LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1–0Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:30 BSTMatchday 7 · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 65% chance of winning, with expected goals of 2.38 to Frankfurt's 1.16. Both teams have defensive concerns: Dortmund are missing three players while Frankfurt have four doubtful. The model expects 3.54 goals.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 65%Borussia Dortmund win
  • 19%Draw
  • 16%Eintracht Frankfurt win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Borussia Dortmund won 44 of 61 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt won 28 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 24 Oct 2024.
  • Borussia Dortmund won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Borussia Dortmund 6, draws 3, Eintracht Frankfurt 1

Goals: Borussia Dortmund 24, Eintracht Frankfurt 15

DateMatchScore
8 May 2026Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
9 Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund3–3
28 Oct 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia DortmundDFB Pokal1–1 PEN
17 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund2–0
24 Aug 2024Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt2–0
17 Mar 2024Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt3–1
29 Oct 2023Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund3–3
22 Apr 2023Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt4–0
29 Oct 2022Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund1–2
8 Jan 2022Eintracht Frankfurt v Borussia Dortmund2–3

Home and away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • DrawnWerder Bremen9 Oct 20262–2
  • WonSC Paderborn 0712 Sep 20263–0
  • WonVillarrealUEFA Champions League8 Sep 20263–2
  • WonHamburger SV29 Aug 20262–0
  • WonEintracht Frankfurt8 May 20263–2

Borussia Dortmund: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
25 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostRB Leipzig10 Oct 20260–6
  • WonFSV Mainz 0512 Sep 20263–1
  • DrawnUnion Berlin29 Aug 20263–3
  • WonSC St. TönisDFB Pokal21 Aug 202611–0
  • LostBorussia Dortmund8 May 20262–3

Eintracht Frankfurt: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 21 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Borussia Dortmund
Last match
4 days before20 Oct 2026 · v Sabah FA · UEFA Champions League
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Werder Bremen · DFB Pokal
Eintracht Frankfurt
Last match
8 days before16 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Hamburger SV · DFB Pokal

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Borussia Dortmund

Since 26 Oct 2024

ScoreBorussia DortmundLeague sides
Scored first44 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 61 matches607 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 931 matches
Conceded first7 won, 2 drawn, 19 lost in 28 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 607 lost in 931 matches
1 goal up at half-time24 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches269 won, 92 drawn, 55 lost in 416 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 11 drawn, 6 lost in 29 matches205 won, 292 drawn, 205 lost in 702 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes23 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches296 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 316 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes17 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost in 26 matches249 won, 91 drawn, 29 lost in 369 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches154 won, 290 drawn, 154 lost in 598 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches331 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 341 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes20 won, 10 drawn, 1 lost in 31 matches273 won, 94 drawn, 22 lost in 389 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes30 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches358 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 361 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches74 won, 342 drawn, 74 lost in 490 matches
Level after 15 minutes35 won, 16 drawn, 17 lost in 68 matches487 won, 362 drawn, 487 lost in 1336 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes20 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches248 won, 82 drawn, 61 lost in 391 matches
Level after 30 minutes23 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost in 46 matches321 won, 314 drawn, 321 lost in 956 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBorussia DortmundLeague sides
All matches50 scored, 32 conceded (91)710 scored, 710 conceded (1968)
When leading after 75 minutes27 scored, 15 conceded (48)298 scored, 266 conceded (735)
When level after 75 minutes13 scored, 8 conceded (21)146 scored, 146 conceded (498)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 9 conceded (22)266 scored, 298 conceded (735)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 16(league sides: 1,126 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Since 24 Oct 2024

ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 47 matches607 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 931 matches
Conceded first5 won, 10 drawn, 20 lost in 35 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 607 lost in 931 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 33 matches205 won, 292 drawn, 205 lost in 702 matches
Level after 60 minutes9 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches154 won, 290 drawn, 154 lost in 598 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches331 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 341 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches105 won, 298 drawn, 105 lost in 508 matches
Level after 15 minutes24 won, 14 drawn, 17 lost in 55 matches487 won, 362 drawn, 487 lost in 1336 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes10 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches248 won, 82 drawn, 61 lost in 391 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 15 drawn, 10 lost in 40 matches321 won, 314 drawn, 321 lost in 956 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
All matches23 scored, 36 conceded (85)710 scored, 710 conceded (1968)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 18 conceded (35)298 scored, 266 conceded (735)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 6 conceded (21)146 scored, 146 conceded (498)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 12 conceded (29)266 scored, 298 conceded (735)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 1,126 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
67Since 26 Oct 2024Matches with xG67Since 27 Oct 2024
123.68xG for108.20
138Goals scored124
77.14xG against99.00
77Goals conceded116

Borussia Dortmund

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Borussia Dortmund: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
17 Oct 2026at Union Berlin1.420.900–0
9 Oct 2026v Werder Bremen2.421.132–2
19 Sep 2026at VfB Stuttgart1.340.871–0
12 Sep 2026v SC Paderborn 071.760.493–0
5 Sep 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim2.021.173–2
29 Aug 2026v Hamburger SV1.530.912–0
16 May 2026at Werder Bremen2.740.492–0
8 May 2026v Eintracht Frankfurt1.941.123–2
3 May 2026at Borussia Mönchengladbach0.492.200–1
26 Apr 2026v SC Freiburg3.370.764–0

Eintracht Frankfurt

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026v 1. FC Köln1.840.821–0
10 Oct 2026at RB Leipzig1.464.030–6
19 Sep 2026v SC Freiburg2.183.092–2
12 Sep 2026at FSV Mainz 052.042.123–1
6 Sep 2026v FC Augsburg2.221.131–4
29 Aug 2026at Union Berlin1.471.843–3
16 May 2026v VfB Stuttgart2.561.322–2
8 May 2026at Borussia Dortmund1.121.942–3
2 May 2026v Hamburger SV0.650.621–2
25 Apr 2026at FC Augsburg1.112.001–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
6 of 6Matches with xG6 of 6
14Points in those matches8
11.62xPts7.95
10.49xG for11.21
5.47xG against13.03

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
    Ruled out
    E. Can (Knee Injury) · K. Karetsas (Ankle Injury) · G. Konstantelias (Knee Injury) · J. Lerma (Muscle Injury) · K. Prates (Muscle Injury)
  • Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
    Ruled out
    J. Ngankam (Hamstring Injury)
    Doubtful
    M. Pimpong (Muscle Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 16:28 BST · not changed since

All fixtures