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La Liga
Atletico Madrid
20:00
Barcelona
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 12 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico Madrid v Barcelona · analysis and preview

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Our selection

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Most likely: Barcelona win

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 34%Atletico Madrid win
  • 25%Draw
  • 41%Barcelona win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. lost0–2v Bayern München
  2. won2–0at Levante
  3. won1–0v Deportivo La Coruna
  4. drew1–1at VfB Stuttgart
  5. won1–0at Espanyol
BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. won3–0v Aston Villa
  2. won6–1v Alaves
  3. lost1–2v Real Madrid
  4. lost2–4at Paris Saint Germain
  5. won5–2at Real Betis

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 256 of 321.
  • Barcelona won 57 of 67 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
  • Barcelona won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Barcelona's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Atletico Madrid 3, draws 1, Barcelona 6

Goals: Atletico Madrid 17, Barcelona 20

DateMatchScore
14 Apr 2026Atletico Madrid v BarcelonaUEFA Champions League1–2
8 Apr 2026Barcelona v Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League0–2
4 Apr 2026Atletico Madrid v Barcelona1–2
3 Mar 2026Barcelona v Atletico MadridCopa del Rey3–0
12 Feb 2026Atletico Madrid v BarcelonaCopa del Rey4–0
2 Dec 2025Barcelona v Atletico Madrid3–1
2 Apr 2025Atletico Madrid v BarcelonaCopa del Rey0–1
16 Mar 2025Atletico Madrid v Barcelona2–4
25 Feb 2025Barcelona v Atletico MadridCopa del Rey4–4
21 Dec 2024Barcelona v Atletico Madrid1–2

Home and away

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostBayern MünchenUEFA Champions League3 Nov 20260–2
  • WonDeportivo La Coruna24 Oct 20261–0
  • WonManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20262–0
  • WonReal Madrid20 Sep 20262–1
  • WonOsasuna16 Sep 20264–0

Atletico Madrid: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Barcelona

Barcelona away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostParis Saint GermainUEFA Champions League20 Oct 20262–4
  • WonReal Betis17 Oct 20265–2
  • WonGalatasarayUEFA Champions League13 Oct 20264–1
  • WonSevilla19 Sep 20263–1
  • WonLevante13 Sep 20264–2

Barcelona: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
29 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
8 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Atletico Madrid
Last match
5 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Bayern München · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known
Barcelona
Last match
5 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 10 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Barcelona

ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
Scored first57 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 67 matches778 won, 248 drawn, 147 lost in 1173 matches
Conceded first17 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost in 34 matches147 won, 248 drawn, 778 lost in 1173 matches
2+ goals up at half-time23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches175 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 188 matches
1 goal up at half-time21 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches334 won, 127 drawn, 63 lost in 524 matches
Level at half-time23 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 32 matches348 won, 378 drawn, 348 lost in 1074 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes27 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches242 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 255 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes29 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 34 matches373 won, 121 drawn, 41 lost in 535 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches266 won, 386 drawn, 266 lost in 918 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes36 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 37 matches283 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 291 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches404 won, 105 drawn, 26 lost in 535 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches211 won, 424 drawn, 211 lost in 846 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes44 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 45 matches337 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 344 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches419 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 521 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches156 won, 456 drawn, 156 lost in 768 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes26 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches197 won, 76 drawn, 58 lost in 331 matches
Level after 15 minutes40 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 59 matches657 won, 492 drawn, 657 lost in 1806 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes21 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches297 won, 102 drawn, 62 lost in 461 matches
Level after 30 minutes30 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost in 44 matches485 won, 428 drawn, 485 lost in 1398 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
All matches59 scored, 27 conceded (101)805 scored, 805 conceded (2498)
When leading after 75 minutes40 scored, 12 conceded (68)288 scored, 279 conceded (848)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 14, by full time 32(league sides: 1,317 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 612)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 10 Nov 2024

Atletico MadridBarcelona
75Matches with xG75
122.81xG for184.13
134Goals scored203
84.34xG against85.32
75Goals conceded76

Atletico Madrid

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Atletico Madrid: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Levante0.631.332–0
24 Oct 2026v Deportivo La Coruna1.491.731–0
17 Oct 2026at Espanyol1.410.611–0
10 Oct 2026at Alaves2.051.302–1
20 Sep 2026v Real Madrid2.350.302–1
16 Sep 2026v Osasuna3.990.484–0
13 Sep 2026at Real Sociedad2.050.273–0
5 Sep 2026at Athletic Club1.021.410–3
29 Aug 2026at Sevilla0.930.903–1
23 Aug 2026v Villarreal0.783.602–2

Barcelona

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Barcelona: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v Alaves3.300.786–1
25 Oct 2026v Real Madrid1.272.001–2
17 Oct 2026at Real Betis3.131.275–2
10 Oct 2026v Getafe1.930.143–0
19 Sep 2026at Sevilla3.470.403–1
16 Sep 2026v Racing Santander6.741.987–2
13 Sep 2026at Levante2.582.424–2
6 Sep 2026at Valencia4.080.665–0
31 Aug 2026v Rayo Vallecano3.041.215–2
27 Aug 2026v Athletic Club4.230.252–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

Atletico MadridBarcelona
11 of 11Matches with xG11 of 11
28Points in those matches30
18.63xPts26.66
17.62xG for38.15
12.08xG against11.81

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Atletico Madrid and Barcelona

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:03 GMT

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