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Eredivisie
Cambuur
2–2Finished
AZ Alkmaar
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 BSTMatchday 9 · Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning at Cambuur. The visitors are expected to create significantly more chances, though both sides are dealing with injuries ahead of the match.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 19%Cambuur win
  • 21%Draw
  • 60%AZ Alkmaar win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

CambuurCambuur

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Eredivisie, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 160 of 218.
  • AZ Alkmaar won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Cambuur's last 10 home league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Cambuur's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Cambuur 0, draws 1, AZ Alkmaar 3

Goals: Cambuur 2, AZ Alkmaar 6

DateMatchScore
25 Feb 2023AZ Alkmaar v Cambuur2–1
28 Aug 2022Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar0–1
22 Jan 2022AZ Alkmaar v Cambuur0–0
3 Oct 2021Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar1–3

Home and away

Cambuur

Cambuur at home

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • WonNEC Nijmegen12 Sep 20263–0
  • LostTwente30 Aug 20261–4
  • LostFeyenoord23 Aug 20262–5
  • LostExcelsior7 Aug 20260–4
  • WonVitesseEerste Divisie24 Apr 20262–1

Cambuur: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 22 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar away

Last 5: 3 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost

  • LostFeyenoord10 Oct 20260–2
  • LostSunderlandUEFA Europa League16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonHeerenveen6 Sep 20263–2
  • WonFortuna Sittard22 Aug 20262–0
  • WonUtrecht15 Aug 20264–1

AZ Alkmaar: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
13 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Cambuur
Last match
7 days before11 Oct 2026 · v PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie
Next match
6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Willem II · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar
Last match
3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Europa League
Next match
4 days after22 Oct 2026 · v Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 19 Oct 2024

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
—Matches with xG69
—xG for123.78
—Goals scored123
—xG against79.92
—Goals conceded93

AZ Alkmaar

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AZ Alkmaar: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
10 Oct 2026at Feyenoord0.772.300–2
20 Sep 2026v Telstar2.350.101–0
11 Sep 2026v Willem II2.480.931–1
6 Sep 2026at Heerenveen1.041.483–2
29 Aug 2026v GO Ahead Eagles2.371.665–2
22 Aug 2026at Fortuna Sittard4.350.442–0
15 Aug 2026at Utrecht2.100.914–1
8 Aug 2026v ADO Den Haag2.670.952–0
17 May 2026v NAC Breda1.452.083–3
3 May 2026v Twente1.390.462–2

AZ Alkmaar: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Eredivisie matches since 7 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.

CambuurAZ Alkmaar
7 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
—Points in those matches19
—xPts15.83
—xG for18.13
—xG against8.77

Cambuur: — Too few matches with xG so far (7 of 8).

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • CambuurCambuur
    Ruled out
    W. Asselman (Injury) · D. Visser (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    J. Amofa (Injury)
  • AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
    Ruled out
    J. Hornkamp (Injury) · S. Resink (Knee Injury) · K. Smit (Injury)

Published 18 Oct 2026, 12:27 BST · not changed since

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