Bolton v Portsmouth · analysis and preview
Add to JournalNo signal on this match
Most likely: Bolton win
How the match could end · our estimate
- 39%Bolton win
- 27%Draw
- 34%Portsmouth win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
BoltonLast 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- lost1–3at Derby
- won1–0at Charlton
- lost2–3v Bristol City
- lost1–5v Middlesbrough
- drew0–0at Southampton
PortsmouthLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
- lost1–2v Stoke City
- won3–1v Swansea
- drew0–0at Burnley
- won2–1v Millwall
- drew1–1at Wolves
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 329 of 423.
- Portsmouth won 28 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 30 Nov 2024.
- Portsmouth won 3 of the last 6 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Bolton's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Bolton 1, draws 2, Portsmouth 3
Goals: Bolton 6, Portsmouth 8
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | Bolton v PortsmouthLeague One | 1–1 |
| 11 Dec 2023 | Portsmouth v BoltonLeague One | 2–0 |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Portsmouth v BoltonLeague One | 3–1 |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Bolton v PortsmouthLeague One | 3–0 |
| 5 Apr 2022 | Bolton v PortsmouthLeague One | 1–1 |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Portsmouth v BoltonLeague One | 1–0 |
Home and away
BoltonBolton at home
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostBristol City31 Oct 20262–3
- LostMiddlesbrough23 Oct 20261–5
- LostStoke City10 Oct 20261–2
- WonCardiff12 Sep 20261–0
- LostWest Ham8 Sep 20262–3
Bolton: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
PortsmouthPortsmouth away
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnBurnley31 Oct 20260–0
- DrawnWolves20 Oct 20261–1
- WonNorwich17 Oct 20261–0
- LostSouthampton11 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnCharlton12 Sep 20260–0
Portsmouth: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 11 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Bolton- Last match
- 15 days before6 Nov 2026 · v Derby · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
Portsmouth- Last match
- 14 days before7 Nov 2026 · v Stoke City · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 30 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Portsmouth
| Score | Portsmouth | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 28 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 40 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 4 won, 8 drawn, 33 lost in 45 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches |
| Level at half-time | 10 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 35 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 2 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches | 96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 8 won, 18 drawn, 10 lost in 36 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 17 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 20 drawn, 4 lost in 28 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 27 won, 18 drawn, 22 lost in 67 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 15 drawn, 15 lost in 50 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 1 won, 4 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 108 won, 149 drawn, 445 lost in 702 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Portsmouth | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 27 scored, 21 conceded (91) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 4 conceded (28) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 9 conceded (28) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 8 conceded (35) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 18(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 30 Nov 2024
| Bolton | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| — | Matches with xG | 91 |
| — | xG for | 108.10 |
| — | Goals scored | 110 |
| — | xG against | 116.98 |
| — | Goals conceded | 123 |
Portsmouth
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Swansea | 1.44 | 2.31 | 3–1 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Burnley | 0.31 | 1.97 | 0–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Millwall | 0.91 | 0.73 | 2–1 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | at Wolves | 0.78 | 0.95 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Norwich | 1.25 | 0.37 | 1–0 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | v Sheffield Utd | 2.01 | 1.80 | 3–2 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Southampton | 1.18 | 1.28 | 0–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Blackburn | 1.60 | 0.59 | 2–2 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Charlton | 0.40 | 0.82 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Cardiff | 2.07 | 1.37 | 2–0 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Bolton | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 15 | Matches with xG | 14 of 15 |
| 17 | Points in those matches | 22 |
| 14.86 | xPts | 19.33 |
| 18.44 | xG for | 17.54 |
| 27.34 | xG against | 17.74 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Bolton and Portsmouth
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:53 GMT
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