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Primera División · Uruguay
Cerro Largo
23:00
Progreso
Thu 12 Nov 2026 · GMTClausura · Matchday 14 · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo

Cerro Largo v Progreso · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Cerro Largo win

Cerro Largo are favoured at home with a 43% chance of victory according to the model, compared to a 31% draw probability and Progreso's 26% chance. Expected goals total 2.2, with a gap of 0.32 in Cerro Largo's favour. Cerro Largo have won both recent head-to-head meetings, including a 4-1 home victory in February 2025.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 43%Cerro Largo win
  • 31%Draw
  • 26%Progreso win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Cerro LargoCerro Largo

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. lost1–3at Racing Montevideo
  2. won2–0v Boston River
  3. drew1–1at Cerro
  4. lost0–1v Albion FC
  5. lost1–2at Danubio
ProgresoProgreso

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Defensor Sporting
  2. won1–0at Wanderers
  3. won2–0v Juventud
  4. drew1–1at Penarol
  5. lost2–3at Liverpool Montevideo

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Cerro Largo won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 9 of Cerro Largo's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Cerro Largo 3, draws 1, Progreso 0

Goals: Cerro Largo 6, Progreso 1

DateMatchScore
3 May 2026Progreso v Cerro Largo0–1
7 Feb 2025Cerro Largo v Progreso4–1
4 Jun 2024Progreso v Cerro Largo0–1
19 Jun 2021Progreso v Cerro Largo0–0

Home and away

Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • WonBoston River25 Oct 20262–0
  • LostAlbion FC11 Oct 20260–1
  • LostClub Nacional26 Sep 20260–2
  • DrawnCentral Espanol13 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnLiverpool Montevideo30 Aug 20261–1

Cerro Largo: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 7 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
4 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
1 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Progreso

Progreso away

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonWanderers25 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnPenarol10 Oct 20261–1
  • LostLiverpool Montevideo3 Oct 20262–3
  • WonBoston River19 Sep 20262–1
  • WonAlbion FC7 Sep 20261–0

Progreso: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 12 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Cerro Largo
Last match
12 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Racing Montevideo · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
Not known
Progreso
Last match
11 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Defensor Sporting · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
Not known

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:18 GMT

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