Blackburn v West Ham match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
West Ham are favoured by the model with a 52% chance of victory against a Blackburn side that has struggled recently, winning just once in their last five matches. Expected goals of 1.77 to 1.12 suggest the visitors should create more attacking chances, with an expected match total of 2.89. West Ham's recent form shows two wins in their last five games, while Blackburn's record is one win in five.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 23%Blackburn win
- 25%Draw
- 52%West Ham win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
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Form · newest first
BlackburnLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- lost1–2v Stoke City
- lost0–4at Swansea
- won2–0v Wrexham
- lost2–3at West Brom
- won1–0at Bristol City
West HamLast 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats
- drew3–3at Cardiff
- lost1–3v West Brom
- lost2–3v Southampton
- won1–0at Swansea
- won6–0at Lincoln
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Blackburn won 28 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- West Ham won 22 of 35 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- West Ham unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of West Ham's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
1 meeting: Blackburn 0, draws 1, West Ham 0
Goals: Blackburn 2, West Ham 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2022 | West Ham v BlackburnLeague Cup | 2–2 PEN |
Home and away
BlackburnBlackburn at home
Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- LostStoke City3 Nov 20261–2
- WonWrexham24 Oct 20262–0
- WonCardiff10 Oct 20262–1
- WonMillwall12 Sep 20263–1
- LostSheffield Utd8 Sep 20261–2
Blackburn: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
West HamWest Ham away
Last 5: 3 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost
- DrawnCardiff4 Nov 20263–3
- WonSwansea17 Oct 20261–0
- WonLincoln14 Oct 20266–0
- DrawnMillwall19 Sep 20262–2
- WonBolton8 Sep 20263–2
West Ham: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 19 scored, 16 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Blackburn- Last match
- 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Stoke City · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
West Ham- Last match
- 3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Cardiff · Championship
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Preston · Championship
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Blackburn
| Score | Blackburn | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 28 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost in 43 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 10 drawn, 30 lost in 44 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 14 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches | 518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 15 drawn, 15 lost in 42 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches | 549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 12 drawn, 14 lost in 33 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 18 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 24 matches | 576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 3 won, 12 drawn, 12 lost in 27 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches | 47 won, 153 drawn, 576 lost in 776 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 17 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 3 drawn, 23 lost in 26 matches | 19 won, 121 drawn, 654 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 27 won, 19 drawn, 27 lost in 73 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 16 drawn, 22 lost in 58 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Blackburn | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 27 conceded (92) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 6 conceded (32) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 13 conceded (24) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 8 conceded (36) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 16(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
West Ham
| Score | West Ham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 22 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 35 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 2 won, 11 drawn, 29 lost in 42 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| Level at half-time | 8 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 29 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 23 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 25 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 2 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 50 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 14 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches | 108 won, 149 drawn, 445 lost in 702 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | West Ham | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 29 scored, 28 conceded (80) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 10 conceded (27) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 9 conceded (22) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 9 conceded (31) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 18(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Blackburn | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Matches with xG | 80 |
| 105.57 | xG for | 108.67 |
| 99 | Goals scored | 115 |
| 117.01 | xG against | 120.62 |
| 110 | Goals conceded | 129 |
Blackburn
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Stoke City | 1.90 | 1.29 | 1–2 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Swansea | 0.54 | 2.82 | 0–4 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Wrexham | 1.61 | 1.74 | 2–0 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at West Brom | 0.84 | 3.72 | 2–3 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Bristol City | 0.15 | 1.95 | 1–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Cardiff | 2.42 | 1.05 | 2–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Portsmouth | 0.59 | 1.60 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Millwall | 1.23 | 1.67 | 3–1 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | v Sheffield Utd | 1.60 | 0.47 | 1–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Preston | 1.09 | 2.19 | 1–2 |
West Ham
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | at Cardiff | 2.81 | 1.19 | 3–3 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | v West Brom | 0.95 | 2.08 | 1–3 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Southampton | 1.60 | 1.61 | 2–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Swansea | 1.21 | 1.08 | 1–0 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | at Lincoln | 3.23 | 0.39 | 6–0 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | v QPR | 1.44 | 1.27 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Millwall | 1.87 | 2.68 | 2–2 |
| 11 Sep 2026 | v Wrexham | 2.96 | 0.44 | 6–0 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | at Bolton | 2.22 | 1.56 | 3–2 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Derby | 3.79 | 0.11 | 3–0 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Blackburn | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 14 | Matches with xG | 14 of 14 |
| 18 | Points in those matches | 23 |
| 13.74 | xPts | 24.89 |
| 14.86 | xG for | 29.19 |
| 24.77 | xG against | 17.90 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Blackburn and West Ham
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since
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