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Serie A
Bologna
2–1Finished
Monza
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 GMTMatchday 10 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna v Monza match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Bologna a 56% chance of winning, with the hosts favoured in expected goals at 1.76 to 0.99 (a gap of 0.77 in Bologna's favour). Bologna have won two of their last five matches with one draw, while Monza have won twice in five. Bologna won their two most recent meetings 3–1 and 4–0.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 56%Bologna win
  • 25%Draw
  • 19%Monza win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

BolognaBologna

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won4–2at AC Milan
  2. won2–0at Cagliari
  3. lost1–3v Inter
  4. won2–1at Lecce
  5. drew1–1v Torino
MonzaMonza

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–4v Napoli
  2. lost2–3at Torino
  3. won4–0v Cagliari
  4. lost1–3at Lazio
  5. won2–1v Sassuolo

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Bologna won 32 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 218 of 277.
  • Bologna won 4 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Bologna without a win in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

7 meetings: Bologna 4, draws 2, Monza 1

Goals: Bologna 11, Monza 4

DateMatchScore
18 Jan 2025Bologna v Monza3–1
3 Dec 2024Bologna v MonzaCoppa Italia4–0
22 Sep 2024Monza v Bologna1–2
13 Apr 2024Bologna v Monza0–0
28 Sep 2023Monza v Bologna0–0
12 Feb 2023Bologna v Monza0–1
31 Oct 2022Monza v Bologna1–2

Home and away

Bologna

Bologna at home

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostInter17 Oct 20261–3
  • DrawnTorino19 Sep 20261–1
  • DrawnSassuolo6 Sep 20262–2
  • LostLazio24 Aug 20260–1
  • DrawnInter23 May 20263–3

Bologna: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Monza

Monza away

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostTorino23 Oct 20262–3
  • LostLazio11 Oct 20261–3
  • LostLecce13 Sep 20262–3
  • DrawnParma6 Sep 20261–1
  • WonTorinoCoppa Italia1 Sep 20261–0

Monza: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Bologna
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v AC Milan · Serie A
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Parma · Serie A
Monza
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Napoli · Serie A
Next match
8 days after8 Nov 2026 · v Atalanta · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Bologna

ScoreBolognaLeague sides
Scored first32 won, 10 drawn, 5 lost in 47 matches768 won, 239 drawn, 127 lost in 1134 matches
Conceded first8 won, 9 drawn, 25 lost in 42 matches127 won, 239 drawn, 768 lost in 1134 matches
1 goal up at half-time13 won, 7 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches337 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 519 matches
Level at half-time18 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 44 matches325 won, 396 drawn, 325 lost in 1046 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes19 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 25 matches375 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 522 matches
Level after 60 minutes12 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 33 matches241 won, 410 drawn, 241 lost in 892 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 8 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches393 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 514 matches
Level after 70 minutes11 won, 14 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches180 won, 450 drawn, 180 lost in 810 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 6 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches436 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 534 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 18 drawn, 6 lost in 31 matches109 won, 492 drawn, 109 lost in 710 matches
Level after 15 minutes31 won, 20 drawn, 24 lost in 75 matches626 won, 542 drawn, 626 lost in 1794 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes13 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches297 won, 111 drawn, 60 lost in 468 matches
Level after 30 minutes21 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 53 matches454 won, 428 drawn, 454 lost in 1336 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBolognaLeague sides
All matches25 scored, 27 conceded (95)719 scored, 719 conceded (2460)
When leading after 75 minutes12 scored, 14 conceded (42)252 scored, 234 conceded (837)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 6 conceded (28)233 scored, 233 conceded (786)
When trailing after 75 minutes5 scored, 7 conceded (25)234 scored, 252 conceded (837)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 25(league sides: 1,270 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 566)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 2 Nov 2024

BolognaMonza
76Matches with xG37
97.15xG for39.72
107Goals scored34
84.75xG against57.54
94Goals conceded78

Bologna

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Bologna: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026at AC Milan2.111.844–2
24 Oct 2026at Cagliari1.640.442–0
17 Oct 2026v Inter1.093.221–3
11 Oct 2026at Lecce1.981.492–1
19 Sep 2026v Torino0.921.141–1
13 Sep 2026at Napoli0.291.190–1
6 Sep 2026v Sassuolo1.881.622–2
31 Aug 2026at Atalanta1.050.150–1
24 Aug 2026v Lazio1.780.630–1
23 May 2026v Inter1.401.783–3

Monza

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Monza: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026v Napoli1.221.841–4
23 Oct 2026at Torino0.681.402–3
19 Oct 2026v Cagliari2.102.114–0
11 Oct 2026at Lazio1.761.841–3
18 Sep 2026v Sassuolo1.511.472–1
13 Sep 2026at Lecce2.791.082–3
6 Sep 2026at Parma1.720.731–1
29 Aug 2026v Udinese1.700.982–3
22 Aug 2026at Inter1.231.051–4
24 May 2025at AC Milan0.341.490–2

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

BolognaMonza
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
11Points in those matches7
13.52xPts13.71
12.74xG for14.71
11.72xG against12.50

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Bologna and Monza

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • BolognaBologna
    Ruled out
    L. De Silvestri (Muscle Injury) · J. Enem (Achilles Tendon Injury) · E. Holm (Thigh Injury) · R. Piccoli (Hamstring Injury)
  • MonzaMonza
    Ruled out
    M. Folorunsho (Coach's decision) · Y. Maye (Muscle Injury) · M. Pessina (Knee Injury) · J. Ziolkowski (Foot Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 12:57 GMT · not changed since

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