LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
La Liga
Barcelona
6–1Finished
Alaves
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 20:00 GMTMatchday 11 · Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona

Barcelona v Alaves match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Barcelona are modelled to have a 79% chance of winning this home fixture against Alaves. The hosts have won three of their last five matches and are expected to create 2.79 goals, while Alaves are expected to create 0.81 and have won none of their last five. Barcelona have four players sidelined or doubtful through injury.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 79%Barcelona win
  • 14%Draw
  • 7%Alaves win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–2v Real Madrid
  2. lost2–4at Paris Saint Germain
  3. won5–2at Real Betis
  4. won4–1at Galatasaray
  5. won3–0v Getafe
AlavesAlaves

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

  1. drew1–1v Malaga
  2. lost1–2at Celta Vigo
  3. lost1–2v Atletico Madrid
  4. drew0–0at Athletic Club
  5. lost0–1v Valencia

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Barcelona won 57 of 67 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Alaves won 18 of 33 matches in which they scored first, since 1 Nov 2024.
  • Barcelona won 6 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Alaves's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Barcelona 6, draws 1, Alaves 1

Goals: Barcelona 14, Alaves 5

DateMatchScore
13 May 2026Alaves v Barcelona1–0
29 Nov 2025Barcelona v Alaves3–1
2 Feb 2025Barcelona v Alaves1–0
6 Oct 2024Alaves v Barcelona0–3
3 Feb 2024Alaves v Barcelona1–3
12 Nov 2023Barcelona v Alaves2–1
23 Jan 2022Alaves v Barcelona0–1
30 Oct 2021Barcelona v Alaves1–1

Home and away

Barcelona

Barcelona at home

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostReal Madrid25 Oct 20261–2
  • WonGetafe10 Oct 20263–0
  • WonRacing Santander16 Sep 20267–2
  • WonFeyenoordUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20265–1
  • WonRayo Vallecano31 Aug 20265–2

Barcelona: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
29 scored, 8 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Alaves

Alaves away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostCelta Vigo18 Oct 20261–2
  • DrawnAthletic Club19 Sep 20260–0
  • LostRacing Santander12 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnRayo Vallecano20 Aug 20261–1
  • WonOviedo17 May 20261–0

Alaves: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 17 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Barcelona
Last match
6 days before25 Oct 2026 · v Real Madrid · La Liga
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Aston Villa · UEFA Champions League
Alaves
Last match
8 days before23 Oct 2026 · v Malaga · La Liga
Next match
6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Sevilla · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Barcelona

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
Scored first57 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 67 matches773 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1166 matches
Conceded first17 won, 4 drawn, 13 lost in 34 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 773 lost in 1166 matches
2+ goals up at half-time23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches172 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 185 matches
1 goal up at half-time21 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches333 won, 127 drawn, 61 lost in 521 matches
Level at half-time23 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 32 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes27 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 27 matches239 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 252 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes29 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 34 matches372 won, 121 drawn, 39 lost in 532 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches265 won, 386 drawn, 265 lost in 916 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes36 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 37 matches281 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 289 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches401 won, 105 drawn, 26 lost in 532 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches209 won, 424 drawn, 209 lost in 842 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes44 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 45 matches335 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 342 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches415 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 517 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches155 won, 456 drawn, 155 lost in 766 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes26 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches194 won, 76 drawn, 58 lost in 328 matches
Level after 15 minutes40 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 59 matches653 won, 492 drawn, 653 lost in 1798 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches297 won, 102 drawn, 61 lost in 460 matches
Level after 30 minutes31 won, 5 drawn, 9 lost in 45 matches481 won, 428 drawn, 481 lost in 1390 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
All matches59 scored, 27 conceded (101)801 scored, 801 conceded (2484)
When leading after 75 minutes40 scored, 12 conceded (68)286 scored, 278 conceded (842)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 43 times, equalised within 15 minutes 14, by full time 32(league sides: 1,308 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Alaves

Since 1 Nov 2024

ScoreAlavesLeague sides
Scored first18 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 33 matches773 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1166 matches
Conceded first3 won, 12 drawn, 24 lost in 39 matches145 won, 248 drawn, 773 lost in 1166 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 39 matches347 won, 378 drawn, 347 lost in 1072 matches
Level after 60 minutes9 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 33 matches265 won, 386 drawn, 265 lost in 916 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes1 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches39 won, 121 drawn, 372 lost in 532 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches209 won, 424 drawn, 209 lost in 842 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 20 matches26 won, 105 drawn, 401 lost in 532 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes18 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches415 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 517 matches
Level after 80 minutes1 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches155 won, 456 drawn, 155 lost in 766 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes0 won, 6 drawn, 16 lost in 22 matches12 won, 90 drawn, 415 lost in 517 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 14 drawn, 24 lost in 54 matches653 won, 492 drawn, 653 lost in 1798 matches
Level after 30 minutes13 won, 15 drawn, 19 lost in 47 matches481 won, 428 drawn, 481 lost in 1390 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAlavesLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 29 conceded (75)801 scored, 801 conceded (2484)
When leading after 75 minutes3 scored, 10 conceded (21)286 scored, 278 conceded (842)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 14 conceded (30)237 scored, 237 conceded (800)
When trailing after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (24)278 scored, 286 conceded (842)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 22(league sides: 1,308 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 609)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

BarcelonaAlaves
75Since 3 Nov 2024Matches with xG75Since 1 Nov 2024
182.66xG for91.12
200Goals scored83
85.51xG against89.81
76Goals conceded96

Barcelona

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Barcelona: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Real Madrid1.272.001–2
17 Oct 2026at Real Betis3.131.275–2
10 Oct 2026v Getafe1.930.143–0
19 Sep 2026at Sevilla3.470.403–1
16 Sep 2026v Racing Santander6.741.987–2
13 Sep 2026at Levante2.582.424–2
6 Sep 2026at Valencia4.080.665–0
31 Aug 2026v Rayo Vallecano3.041.215–2
27 Aug 2026v Athletic Club4.230.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Elche4.380.705–0

Alaves

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Alaves: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026v Malaga1.550.491–1
18 Oct 2026at Celta Vigo1.060.971–2
10 Oct 2026v Atletico Madrid1.302.051–2
19 Sep 2026at Athletic Club0.051.620–0
15 Sep 2026v Valencia1.050.650–1
12 Sep 2026at Racing Santander1.982.011–2
6 Sep 2026v Osasuna1.201.645–2
28 Aug 2026v Villarreal0.811.401–0
20 Aug 2026at Rayo Vallecano2.000.421–1
15 Aug 2026v Getafe1.930.243–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

BarcelonaAlaves
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
27Points in those matches12
24.02xPts14.77
34.85xG for12.93
11.03xG against11.49

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Barcelona and Alaves

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • BarcelonaBarcelona
    Ruled out
    R. Bardghji (Knee Injury) · A. Christensen (Muscle Injury) · X. Espart (Ankle Injury) · D. Olmo (Groin Injury)
    Doubtful
    E. Garcia (Muscle Injury) · J. Kounde (Ankle Injury)
  • AlavesAlaves
    Ruled out
    F. Garces (Suspended) · M. Rodriguez (Ankle Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 18:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures