Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Borussia Mönchengladbach face Hoffenheim with seven players ruled out and another doubtful through injury. The model makes Mönchengladbach slight favourites at 43%, with Hoffenheim at 34% and a draw at 24%.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 42%Borussia Mönchengladbach win
- 24%Draw
- 34%1899 Hoffenheim win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: no wins, no draws, 5 defeats
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 19 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- 1899 Hoffenheim won 19 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 9 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 6, draws 2, 1899 Hoffenheim 2
Goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach 29, 1899 Hoffenheim 19
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 4–0 |
| 14 Jan 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5–1 |
| 3 May 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 4–4 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1–2 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4–3 |
| 2 Dec 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 2–1 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1–4 |
| 6 Aug 2022 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 3–1 |
| 14 May 2022 | Borussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim | 5–1 |
| 18 Dec 2021 | 1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1–1 |
Home and away
Borussia Mönchengladbach at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- LostFSV Mainz 0519 Sep 20263–4
- LostSV Elversberg5 Sep 20263–4
- Won1899 Hoffenheim16 May 20264–0
- WonBorussia Dortmund3 May 20261–0
- DrawnFSV Mainz 0519 Apr 20261–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 15 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
1899 Hoffenheim away
Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
- LostSC Paderborn 0720 Sep 20261–3
- LostOFIUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20260–2
- Lost1. FC Köln29 Aug 20262–3
- WonErzgebirge AueDFB Pokal22 Aug 20264–0
- LostBorussia Mönchengladbach16 May 20260–4
1899 Hoffenheim: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 16 scored, 27 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 7 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 9 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
- Next match
- 5 days after23 Oct 2026 · v VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Lyon · UEFA Europa League
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Score | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 31 matches | 603 won, 196 drawn, 125 lost in 924 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 3 drawn, 26 lost in 30 matches | 125 won, 196 drawn, 603 lost in 924 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost in 28 matches | 201 won, 288 drawn, 201 lost in 690 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 5 won, 14 drawn, 7 lost in 26 matches | 152 won, 286 drawn, 152 lost in 590 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 10 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 43 matches | 485 won, 358 drawn, 485 lost in 1328 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 9 won, 13 drawn, 15 lost in 37 matches | 318 won, 310 drawn, 318 lost in 946 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Borussia Mönchengladbach | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 29 conceded (67) | 705 scored, 705 conceded (1952) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 8 conceded (22) | 296 scored, 265 conceded (731) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 8 conceded (20) | 144 scored, 144 conceded (490) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 13 conceded (25) | 265 scored, 296 conceded (731) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 34 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 10(league sides: 1,118 times, within 15 minutes 192, by full time 509)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
1899 Hoffenheim
| Score | 1899 Hoffenheim | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 19 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost in 26 matches | 603 won, 196 drawn, 125 lost in 924 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 11 drawn, 27 lost in 45 matches | 125 won, 196 drawn, 603 lost in 924 matches |
| Level at half-time | 6 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches | 201 won, 288 drawn, 201 lost in 690 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 16 won, 12 drawn, 21 lost in 49 matches | 485 won, 358 drawn, 485 lost in 1328 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 10 won, 11 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 318 won, 310 drawn, 318 lost in 946 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 4 won, 5 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches | 60 won, 82 drawn, 247 lost in 389 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | 1899 Hoffenheim | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 21 scored, 33 conceded (75) | 705 scored, 705 conceded (1952) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 11 conceded (28) | 296 scored, 265 conceded (731) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 10 scored, 16 conceded (30) | 265 scored, 296 conceded (731) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 55 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 30(league sides: 1,118 times, within 15 minutes 192, by full time 509)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 19 Oct 2024
| 1899 Hoffenheim | ||
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Matches with xG | 67 |
| 92.61 | xG for | 99.63 |
| 97 | Goals scored | 110 |
| 118.01 | xG against | 102.73 |
| 118 | Goals conceded | 117 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | at 1. FC Köln | 1.17 | 1.32 | 1–2 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v FSV Mainz 05 | 3.24 | 2.82 | 3–4 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at SC Freiburg | 0.19 | 2.60 | 0–5 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v SV Elversberg | 2.36 | 2.31 | 3–4 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at RB Leipzig | 1.09 | 3.96 | 0–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | v 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.20 | 1.62 | 4–0 |
| 9 May 2026 | at FC Augsburg | 1.14 | 2.59 | 1–3 |
| 3 May 2026 | v Borussia Dortmund | 2.20 | 0.49 | 1–0 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | at VfL Wolfsburg | 0.51 | 1.47 | 0–0 |
| 19 Apr 2026 | v FSV Mainz 05 | 0.62 | 2.32 | 1–1 |
1899 Hoffenheim
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Hamburger SV | 0.93 | 1.28 | 2–3 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at SC Paderborn 07 | 1.50 | 0.68 | 1–3 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v VfB Stuttgart | 2.76 | 2.16 | 2–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Borussia Dortmund | 1.17 | 2.02 | 2–3 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at 1. FC Köln | 1.88 | 1.95 | 2–3 |
| 16 May 2026 | at Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.62 | 1.20 | 0–4 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Werder Bremen | 1.52 | 1.07 | 1–0 |
| 2 May 2026 | v VfB Stuttgart | 2.47 | 1.57 | 3–3 |
| 25 Apr 2026 | at Hamburger SV | 1.45 | 1.37 | 2–1 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | v Borussia Dortmund | 2.25 | 0.70 | 2–1 |
This league season
Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.
| 1899 Hoffenheim | ||
|---|---|---|
| 5 of 5 | Matches with xG | 5 of 5 |
| 0 | Points in those matches | 3 |
| 4.70 | xPts | 7.00 |
| 8.05 | xG for | 8.24 |
| 13.01 | xG against | 8.09 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1899 Hoffenheim
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Ruled out
- J. Castrop (Shoulder Injury) · F. Fleck (Muscle Injury) · F. Honorat (Muscle Injury) · K. Itakura (Ankle Injury) · T. Kleindienst (Muscle Injury) · E. Leopold (Knee Injury) · J. Leszczynski (Knee Injury)
- Doubtful
- N. Kuhn (Muscle Injury)
1899 Hoffenheim
- Ruled out
- Bernardo (Red Card) · A. Hajdari (Foot Injury) · P. Wimmer (Thigh Injury)
Published 18 Oct 2026, 15:27 BST · not changed since
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