La LigaSat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:30 BST

Barcelona v Getafe match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 10 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 70%Barcelona win
  • 19%Draw
  • 11%Getafe win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

BarcelonaBarcelona

Last 5: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats

GetafeGetafe

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Barcelona won 58 of 68 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Getafe won 25 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • Barcelona won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Barcelona unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Barcelona 6, draws 4, Getafe 0

Goals: Barcelona 14, Getafe 2

DateMatchScore
25 Apr 2026Getafe v Barcelona0–2
21 Sep 2025Barcelona v Getafe3–0
18 Jan 2025Getafe v Barcelona1–1
25 Sep 2024Barcelona v Getafe1–0
24 Feb 2024Barcelona v Getafe4–0
13 Aug 2023Getafe v Barcelona0–0
16 Apr 2023Getafe v Barcelona0–0
22 Jan 2023Barcelona v Getafe1–0
15 May 2022Getafe v Barcelona0–0
29 Aug 2021Barcelona v Getafe2–1

Home and away

Barcelona

Barcelona at home

Last 5: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonRacing Santander16 Sep 20267–2
  • WonFeyenoordUEFA Champions League9 Sep 20265–1
  • WonRayo Vallecano31 Aug 20265–2
  • WonAthletic Club27 Aug 20262–0
  • WonReal Betis17 May 20263–1

Barcelona: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
34 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Getafe

Getafe away

Last 5: 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost

  • LostReal Betis17 Sep 20260–1
  • LostOsasuna31 Aug 20260–1
  • LostFK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference League27 Aug 20261–2
  • LostAlaves15 Aug 20260–3
  • LostElche17 May 20260–1

Getafe: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
4 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
1 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Barcelona
Last match
21 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Sevilla · La Liga
Next match
3 days after13 Oct 2026 · v Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League
Getafe
Last match
20 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Malaga · La Liga
Next match
5 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa Conference League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 20 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Barcelona

ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
Scored first58 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 68 matches752 won, 243 drawn, 143 lost in 1138 matches
Conceded first16 won, 4 drawn, 11 lost in 31 matches143 won, 243 drawn, 752 lost in 1138 matches
2+ goals up at half-time24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches164 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 177 matches
1 goal up at half-time20 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 25 matches326 won, 124 drawn, 60 lost in 510 matches
Level at half-time23 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 32 matches340 won, 366 drawn, 340 lost in 1046 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes28 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches231 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 244 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes28 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 33 matches362 won, 118 drawn, 38 lost in 518 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches261 won, 374 drawn, 261 lost in 896 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes36 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 37 matches272 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 280 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches392 won, 102 drawn, 26 lost in 520 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches204 won, 412 drawn, 204 lost in 820 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes44 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 45 matches325 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 332 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches407 won, 87 drawn, 12 lost in 506 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches150 won, 444 drawn, 150 lost in 744 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes25 won, 3 drawn, 0 lost in 28 matches188 won, 73 drawn, 58 lost in 319 matches
Level after 15 minutes41 won, 6 drawn, 11 lost in 58 matches636 won, 480 drawn, 636 lost in 1752 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches289 won, 99 drawn, 61 lost in 449 matches
Level after 30 minutes32 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 44 matches469 won, 416 drawn, 469 lost in 1354 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBarcelonaLeague sides
All matches61 scored, 25 conceded (99)782 scored, 782 conceded (2420)
When leading after 75 minutes43 scored, 13 conceded (68)278 scored, 272 conceded (821)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 28(league sides: 1,278 times, within 15 minutes 211, by full time 597)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Getafe

ScoreGetafeLeague sides
Scored first25 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 32 matches752 won, 243 drawn, 143 lost in 1138 matches
Conceded first2 won, 5 drawn, 32 lost in 39 matches143 won, 243 drawn, 752 lost in 1138 matches
Level at half-time14 won, 7 drawn, 13 lost in 34 matches340 won, 366 drawn, 340 lost in 1046 matches
1 goal down at half-time1 won, 4 drawn, 18 lost in 23 matches60 won, 124 drawn, 326 lost in 510 matches
Level after 60 minutes10 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 30 matches261 won, 374 drawn, 261 lost in 896 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches38 won, 118 drawn, 362 lost in 518 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost in 22 matches204 won, 412 drawn, 204 lost in 820 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes0 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 23 matches26 won, 102 drawn, 392 lost in 520 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 24 matches12 won, 87 drawn, 407 lost in 506 matches
Level after 15 minutes21 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 59 matches636 won, 480 drawn, 636 lost in 1752 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 9 drawn, 21 lost in 49 matches469 won, 416 drawn, 469 lost in 1354 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreGetafeLeague sides
All matches14 scored, 20 conceded (74)782 scored, 782 conceded (2420)
When leading after 75 minutes5 scored, 6 conceded (26)278 scored, 272 conceded (821)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 5 conceded (31)272 scored, 278 conceded (821)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 9(league sides: 1,278 times, within 15 minutes 211, by full time 597)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 20 Oct 2024

BarcelonaGetafe
74Matches with xG74
182.77xG for63.34
200Goals scored64
84.50xG against87.63
73Goals conceded77

Barcelona

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Barcelona: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026at Sevilla3.470.403–1
16 Sep 2026v Racing Santander6.741.987–2
13 Sep 2026at Levante2.582.424–2
6 Sep 2026at Valencia4.080.665–0
31 Aug 2026v Rayo Vallecano3.041.215–2
27 Aug 2026v Athletic Club4.230.252–0
23 Aug 2026at Elche4.380.705–0
23 May 2026at Valencia1.521.481–3
17 May 2026v Real Betis1.120.973–1
13 May 2026at Alaves0.590.660–1

Getafe

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Getafe: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026v Malaga0.950.521–0
17 Sep 2026at Real Betis0.291.890–1
13 Sep 2026v Deportivo La Coruna0.780.871–1
7 Sep 2026v Celta Vigo0.651.031–1
31 Aug 2026at Osasuna0.681.680–1
23 Aug 2026v Racing Santander1.241.311–0
15 Aug 2026at Alaves0.241.930–3
23 May 2026v Osasuna0.210.511–0
17 May 2026at Elche0.110.660–1
13 May 2026v Mallorca1.580.413–1

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

BarcelonaGetafe
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
21Points in those matches8
18.11xPts6.58
28.52xG for4.83
7.62xG against9.23

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Barcelona and Getafe

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • BarcelonaBarcelonaR. Bardghji (Knee Injury) · A. Christensen (Muscle Injury) · Raphinha (Muscle Injury) · F. de Jong (Knee Injury)
  • GetafeGetafeJuanmi (Knee Injury) · C. Uche (Knee Injury) · A. Abqar (Muscle Injury)

Published 10 Oct 2026, 05:38 BST · not changed since

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