 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 18 won, 8 drawn, 15 lost in 41 matches | 376 won, 340 drawn, 376 lost in 1092 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Charleroi | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 25 scored, 19 conceded (78) | 675 scored, 675 conceded (2044) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 7 conceded (33) | 262 scored, 239 conceded (735) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 3 conceded (27) | 239 scored, 262 conceded (735) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 4, by full time 20(league sides: 1,080 times, within 15 minutes 162, by full time 474)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 28 Jul 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Antwerp | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| 78Since 27 Oct 2024 | Matches with xG | 78Since 26 Oct 2024 |
| 97.85 | xG for | 118.54 |
| 91 | Goals scored | 110 |
| 126.76 | xG against | 100.41 |
| 112 | Goals conceded | 92 |
Antwerp
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | at KVC Westerlo | 0.92 | 2.28 | 1–5 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Union St. Gilloise | 0.41 | 3.34 | 0–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Club Brugge KV | 2.09 | 2.94 | 1–3 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Standard Liege | 0.83 | 3.42 | 0–1 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v St. Truiden | 0.77 | 3.38 | 1–4 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v Genk | 1.86 | 1.30 | 4–4 |
| 15 Aug 2026 | at Kortrijk | 1.19 | 0.77 | 3–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v SK Beveren | 2.20 | 0.96 | 2–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | v KVC Westerlo | 1.55 | 0.44 | 2–0 |
| 19 May 2026 | at Genk | 0.68 | 2.67 | 0–0 |
Charleroi
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Standard Liege | 0.99 | 1.78 | 1–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Cercle Brugge | 2.04 | 2.08 | 3–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Zulte Waregem | 1.64 | 1.00 | 1–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Union St. Gilloise | 2.18 | 1.24 | 2–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Kortrijk | 1.69 | 1.20 | 3–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | v KV Mechelen | 1.44 | 0.23 | 2–0 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Lommel United | 1.25 | 0.34 | 1–0 |
| 9 Aug 2026 | v OH Leuven | 3.15 | 1.30 | 3–1 |
| 23 May 2026 | at Standard Liege | 1.91 | 0.58 | 2–0 |
| 19 May 2026 | v OH Leuven | 1.83 | 0.82 | 1–1 |
This league season
Jupiler Pro League matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Antwerp | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 7 | Points in those matches | 21 |
| 7.78 | xPts | 14.49 |
| 10.27 | xG for | 14.38 |
| 18.39 | xG against | 9.17 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Antwerp and Charleroi
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:58 BST · not changed since
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