Cagliari v Frosinone match analysis
Our selection
PRO members see our selection for this match.
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Frosinone hold a modest advantage according to our model, with a 41% chance of victory compared to Cagliari's 31%. Expected goals stand at 2.65, with Frosinone slightly ahead at 1.44 to Cagliari's 1.21. Cagliari's recent form has been troubling with four losses in their last five, though they claimed a 4-1 home victory over Frosinone in their September encounter.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 31%Cagliari win
- 28%Draw
- 41%Frosinone win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
CagliariLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost1–2at Lazio
- lost2–4at AS Roma
- lost0–2v Bologna
- lost0–4at Monza
- drew1–1v Juventus
FrosinoneLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won2–0v Torino
- won5–1v Lecce
- drew4–4at Atalanta
- won4–2v Sassuolo
- lost0–3at Napoli
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Cagliari won 16 of 29 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
- Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 222 of 281.
- Cagliari won 2 of the last 5 meetings.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Cagliari's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
5 meetings: Cagliari 2, draws 2, Frosinone 1
Goals: Cagliari 11, Frosinone 9
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | Cagliari v FrosinoneCoppa Italia | 4–1 |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Frosinone v Cagliari | 3–1 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Cagliari v Frosinone | 4–3 |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Cagliari v FrosinoneSerie B · Italy | 0–0 |
| 27 Nov 2022 | Frosinone v CagliariSerie B · Italy | 2–2 |
Home and away
CagliariCagliari at home
Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost
- LostBologna24 Oct 20260–2
- DrawnJuventus11 Oct 20261–1
- WonLecce7 Sep 20261–0
- LostHellas VeronaCoppa Italia3 Sep 20261–2
- LostInter30 Aug 20260–1
Cagliari: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
FrosinoneFrosinone away
Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnAtalanta25 Oct 20264–4
- LostNapoli10 Oct 20260–3
- DrawnGenoa12 Sep 20261–1
- DrawnSassuoloCoppa Italia2 Sep 20261–1 PEN
- WonFiorentina29 Aug 20263–0
Frosinone: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 20 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Cagliari- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Lazio · Serie A
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Como · Serie A
Frosinone- Last match
- 6 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Torino · Serie A
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Cagliari
| Score | Cagliari | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 29 matches | 775 won, 239 drawn, 130 lost in 1144 matches |
| Conceded first | 6 won, 6 drawn, 29 lost in 41 matches | 130 won, 239 drawn, 775 lost in 1144 matches |
| Level at half-time | 14 won, 10 drawn, 14 lost in 38 matches | 330 won, 396 drawn, 330 lost in 1056 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 1 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost in 23 matches | 58 won, 124 drawn, 340 lost in 522 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 9 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 31 matches | 243 won, 410 drawn, 243 lost in 896 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 0 won, 2 drawn, 21 lost in 23 matches | 35 won, 112 drawn, 380 lost in 527 matches |
| 1 goal down after 70 minutes | 0 won, 4 drawn, 23 lost in 27 matches | 24 won, 97 drawn, 398 lost in 519 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 16 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches | 442 won, 85 drawn, 13 lost in 540 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 0 won, 5 drawn, 20 lost in 25 matches | 13 won, 85 drawn, 442 lost in 540 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 17 won, 16 drawn, 25 lost in 58 matches | 632 won, 542 drawn, 632 lost in 1806 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 15 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 43 matches | 458 won, 428 drawn, 458 lost in 1344 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Cagliari | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 17 scored, 23 conceded (75) | 726 scored, 726 conceded (2480) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 5 conceded (24) | 255 scored, 235 conceded (845) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 13 conceded (36) | 235 scored, 255 conceded (845) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 51 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 21(league sides: 1,282 times, within 15 minutes 191, by full time 570)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 9 Nov 2024
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Matches with xG | — |
| 79.89 | xG for | — |
| 80 | Goals scored | — |
| 110.44 | xG against | — |
| 105 | Goals conceded | — |
Cagliari
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | at Lazio | 1.10 | 1.03 | 1–2 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | at AS Roma | 2.68 | 2.96 | 2–4 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Bologna | 0.44 | 1.64 | 0–2 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | at Monza | 2.11 | 2.10 | 0–4 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Juventus | 0.52 | 1.95 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Udinese | 1.12 | 2.13 | 1–0 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Atalanta | 1.32 | 1.74 | 2–1 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | v Lecce | 1.61 | 0.50 | 1–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Inter | 0.48 | 3.67 | 0–1 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Parma | 0.94 | 0.75 | 1–0 |
This league season
Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 of 10 | Matches with xG | 10 of 10 |
| 13 | Points in those matches | 20 |
| 10.75 | xPts | 12.47 |
| 12.32 | xG for | 18.41 |
| 18.47 | xG against | 21.62 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Cagliari and Frosinone
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- Riyad Idrissi (Jumpers Knee)
Published 7 Nov 2026, 12:58 GMT · not changed since
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