Borussia Dortmund v SV Elversberg match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Borussia Dortmund are strong favourites against SV Elversberg, with the model giving them a 69% chance of winning. Dortmund have won four of their last five matches, while Elversberg have won only one of theirs. Expected goals are 2.38 for Dortmund and 0.98 for Elversberg, a gap of 1.4 in the home side's favour.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 69%Borussia Dortmund win
- 19%Draw
- 12%SV Elversberg win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Borussia DortmundLast 5: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats
- won2–1v Real Betis
- drew2–2at Bayern München
- won3–2v Werder Bremen
- won1–0v Eintracht Frankfurt
- won2–1at Sabah FA
SV ElversbergLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
- won4–1v FSV Mainz 05
- lost0–2v SV Darmstadt 98
- lost0–4at RB Leipzig
- won4–3v FC Augsburg
- lost0–1at Union Berlin
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Borussia Dortmund won 46 of 62 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 149 of 200.
- Borussia Dortmund unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
Home and away
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund at home
Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost
- WonReal BetisUEFA Champions League4 Nov 20262–1
- WonWerder BremenDFB Pokal27 Oct 20263–2
- WonEintracht Frankfurt24 Oct 20261–0
- DrawnWerder Bremen9 Oct 20262–2
- WonSC Paderborn 0712 Sep 20263–0
Borussia Dortmund: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 22 scored, 10 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 10
SV ElversbergSV Elversberg away
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostRB Leipzig24 Oct 20260–4
- LostUnion Berlin10 Oct 20260–1
- DrawnFC Schalke 0420 Sep 20260–0
- WonBorussia Mönchengladbach5 Sep 20264–3
- WonMSV DuisburgDFB Pokal22 Aug 20263–1
SV Elversberg: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 12 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Borussia Dortmund- Last match
- 3 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Real Betis · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
SV Elversberg- Last match
- 8 days before30 Oct 2026 · v FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v SC Freiburg · Bundesliga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Borussia Dortmund
| Score | Borussia Dortmund | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 46 won, 14 drawn, 2 lost in 62 matches | 615 won, 199 drawn, 128 lost in 942 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost in 28 matches | 128 won, 199 drawn, 615 lost in 942 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 24 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches | 271 won, 94 drawn, 56 lost in 421 matches |
| Level at half-time | 12 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches | 209 won, 294 drawn, 209 lost in 712 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 24 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 299 won, 14 drawn, 6 lost in 319 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 18 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost in 27 matches | 252 won, 92 drawn, 30 lost in 374 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 9 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 156 won, 294 drawn, 156 lost in 606 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches | 335 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 345 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 10 drawn, 1 lost in 30 matches | 275 won, 96 drawn, 22 lost in 393 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 30 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches | 363 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 366 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 15 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 289 won, 78 drawn, 15 lost in 382 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 75 won, 346 drawn, 75 lost in 496 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 35 won, 17 drawn, 17 lost in 69 matches | 494 won, 366 drawn, 494 lost in 1354 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 20 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 250 won, 83 drawn, 62 lost in 395 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 23 won, 14 drawn, 9 lost in 46 matches | 326 won, 318 drawn, 326 lost in 970 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Borussia Dortmund | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 52 scored, 32 conceded (92) | 724 scored, 724 conceded (1992) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 27 scored, 15 conceded (48) | 302 scored, 271 conceded (743) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 14 scored, 8 conceded (22) | 151 scored, 151 conceded (506) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 9 conceded (22) | 271 scored, 302 conceded (743) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 33 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 17(league sides: 1,137 times, within 15 minutes 195, by full time 518)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Matches with xG | — |
| 122.81 | xG for | — |
| 138 | Goals scored | — |
| 81.55 | xG against | — |
| 76 | Goals conceded | — |
Borussia Dortmund
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Bayern München | 0.77 | 4.53 | 2–2 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.56 | 0.91 | 1–0 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Union Berlin | 1.42 | 0.90 | 0–0 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | v Werder Bremen | 2.42 | 1.13 | 2–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at VfB Stuttgart | 1.34 | 0.87 | 1–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v SC Paderborn 07 | 1.76 | 0.49 | 3–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at 1899 Hoffenheim | 2.02 | 1.17 | 3–2 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Hamburger SV | 1.53 | 0.91 | 2–0 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Werder Bremen | 2.74 | 0.49 | 2–0 |
| 8 May 2026 | v Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.94 | 1.12 | 3–2 |
This league season
Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.
| Borussia Dortmund | SV Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 of 8 | Matches with xG | 8 of 8 |
| 18 | Points in those matches | 13 |
| 13.56 | xPts | 7.71 |
| 12.82 | xG for | 11.16 |
| 10.91 | xG against | 16.86 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Borussia Dortmund and SV Elversberg
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 13:27 GMT · not changed since
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