Boston River v Defensor Sporting match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Boston River a 41% chance of winning against Defensor Sporting, who have a 30% win probability with a 30% draw chance. Expected goals total 2.34, with Boston River slightly favoured in attacking potential. Lineups are not yet confirmed.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Boston River win
- 30%Draw
- 29%Defensor Sporting win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Defensor Sporting won 4 of the last 8 meetings.
- Boston River without a win in their last 5 home games.
- Defensor Sporting without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Defensor Sporting's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
8 meetings: Boston River 1, draws 3, Defensor Sporting 4
Goals: Boston River 7, Defensor Sporting 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026 | Defensor Sporting v Boston River | 1–1 |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Defensor Sporting v Boston River | 2–0 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Defensor Sporting v Boston River | 2–0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Boston River v Defensor Sporting | 2–2 |
| 9 Jul 2023 | Boston River v Defensor Sporting | 0–1 |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Boston River v Defensor Sporting | 1–0 |
| 10 Jul 2022 | Boston River v Defensor Sporting | 2–3 |
| 21 Mar 2022 | Boston River v Defensor Sporting | 1–1 |
Home and away
Boston River at home
Last 5: 0 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnJuventud4 Oct 20260–0
- LostProgreso19 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnCerro29 Aug 20261–1
- DrawnDanubio14 Aug 20260–0
- DrawnCentral Espanol12 Jul 20260–0
Boston River: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 13 scored, 7 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Defensor Sporting away
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- LostAlbion FC3 Oct 20262–3
- LostClub Nacional20 Sep 20262–3
- DrawnCentral Espanol6 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnCerro Largo22 Aug 20261–1
- DrawnCerro Largo13 Jul 20261–1
Defensor Sporting: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 10 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before14 Oct 2026 · v CA River Plate · Copa Uruguay
- Next match
- 8 days after25 Oct 2026 · v Cerro Largo · Primera División · Uruguay
- Last match
- 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Cerro · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Racing Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 17 Oct 2026, 19:22 BST · not changed since
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