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Championship
Bristol City
1–2Finished
Wolves
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 20:00 GMTMatchday 14 · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Bristol City v Wolves match analysis

Our selection

PRO members see our selection for this match.

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Wed 4 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives Bristol City a 30% chance of victory, with Wolves favoured at 41% and a draw at 28%. Wolves arrive in stronger form after three wins in their last five, while Bristol have been inconsistent. Expected goals stand at 1.13 for Bristol and 1.38 for Wolves, suggesting a close encounter. Both sides face notable absences through injury.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 31%Bristol City win
  • 28%Draw
  • 41%Wolves win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. won3–2at Bolton
  2. drew0–0at Stoke City
  3. lost0–1v Sheffield Utd
  4. lost0–1v Blackburn
  5. drew1–1at Charlton
WolvesWolves

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won3–0v Cardiff
  2. won1–0v Watford
  3. drew1–1v Portsmouth
  4. won2–1at Burnley
  5. lost1–3v Bolton

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Bristol City won 28 of 39 matches in which they scored first, since 5 Nov 2024.
  • Championship, since 4 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 328 of 420.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Bristol City's last 10 home league games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Wolves's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

1 meeting: Bristol City 0, draws 0, Wolves 1

Goals: Bristol City 1, Wolves 2

DateMatchScore
11 Jan 2025Bristol City v WolvesFA Cup1–2

Home and away

Bristol City

Bristol City at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostSheffield Utd17 Oct 20260–1
  • LostBlackburn13 Oct 20260–1
  • WonWatford18 Sep 20261–0
  • LostLincoln15 Sep 20260–1
  • WonPortsmouth29 Aug 20262–1

Bristol City: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
8 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
2 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Wolves

Wolves away

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonBurnley16 Oct 20262–1
  • LostMiddlesbrough10 Oct 20260–1
  • LostEvertonLeague Cup16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonSheffield Utd13 Sep 20261–0
  • DrawnBirmingham6 Sep 20262–2

Wolves: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 20 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Bristol City
Last match
4 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Bolton · Championship
Next match
3 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Norwich · Championship
Wolves
Last match
4 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Cardiff · Championship
Next match
3 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Wrexham · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 5 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Bristol City

ScoreBristol CityLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 39 matches1137 won, 352 drawn, 220 lost in 1709 matches
Conceded first7 won, 11 drawn, 32 lost in 50 matches220 won, 352 drawn, 1137 lost in 1709 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 16 drawn, 9 lost in 36 matches466 won, 584 drawn, 466 lost in 1516 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 4 drawn, 17 lost in 23 matches95 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 780 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches549 won, 172 drawn, 67 lost in 788 matches
Level after 60 minutes5 won, 16 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches343 won, 590 drawn, 343 lost in 1276 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes3 won, 3 drawn, 18 lost in 24 matches67 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 788 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes3 won, 5 drawn, 19 lost in 27 matches46 won, 152 drawn, 575 lost in 773 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches653 won, 120 drawn, 18 lost in 791 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes2 won, 5 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches18 won, 120 drawn, 653 lost in 791 matches
Level after 15 minutes21 won, 20 drawn, 26 lost in 67 matches935 won, 750 drawn, 935 lost in 2620 matches
Level after 30 minutes16 won, 19 drawn, 17 lost in 52 matches667 won, 640 drawn, 667 lost in 1974 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBristol CityLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 26 conceded (94)1061 scored, 1061 conceded (3672)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 12 conceded (33)355 scored, 383 conceded (1283)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 5 conceded (24)323 scored, 323 conceded (1106)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 9 conceded (37)383 scored, 355 conceded (1283)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 54 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 23(league sides: 1,926 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 850)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Bristol CityWolves
94Since 5 Nov 2024Matches with xG79Since 9 Nov 2024
116.57xG for92.09
116Goals scored90
124.63xG against109.94
120Goals conceded126

Bristol City

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Bristol City: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Bolton3.361.413–2
24 Oct 2026at Stoke City0.790.710–0
17 Oct 2026v Sheffield Utd0.581.230–1
13 Oct 2026v Blackburn1.950.150–1
10 Oct 2026at Charlton1.471.781–1
18 Sep 2026v Watford1.560.521–0
15 Sep 2026v Lincoln1.530.530–1
12 Sep 2026at Southampton2.241.711–4
5 Sep 2026at Burnley1.060.262–1
1 Sep 2026at Preston1.781.913–1

Wolves

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Wolves: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026v Cardiff1.660.963–0
24 Oct 2026v Watford1.880.151–0
20 Oct 2026v Portsmouth0.950.781–1
16 Oct 2026at Burnley2.021.072–1
13 Oct 2026v Bolton2.231.621–3
10 Oct 2026at Middlesbrough0.680.900–1
20 Sep 2026v West Brom1.950.291–0
13 Sep 2026at Sheffield Utd1.570.631–0
6 Sep 2026at Birmingham2.471.392–2
1 Sep 2026at West Ham0.942.052–4

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

Bristol CityWolves
13 of 13Matches with xG13 of 13
18Points in those matches24
19.68xPts24.70
18.88xG for22.59
16.96xG against12.15

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Bristol City and Wolves

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Bristol CityBristol City
    Ruled out
    N. Eile (Illness)
    Doubtful
    E. Adebayo (Inactive) · R. Dickie (Knee Injury)
  • WolvesWolves
    Ruled out
    R. Jimenez (Knee Injury) · G. Konan (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    N. Djiga (Groin Injury) · B. Traore (Injury)

Published 4 Nov 2026, 18:57 GMT · not changed since

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