LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Championship
Burnley
0–0Finished
Portsmouth
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 GMTMatchday 13 · Turf Moor, Burnley

Burnley v Portsmouth match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Burnley are slight favourites with a 51% win chance, though both teams are severely depleted by injuries. The model projects 2.7 expected goals total with Burnley expected to have 1.64 and Portsmouth 1.06, a gap of 0.58 in Burnley's favour. Burnley have drawn twice in their last five, while Portsmouth won three of their last five before a recent defeat.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 51%Burnley win
  • 26%Draw
  • 23%Portsmouth win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

BurnleyBurnley

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–4at Lincoln
  2. lost1–2v Wolves
  3. drew2–2v Charlton
  4. won4–0at Watford
  5. drew1–1v Derby
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

  1. won2–1v Millwall
  2. drew1–1at Wolves
  3. won1–0at Norwich
  4. won3–2v Sheffield Utd
  5. lost0–1at Southampton

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Burnley won 22 of 34 matches in which they scored first, since 3 Nov 2024.
  • Portsmouth won 28 of 40 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Burnley without a win in their last 5 home games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Burnley 1, draws 1, Portsmouth 0

Goals: Burnley 2, Portsmouth 1

DateMatchScore
1 Feb 2025Portsmouth v Burnley0–0
21 Sep 2024Burnley v Portsmouth2–1

Home and away

Burnley

Burnley at home

Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostWolves16 Oct 20261–2
  • DrawnCharlton13 Oct 20262–2
  • DrawnDerby19 Sep 20261–1
  • LostBristol City5 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnMiddlesbrough2 Sep 20261–1

Burnley: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 16 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Portsmouth

Portsmouth away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnWolves20 Oct 20261–1
  • WonNorwich17 Oct 20261–0
  • LostSouthampton11 Oct 20260–1
  • DrawnCharlton12 Sep 20260–0
  • LostBristol City29 Aug 20261–2

Portsmouth: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Burnley
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Lincoln · Championship
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v QPR · Championship
Portsmouth
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Millwall · Championship
Next match
3 days after3 Nov 2026 · v Swansea · Championship

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Burnley

Since 3 Nov 2024

ScoreBurnleyLeague sides
Scored first22 won, 5 drawn, 7 lost in 34 matches1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches
Conceded first5 won, 10 drawn, 24 lost in 39 matches218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches
Level at half-time9 won, 17 drawn, 10 lost in 36 matches463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes15 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches544 won, 171 drawn, 65 lost in 780 matches
Level after 60 minutes3 won, 20 drawn, 6 lost in 29 matches343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches
Level after 70 minutes3 won, 21 drawn, 7 lost in 31 matches278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches
Level after 80 minutes2 won, 20 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 15 minutes16 won, 19 drawn, 18 lost in 53 matches928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches
Level after 30 minutes10 won, 18 drawn, 16 lost in 44 matches661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreBurnleyLeague sides
All matches21 scored, 23 conceded (84)1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632)
When leading after 75 minutes8 scored, 6 conceded (27)350 scored, 377 conceded (1266)
When level after 75 minutes6 scored, 9 conceded (29)323 scored, 323 conceded (1100)
When trailing after 75 minutes7 scored, 8 conceded (28)377 scored, 350 conceded (1266)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 22(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Portsmouth

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScorePortsmouthLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 40 matches1122 won, 350 drawn, 218 lost in 1690 matches
Conceded first4 won, 9 drawn, 34 lost in 47 matches218 won, 350 drawn, 1122 lost in 1690 matches
Level at half-time10 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 35 matches463 won, 582 drawn, 463 lost in 1508 matches
1 goal down at half-time2 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 22 matches95 won, 165 drawn, 512 lost in 772 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 18 drawn, 11 lost in 37 matches343 won, 586 drawn, 343 lost in 1272 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 17 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches278 won, 634 drawn, 278 lost in 1190 matches
Level after 80 minutes4 won, 20 drawn, 5 lost in 29 matches175 won, 706 drawn, 175 lost in 1056 matches
Level after 15 minutes27 won, 17 drawn, 23 lost in 67 matches928 won, 744 drawn, 928 lost in 2600 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 14 drawn, 16 lost in 50 matches661 won, 636 drawn, 661 lost in 1958 matches
1 goal down after 30 minutes1 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost in 21 matches108 won, 147 drawn, 439 lost in 694 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScorePortsmouthLeague sides
All matches26 scored, 21 conceded (92)1050 scored, 1050 conceded (3632)
When leading after 75 minutes6 scored, 3 conceded (28)350 scored, 377 conceded (1266)
When level after 75 minutes8 scored, 10 conceded (29)323 scored, 323 conceded (1100)
When trailing after 75 minutes12 scored, 8 conceded (35)377 scored, 350 conceded (1266)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 7, by full time 19(league sides: 1,903 times, within 15 minutes 325, by full time 842)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

BurnleyPortsmouth
84Since 3 Nov 2024Matches with xG92Since 2 Nov 2024
94.52xG for110.37
107Goals scored111
123.04xG against115.40
111Goals conceded125

Burnley

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Burnley: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026at Lincoln2.371.941–4
16 Oct 2026v Wolves1.072.021–2
13 Oct 2026v Charlton1.082.132–2
10 Oct 2026at Watford1.940.644–0
19 Sep 2026v Derby0.451.751–1
12 Sep 2026at Swansea1.732.631–3
8 Sep 2026at Wrexham1.501.281–1
5 Sep 2026v Bristol City0.261.061–2
2 Sep 2026v Middlesbrough0.641.221–1
29 Aug 2026at Norwich1.382.301–4

Portsmouth

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Portsmouth: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Millwall0.910.732–1
20 Oct 2026at Wolves0.780.951–1
17 Oct 2026at Norwich1.250.371–0
14 Oct 2026v Sheffield Utd2.011.803–2
11 Oct 2026at Southampton1.181.280–1
19 Sep 2026v Blackburn1.600.592–2
12 Sep 2026at Charlton0.400.820–0
5 Sep 2026v Cardiff2.071.372–0
1 Sep 2026v Derby0.840.550–2
29 Aug 2026at Bristol City1.370.611–2

This league season

Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

BurnleyPortsmouth
12 of 12Matches with xG12 of 12
8Points in those matches18
13.80xPts18.11
15.93xG for15.79
19.93xG against13.46

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Burnley and Portsmouth

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • BurnleyBurnley
    Ruled out
    A. Ahmedhodzic (Knock) · Z. Amdouni (Ankle Injury) · B. Amos (Inactive) · J. Beyer (Hamstring Injury) · J. Bruun Larsen (Injury) · B. Humphreys (Muscle Injury) · H. Mejbri (Hamstring Injury) · M. Obafemi (Inactive) · A. Ramsey (Hamstring Injury) · S. Sambo (Inactive) · M. Tresor Ndayishimiye (Inactive)
    Doubtful
    J. Banel (Lacking Match Fitness) · A. Broja (Injury) · J. Cullen (Lacking Match Fitness) · J. Vardy (Injury)
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth
    Ruled out
    K. Anderson (Overload) · B. Arthur (Back Injury) · C. Bishop (Knee Injury) · L. Brooke-Smith (Ankle Injury) · M. Kosznovszky (Knee Injury) · C. Ogilvie (Knee Injury) · J. Swift (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Murphy (Groin Injury) · C. Shaughnessy (Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures