Central Espanol v Club Nacional match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Club Nacional enter as favourites with a 44% modelled chance of victory over Central Espanol, who have lost three of their last five matches. The model expects 2.32 goals in total, with Nacional projected to create a 0.42 expected goals gap in their favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

27%Central Espanol win
29%Draw
44%Club Nacional win

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Form · newest first

Central Espanol

Last 5: no wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats

Club Nacional

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Central Espanol's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

1 meeting: Central Espanol 1, draws 0, Club Nacional 0

Goals: Central Espanol 1, Club Nacional 0

Date	Match	Score
4 Apr 2026	Club Nacional v Central Espanol	0–1

Home and away

Central Espanol

Central Espanol at home

Last 5: 1 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost

LostLiverpool Montevideo27 Sep 20261–2
LostAtletico Torque21 Sep 20261–4
DrawnDefensor Sporting6 Sep 20261–1
LostJuventud22 Aug 20260–1
WonProgreso8 Aug 20261–0

Central Espanol: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 9 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 3 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Club Nacional

Club Nacional away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

WonCerro Largo26 Sep 20262–0
DrawnWanderers12 Sep 20261–1
WonPenarol30 Aug 20261–0
LostRacing Montevideo15 Aug 20260–2
WonTigreCONMEBOL Sudamericana28 Jul 20262–1

Club Nacional: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals: 13 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored: 5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals: 5 of 10
Clean sheets: 3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Central Espanol

Last match: 8 days before3 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Maldonado · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match: 4 days after15 Oct 2026 · v Danubio · Copa Uruguay

Club Nacional

Last match: 6 days before6 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Torque · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match: 4 days after16 Oct 2026 · v Rentistas · Copa Uruguay

Injuries and suspensions

Team news was not available for this match.

Published 11 Oct 2026, 22:18 BST · not changed since

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