Charlton v Sheffield Utd match analysis
Our selection
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This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 7 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
The model gives Sheffield Utd a 43% chance of winning this Championship clash, with Charlton at 29% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals total 2.57, with Sheffield Utd generating 1.44 to Charlton's 1.13. Charlton have struggled with just one win in five, while Sheffield Utd have won three of their last five matches; head-to-head, however, Charlton won both recent meetings.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 29%Charlton win
- 28%Draw
- 43%Sheffield Utd win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
CharltonLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost0–1v Bolton
- lost0–3at Middlesbrough
- lost1–3v Norwich
- lost0–2at Watford
- drew2–2at Burnley
Sheffield UtdLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–2at Preston
- won1–0v Wrexham
- drew1–1v Derby
- won1–0at Bristol City
- lost2–3at Portsmouth
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Charlton won 16 of 27 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Sheffield Utd won 39 of 57 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Charlton without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Charlton 2, draws 0, Sheffield Utd 0
Goals: Charlton 2, Sheffield Utd 0
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Charlton v Sheffield Utd | 1–0 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sheffield Utd v Charlton | 0–1 |
Home and away
CharltonCharlton at home
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBolton3 Nov 20260–1
- LostNorwich24 Oct 20261–3
- DrawnBristol City10 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnPortsmouth12 Sep 20260–0
- DrawnQPR9 Sep 20260–0
Charlton: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonPreston3 Nov 20263–2
- WonBristol City17 Oct 20261–0
- LostPortsmouth14 Oct 20262–3
- LostStoke City19 Sep 20261–2
- LostFleetwood TownLeague Cup16 Sep 20260–1
Sheffield Utd: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Charlton- Last match
- 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Bolton · Championship
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Wolves · Championship
Sheffield Utd- Last match
- 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Preston · Championship
- Next match
- 14 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Watford · Championship
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Charlton
Since 9 Aug 2025
| Score | Charlton | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 16 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 8 drawn, 23 lost in 32 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 8 drawn, 12 lost in 21 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 16 won, 17 drawn, 15 lost in 48 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 16 drawn, 12 lost in 40 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Charlton | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 15 scored, 22 conceded (63) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 3 conceded (20) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 15 conceded (28) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 37 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 14(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Sheffield Utd
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Score | Sheffield Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 39 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 57 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 5 drawn, 26 lost in 39 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 17 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost in 27 matches | 518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 39 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 4 won, 1 drawn, 16 lost in 21 matches | 96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 16 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches | 549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 13 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 28 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 18 lost in 21 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 23 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 30 matches | 576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 23 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 25 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches | 654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 23 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| 1 goal down after 80 minutes | 1 won, 0 drawn, 20 lost in 21 matches | 19 won, 121 drawn, 654 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 31 won, 13 drawn, 28 lost in 72 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 27 won, 11 drawn, 17 lost in 55 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sheffield Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 22 scored, 27 conceded (99) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 13 scored, 14 conceded (48) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 5 scored, 9 conceded (22) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 4 conceded (29) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 47 times, equalised within 15 minutes 12, by full time 20(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Charlton | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 60Since 9 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 95Since 10 Nov 2024 |
| 60.65 | xG for | 140.30 |
| 55 | Goals scored | 138 |
| 85.31 | xG against | 113.23 |
| 80 | Goals conceded | 114 |
Charlton
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Bolton | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0–1 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Middlesbrough | 0.46 | 1.79 | 0–3 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Norwich | 0.87 | 1.75 | 1–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Watford | 1.31 | 2.87 | 0–2 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Burnley | 2.13 | 1.08 | 2–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Bristol City | 1.78 | 1.47 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Cardiff | 1.26 | 2.60 | 1–3 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Portsmouth | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0–0 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | v QPR | 0.48 | 1.10 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Stoke City | 0.61 | 2.14 | 0–4 |
Sheffield Utd
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | at Preston | 2.02 | 0.96 | 3–2 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | v Wrexham | 1.33 | 0.70 | 1–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Derby | 2.55 | 1.15 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Bristol City | 1.23 | 0.58 | 1–0 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | at Portsmouth | 1.80 | 2.01 | 2–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Lincoln | 0.68 | 1.39 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Stoke City | 0.36 | 0.65 | 1–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Wolves | 0.63 | 1.57 | 0–1 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | at Blackburn | 0.47 | 1.60 | 2–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Norwich | 0.79 | 3.04 | 1–3 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Charlton | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 14 | Matches with xG | 14 of 14 |
| 14 | Points in those matches | 22 |
| 14.08 | xPts | 17.87 |
| 13.32 | xG for | 17.10 |
| 21.77 | xG against | 19.14 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Charlton and Sheffield Utd
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 7 Nov 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since
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