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Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–0Finished
SC Paderborn 07
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 GMTMatchday 8 · Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach v SC Paderborn 07 match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Gladbach are favoured by the model with a 49% chance of victory and a 0.48 expected-goals gap in their favour, but they have lost their last three matches and face an injury crisis that includes their main striker and two key defenders. Paderborn, with two wins in their last five, arrive undermanned as well but cannot be ruled out in a fixture where both teams are stretched thin.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 49%Borussia Mönchengladbach win
  • 25%Draw
  • 26%SC Paderborn 07 win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. won2–0v Karlsruher SC
  2. won3–2at VfB Stuttgart
  3. lost1–2v 1899 Hoffenheim
  4. lost1–2at 1. FC Köln
  5. lost3–4v FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–1v VfB Stuttgart
  2. won1–0v Hamburger SV
  3. drew2–2at Werder Bremen
  4. lost0–2v VfB Stuttgart
  5. won3–1v 1899 Hoffenheim

Head-to-head

Head-to-head data was not available for this match.

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach won 20 of 32 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Bundesliga, since 18 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 148 of 197.

Home and away

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonKarlsruher SCDFB Pokal27 Oct 20262–0
  • Lost1899 Hoffenheim18 Oct 20261–2
  • LostFSV Mainz 0519 Sep 20263–4
  • LostSV Elversberg5 Sep 20263–4
  • Won1899 Hoffenheim16 May 20264–0

Borussia Mönchengladbach: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07 away

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnWerder Bremen17 Oct 20262–2
  • LostBorussia Dortmund12 Sep 20260–3
  • DrawnFSV Mainz 0529 Aug 20260–0
  • WonPhönix LübeckDFB Pokal23 Aug 20264–2
  • DrawnVfL Wolfsburg21 May 20260–0

SC Paderborn 07: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last match
4 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Karlsruher SC · DFB Pokal
Next match
6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Hamburger SV · Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v VfB Stuttgart · DFB Pokal
Next match
7 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 3 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost in 32 matches611 won, 197 drawn, 127 lost in 935 matches
Conceded first1 won, 2 drawn, 27 lost in 30 matches127 won, 197 drawn, 611 lost in 935 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 13 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches207 won, 292 drawn, 207 lost in 706 matches
Level after 60 minutes4 won, 13 drawn, 7 lost in 24 matches156 won, 290 drawn, 156 lost in 602 matches
Level after 15 minutes10 won, 12 drawn, 20 lost in 42 matches490 won, 362 drawn, 490 lost in 1342 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 12 drawn, 15 lost in 35 matches323 won, 314 drawn, 323 lost in 960 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBorussia MönchengladbachLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 29 conceded (68)718 scored, 718 conceded (1976)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 8 conceded (23)300 scored, 268 conceded (737)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 13 conceded (26)268 scored, 300 conceded (737)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 10(league sides: 1,128 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 513)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 3 Nov 2024

Borussia MönchengladbachSC Paderborn 07
67Matches with xG—
91.53xG for—
97Goals scored—
117.67xG against—
119Goals conceded—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Borussia Mönchengladbach: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
23 Oct 2026at VfB Stuttgart2.661.603–2
18 Oct 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim0.471.801–2
11 Oct 2026at 1. FC Köln1.171.321–2
19 Sep 2026v FSV Mainz 053.242.823–4
12 Sep 2026at SC Freiburg0.192.600–5
5 Sep 2026v SV Elversberg2.362.313–4
29 Aug 2026at RB Leipzig1.093.960–3
16 May 2026v 1899 Hoffenheim1.201.624–0
9 May 2026at FC Augsburg1.142.591–3
3 May 2026v Borussia Dortmund2.200.491–0

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

Borussia MönchengladbachSC Paderborn 07
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
3Points in those matches8
7.17xPts6.73
11.18xG for6.85
16.41xG against11.56

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
    Ruled out
    H. Bolin (Muscle Injury) · K. Diks (Personal Reasons) · F. Fleck (Muscle Injury) · F. Honorat (Muscle Injury) · T. Kleindienst (Muscle Injury) · E. Leopold (Knee Injury) · J. Leszczynski (Knee Injury)
  • SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
    Ruled out
    N. Awortwie-Grant (Knee Injury) · O. Batista Meier (Ankle Injury) · T. Gayret (Knee Injury) · M. Hoffmeier (Muscle Injury) · S. Klaas (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    S. Michel (Injury) · G. Vidovic (Foot Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:27 GMT · not changed since

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