Beşiktaş v Başakşehir match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 26 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 53%Beşiktaş win
- 25%Draw
- 22%Başakşehir win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
BeşiktaşLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
BaşakşehirLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Beşiktaş won 35 of 50 matches in which they scored first, since 28 Oct 2024.
- Başakşehir won 29 of 37 matches in which they scored first, since 28 Oct 2024.
- Beşiktaş won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
- Beşiktaş unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Beşiktaş 4, draws 3, Başakşehir 3
Goals: Beşiktaş 13, Başakşehir 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Başakşehir v Beşiktaş | 2–3 |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Beşiktaş v Başakşehir | 2–1 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Beşiktaş v Başakşehir | 0–2 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Başakşehir v Beşiktaş | 0–0 |
| 4 Apr 2024 | Başakşehir v Beşiktaş | 1–1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Beşiktaş v Başakşehir | 1–0 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Başakşehir v Beşiktaş | 0–2 |
| 12 Sep 2022 | Beşiktaş v Başakşehir | 0–1 |
| 7 Mar 2022 | Beşiktaş v Başakşehir | 2–2 |
| 15 Oct 2021 | Başakşehir v Beşiktaş | 3–2 |
Home and away
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnCrystal PalaceUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20262–2
- WonKocaelispor11 Oct 20262–1
- WonMarseilleUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20264–1
- WonErzurumspor FK11 Sep 20263–0
- WonÇorum FK31 Aug 20266–2
Beşiktaş: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 23 scored, 9 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir away
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- DrawnKonyaspor11 Oct 20260–0
- LostAmed13 Sep 20260–5
- LostTrabzonspor23 Aug 20261–2
- LostInter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference League30 Jul 20260–2
- WonGaziantep FK16 May 20262–1
Başakşehir: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Beşiktaş- Last match
- 4 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Crystal Palace · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 6 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
Başakşehir- Last match
- 8 days before18 Oct 2026 · v Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 6 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Samsunspor · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 28 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Beşiktaş
| Score | Beşiktaş | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 35 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 50 matches | 676 won, 198 drawn, 147 lost in 1021 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost in 33 matches | 147 won, 198 drawn, 676 lost in 1021 matches |
| Level at half-time | 18 won, 10 drawn, 11 lost in 39 matches | 274 won, 326 drawn, 274 lost in 874 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 18 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 345 won, 100 drawn, 44 lost in 489 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 35 matches | 199 won, 338 drawn, 199 lost in 736 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches | 339 won, 86 drawn, 27 lost in 452 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 9 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 30 matches | 159 won, 380 drawn, 159 lost in 698 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 360 won, 71 drawn, 11 lost in 442 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches | 120 won, 416 drawn, 120 lost in 656 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 30 won, 12 drawn, 18 lost in 60 matches | 554 won, 460 drawn, 554 lost in 1568 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 21 won, 9 drawn, 15 lost in 45 matches | 400 won, 356 drawn, 400 lost in 1156 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Beşiktaş | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 28 scored, 22 conceded (86) | 748 scored, 748 conceded (2212) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 7 conceded (38) | 295 scored, 260 conceded (770) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 9 conceded (28) | 193 scored, 193 conceded (672) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 6 conceded (20) | 260 scored, 295 conceded (770) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 38 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 20(league sides: 1,177 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 524)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Başakşehir
| Score | Başakşehir | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 29 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost in 37 matches | 676 won, 198 drawn, 147 lost in 1021 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 4 drawn, 20 lost in 26 matches | 147 won, 198 drawn, 676 lost in 1021 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches | 274 won, 326 drawn, 274 lost in 874 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 12 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches | 199 won, 338 drawn, 199 lost in 736 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 23 matches | 159 won, 380 drawn, 159 lost in 698 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 5 won, 12 drawn, 5 lost in 22 matches | 120 won, 416 drawn, 120 lost in 656 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 16 won, 15 drawn, 21 lost in 52 matches | 554 won, 460 drawn, 554 lost in 1568 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 16 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 269 won, 99 drawn, 66 lost in 434 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 11 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches | 400 won, 356 drawn, 400 lost in 1156 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Başakşehir | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 29 scored, 22 conceded (70) | 748 scored, 748 conceded (2212) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 9 conceded (29) | 295 scored, 260 conceded (770) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 3 conceded (20) | 193 scored, 193 conceded (672) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 10 conceded (21) | 260 scored, 295 conceded (770) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 19(league sides: 1,177 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 524)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 28 Oct 2024
| Beşiktaş | Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Matches with xG | 70 |
| 124.80 | xG for | 110.41 |
| 117 | Goals scored | 116 |
| 72.89 | xG against | 95.20 |
| 81 | Goals conceded | 93 |
Beşiktaş
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 1.19 | 2.35 | 0–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Kocaelispor | 2.21 | 1.65 | 2–1 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Amed | 2.04 | 1.54 | 2–3 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v Erzurumspor FK | 2.29 | 0.50 | 3–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Fenerbahçe | 1.75 | 0.59 | 2–1 |
| 31 Aug 2026 | v Çorum FK | 2.97 | 0.67 | 6–2 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Alanyaspor | 0.74 | 0.54 | 0–1 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | v Eyüpspor | 1.28 | 0.09 | 1–0 |
| 15 May 2026 | at Rizespor | 1.82 | 2.87 | 2–2 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Trabzonspor | 2.22 | 0.69 | 1–2 |
Başakşehir
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 2.03 | 1.13 | 2–1 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Konyaspor | 0.97 | 0.41 | 0–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2.74 | 0.52 | 4–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | at Amed | 0.39 | 4.25 | 0–5 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | v Galatasaray | 1.99 | 2.12 | 2–3 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Kasımpaşa | 0.76 | 1.69 | 1–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | at Trabzonspor | 1.95 | 2.27 | 1–2 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | v Kocaelispor | 1.96 | 0.43 | 2–0 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Gaziantep FK | 2.21 | 0.63 | 2–1 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Samsunspor | 3.31 | 0.32 | 3–0 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Beşiktaş | Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 15 | Points in those matches | 11 |
| 15.29 | xPts | 12.15 |
| 14.47 | xG for | 12.79 |
| 7.93 | xG against | 12.82 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Beşiktaş and Başakşehir
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- O. Kokcu (Foot Injury) · M. Rashica (Muscle Injury)
- Doubtful
- F. Miretti (Injury)
- Doubtful
- C. Operi (Inactive) · J. Opoku (Inactive)
Published 26 Oct 2026, 13:08 GMT · not changed since
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