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Serie A
AS Roma
19:45
Sassuolo
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 11 · Stadio Olimpico, Rome

AS Roma v Sassuolo · analysis and preview

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Most likely: AS Roma win

The model gives Roma a 68% chance of winning against Sassuolo, who are severely depleted by injuries. Roma have expected goals of 2.27 and Sassuolo 0.91, a gap of 1.36 in Roma's favour. Sassuolo have won just one of their last five matches, while Roma have won three of five.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 68%AS Roma win
  • 20%Draw
  • 12%Sassuolo win

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Form · newest first

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. lost2–3at Manchester United
  2. won5–2at Udinese
  3. won4–2v Cagliari
  4. drew3–3at Napoli
  5. won4–0v Slovan Bratislava
SassuoloSassuolo

Last 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats

  1. lost2–4v Fiorentina
  2. lost2–6v Lazio
  3. lost0–2at Como
  4. lost2–4at Frosinone
  5. drew1–1v AC Milan

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • AS Roma won 50 of 58 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Sassuolo avoided defeat in 7 of 28 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 23 Aug 2025.
  • AS Roma won 5 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Sassuolo without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: AS Roma 5, draws 2, Sassuolo 1

Goals: AS Roma 14, Sassuolo 9

DateMatchScore
10 Jan 2026AS Roma v Sassuolo2–0
26 Oct 2025Sassuolo v AS Roma0–1
17 Mar 2024AS Roma v Sassuolo1–0
3 Dec 2023Sassuolo v AS Roma1–2
12 Mar 2023AS Roma v Sassuolo3–4
9 Nov 2022Sassuolo v AS Roma1–1
13 Feb 2022Sassuolo v AS Roma2–2
12 Sep 2021AS Roma v Sassuolo2–1

Home and away

AS Roma

AS Roma at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonCagliari27 Oct 20264–2
  • WonSlovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20264–0
  • WonGenoa17 Oct 20262–0
  • LostReal MadridUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20263–4
  • DrawnInter19 Sep 20262–2

AS Roma: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 6 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10
Sassuolo

Sassuolo away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostComo24 Oct 20260–2
  • LostFrosinone16 Oct 20262–4
  • LostMonza18 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnBologna6 Sep 20262–2
  • LostAtalanta23 Aug 20261–2

Sassuolo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
9 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

AS Roma
Last match
4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Manchester United · UEFA Champions League
Next match
14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Parma · Serie A
Sassuolo
Last match
5 days before2 Nov 2026 · v Fiorentina · Serie A
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

AS Roma

Since 10 Nov 2024

ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
Scored first50 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost in 58 matches775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 19 lost in 37 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
1 goal up at half-time25 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches340 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 522 matches
Level at half-time18 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 37 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes31 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 36 matches380 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 527 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes23 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches300 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 314 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes28 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 30 matches398 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 519 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches24 won, 97 drawn, 398 lost in 519 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes28 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches340 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 344 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes18 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches210 won, 60 drawn, 42 lost in 312 matches
Level after 15 minutes37 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 65 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches299 won, 111 drawn, 63 lost in 473 matches
Level after 30 minutes25 won, 11 drawn, 13 lost in 49 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
All matches35 scored, 29 conceded (96)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)
When leading after 75 minutes18 scored, 17 conceded (56)255 scored, 235 conceded (845)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 9 conceded (20)236 scored, 236 conceded (790)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 3 conceded (20)235 scored, 255 conceded (845)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 25(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sassuolo

Since 23 Aug 2025

ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 21 lost in 28 matches130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 15 minutes12 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 32 matches632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
All matches10 scored, 17 conceded (48)726 scored, 726 conceded (2480)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

AS RomaSassuolo
75Since 10 Nov 2024Matches with xG48Since 23 Aug 2025
117.28xG for56.43
131Goals scored62
80.61xG against73.81
62Goals conceded76

AS Roma

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AS Roma: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Udinese2.821.855–2
27 Oct 2026v Cagliari2.962.684–2
24 Oct 2026at Napoli1.962.513–3
17 Oct 2026v Genoa1.370.492–0
11 Oct 2026at Como1.081.350–0
19 Sep 2026v Inter1.662.862–2
14 Sep 2026at Torino1.850.862–0
5 Sep 2026v Atalanta2.970.702–1
31 Aug 2026at Lecce3.270.804–0
24 Aug 2026v Fiorentina3.070.354–0

Sassuolo

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sassuolo: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
2 Nov 2026v Fiorentina1.022.412–4
27 Oct 2026v Lazio0.803.592–6
24 Oct 2026at Como0.261.690–2
16 Oct 2026at Frosinone2.042.592–4
11 Oct 2026v AC Milan1.191.181–1
18 Sep 2026at Monza1.471.511–2
13 Sep 2026v Juventus1.021.103–2
6 Sep 2026at Bologna1.621.882–2
29 Aug 2026v Torino1.851.262–1
23 Aug 2026at Atalanta2.700.881–2

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

AS RomaSassuolo
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
24Points in those matches8
18.63xPts11.72
23.01xG for13.97
14.45xG against18.09

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: AS Roma and Sassuolo

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • AS RomaAS RomaNo injuries or suspensions reported.
  • SassuoloSassuolo
    Ruled out
    I. Koné (Broken Leg) · E. Pieragnolo (Jumpers Knee) · Fali Candé (Jumpers Knee) · D. Boloca (Muscle Bruise) · Y. Paz (Jumpers Knee)

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 16:53 GMT

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