Celta Vigo v Real Betis match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 25 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Celta Vigo win
- 27%Draw
- 32%Real Betis win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Last 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Celta Vigo won 28 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Real Betis won 33 of 51 matches in which they scored first, since 27 Oct 2024.
- Celta Vigo won 5 of the last 10 meetings.
- Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Celta Vigo's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
10 meetings: Celta Vigo 5, draws 4, Real Betis 1
Goals: Celta Vigo 17, Real Betis 12
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 1–1 |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Celta Vigo v Real Betis | 1–1 |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Celta Vigo v Real Betis | 3–2 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 2–2 |
| 12 Apr 2024 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 2–1 |
| 3 Jan 2024 | Celta Vigo v Real Betis | 2–1 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 3–4 |
| 2 Oct 2022 | Celta Vigo v Real Betis | 1–0 |
| 20 Mar 2022 | Celta Vigo v Real Betis | 0–0 |
| 2 Jan 2022 | Real Betis v Celta Vigo | 0–2 |
Home and away
Celta Vigo at home
Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
- WonAlaves18 Oct 20262–1
- LostJuventusUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20261–2
- WonRacing Santander19 Sep 20265–0
- DrawnMalaga13 Sep 20261–1
- LostAthletic Club30 Aug 20260–2
Celta Vigo: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 18 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 7 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Real Betis away
Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
- DrawnDeportivo La Coruna20 Sep 20261–1
- WonVillarreal14 Sep 20262–1
- WonLilleUEFA Champions League8 Sep 20263–2
- LostLevante29 Aug 20262–5
- WonValencia25 Aug 20261–0
Real Betis: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 14 scored, 19 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 8 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 3 days before22 Oct 2026 · v Celtic · UEFA Europa League
- Next match
- 6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Rayo Vallecano · La Liga
- Last match
- 4 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League
- Next match
- 6 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Malaga · La Liga
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 27 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Celta Vigo
| Score | Celta Vigo | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 28 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost in 46 matches | 766 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1159 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 8 drawn, 25 lost in 41 matches | 145 won, 248 drawn, 766 lost in 1159 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 9 won, 8 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 328 won, 127 drawn, 61 lost in 516 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 11 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 346 won, 376 drawn, 346 lost in 1068 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 12 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches | 367 won, 121 drawn, 39 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 11 lost in 36 matches | 265 won, 384 drawn, 265 lost in 914 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 16 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 22 matches | 398 won, 105 drawn, 26 lost in 529 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 10 won, 17 drawn, 7 lost in 34 matches | 208 won, 422 drawn, 208 lost in 838 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 412 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 514 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 17 drawn, 5 lost in 28 matches | 154 won, 454 drawn, 154 lost in 762 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 28 won, 18 drawn, 22 lost in 68 matches | 647 won, 490 drawn, 647 lost in 1784 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 27 won, 14 drawn, 19 lost in 60 matches | 477 won, 426 drawn, 477 lost in 1380 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Celta Vigo | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 32 scored, 26 conceded (92) | 798 scored, 798 conceded (2468) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 11 conceded (34) | 284 scored, 278 conceded (836) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 10 conceded (31) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (796) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 9 scored, 5 conceded (27) | 278 scored, 284 conceded (836) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 50 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 26(league sides: 1,300 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 607)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Real Betis
| Score | Real Betis | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 33 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 51 matches | 766 won, 248 drawn, 145 lost in 1159 matches |
| Conceded first | 9 won, 11 drawn, 16 lost in 36 matches | 145 won, 248 drawn, 766 lost in 1159 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 36 matches | 346 won, 376 drawn, 346 lost in 1068 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 17 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 367 won, 121 drawn, 39 lost in 527 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 13 drawn, 3 lost in 28 matches | 265 won, 384 drawn, 265 lost in 914 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 398 won, 105 drawn, 26 lost in 529 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 16 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches | 208 won, 422 drawn, 208 lost in 838 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 20 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches | 412 won, 90 drawn, 12 lost in 514 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 6 won, 18 drawn, 2 lost in 26 matches | 154 won, 454 drawn, 154 lost in 762 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 31 won, 20 drawn, 10 lost in 61 matches | 647 won, 490 drawn, 647 lost in 1784 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 17 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches | 294 won, 102 drawn, 61 lost in 457 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 19 won, 16 drawn, 8 lost in 43 matches | 477 won, 426 drawn, 477 lost in 1380 matches |
| 1 goal down after 30 minutes | 6 won, 6 drawn, 10 lost in 22 matches | 61 won, 102 drawn, 294 lost in 457 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Real Betis | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 26 scored, 23 conceded (90) | 798 scored, 798 conceded (2468) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 10 conceded (39) | 284 scored, 278 conceded (836) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 8 scored, 6 conceded (27) | 236 scored, 236 conceded (796) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 7 conceded (24) | 278 scored, 284 conceded (836) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 45 times, equalised within 15 minutes 9, by full time 28(league sides: 1,300 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 607)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 27 Oct 2024
| Real Betis | ||
|---|---|---|
| 75 | Matches with xG | 75 |
| 99.38 | xG for | 108.47 |
| 105 | Goals scored | 122 |
| 91.10 | xG against | 102.88 |
| 95 | Goals conceded | 103 |
Celta Vigo
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | v Alaves | 0.97 | 1.06 | 2–1 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | at Elche | 0.47 | 0.78 | 0–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | v Racing Santander | 2.14 | 0.75 | 5–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Malaga | 1.90 | 0.43 | 1–1 |
| 7 Sep 2026 | at Getafe | 1.03 | 0.65 | 1–1 |
| 3 Sep 2026 | at Real Sociedad | 0.43 | 1.05 | 0–0 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Athletic Club | 0.75 | 2.78 | 0–2 |
| 27 Aug 2026 | v Osasuna | 0.14 | 2.60 | 1–2 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | at Valencia | 0.66 | 0.58 | 0–0 |
| 23 May 2026 | v Sevilla | 1.59 | 0.80 | 1–0 |
Real Betis
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Barcelona | 1.27 | 3.13 | 2–5 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | v Osasuna | 2.89 | 1.94 | 5–2 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Deportivo La Coruna | 0.80 | 2.09 | 1–1 |
| 17 Sep 2026 | v Getafe | 1.89 | 0.29 | 1–0 |
| 14 Sep 2026 | at Villarreal | 3.52 | 1.89 | 2–1 |
| 4 Sep 2026 | v Real Madrid | 0.93 | 3.46 | 1–0 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | at Levante | 1.92 | 2.76 | 2–5 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | at Valencia | 0.71 | 1.12 | 1–0 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | v Real Sociedad | 1.24 | 1.36 | 1–0 |
| 23 May 2026 | v Levante | 1.51 | 2.28 | 2–1 |
This league season
La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.
| Real Betis | ||
|---|---|---|
| 9 of 9 | Matches with xG | 9 of 9 |
| 11 | Points in those matches | 19 |
| 11.23 | xPts | 11.23 |
| 8.49 | xG for | 15.17 |
| 10.68 | xG against | 18.04 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Celta Vigo and Real Betis
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Celta Vigo
- Ruled out
- J. El Abdellaoui (Knee Injury) · B. Iglesias (Calf Injury) · A. Nunez (Groin Injury) · M. Roman (Knee Injury) · C. Starfelt (Muscle Injury)
Real Betis
- Ruled out
- F. Bernal (Red Card) · J. Firpo (Groin Injury) · C. Hernandez (Calf Injury) · I. Losada (Inactive)
Published 25 Oct 2026, 14:13 GMT · not changed since
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