Charlton v Sheffield Utd · analysis and preview
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Most likely: Sheffield Utd win
The model gives Sheffield Utd a 43% chance of winning, compared to 29% for Charlton and 28% for a draw. Sheffield Utd have won 3 of their last 5 matches (WWDWL), while Charlton have lost 4 in a row (LLLLD). Expected goals favour Sheffield Utd with a gap of 0.32 in their favour, and the model projects a combined 2.56 goals.
How the match could end · our estimate
- 29%Charlton win
- 28%Draw
- 43%Sheffield Utd win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
CharltonLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
- lost0–1v Bolton
- lost0–3at Middlesbrough
- lost1–3v Norwich
- lost0–2at Watford
- drew2–2at Burnley
Sheffield UtdLast 5: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
- won3–2at Preston
- won1–0v Wrexham
- drew1–1v Derby
- won1–0at Bristol City
- lost2–3at Portsmouth
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Charlton won 15 of 26 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Aug 2025.
- Sheffield Utd won 37 of 55 matches in which they scored first, since 10 Nov 2024.
- Charlton without a win in their last 5 home games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Charlton 2, draws 0, Sheffield Utd 0
Goals: Charlton 2, Sheffield Utd 0
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Charlton v Sheffield Utd | 1–0 |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sheffield Utd v Charlton | 0–1 |
Home and away
CharltonCharlton at home
Last 5: 0 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost
- LostBolton3 Nov 20260–1
- LostNorwich24 Oct 20261–3
- DrawnBristol City10 Oct 20261–1
- DrawnPortsmouth12 Sep 20260–0
- DrawnQPR9 Sep 20260–0
Charlton: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd away
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonPreston3 Nov 20263–2
- WonBristol City17 Oct 20261–0
- LostPortsmouth14 Oct 20262–3
- LostStoke City19 Sep 20261–2
- LostFleetwood TownLeague Cup16 Sep 20260–1
Sheffield Utd: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 15 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Charlton- Last match
- 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Bolton · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
Sheffield Utd- Last match
- 4 days before3 Nov 2026 · v Preston · Championship
- Next match
- Not known
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Charlton
Since 9 Aug 2025
| Score | Charlton | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 15 won, 7 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 8 drawn, 21 lost in 30 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| Level at half-time | 11 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 34 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 7 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost in 20 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 1 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost in 20 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 7 won, 11 drawn, 3 lost in 21 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 2 lost in 21 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 15 won, 17 drawn, 13 lost in 45 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 12 won, 16 drawn, 10 lost in 38 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Charlton | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 14 scored, 18 conceded (60) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 3 conceded (20) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 6 scored, 11 conceded (26) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 35 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 14(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Sheffield Utd
Since 10 Nov 2024
| Score | Sheffield Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 37 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 55 matches | 1138 won, 353 drawn, 221 lost in 1712 matches |
| Conceded first | 8 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost in 37 matches | 221 won, 353 drawn, 1138 lost in 1712 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 15 won, 2 drawn, 8 lost in 25 matches | 518 won, 167 drawn, 96 lost in 781 matches |
| Level at half-time | 17 won, 12 drawn, 9 lost in 38 matches | 467 won, 584 drawn, 467 lost in 1518 matches |
| 1 goal down at half-time | 4 won, 1 drawn, 15 lost in 20 matches | 96 won, 167 drawn, 518 lost in 781 matches |
| 1 goal up after 60 minutes | 15 won, 5 drawn, 5 lost in 25 matches | 549 won, 172 drawn, 68 lost in 789 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 12 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches | 344 won, 590 drawn, 344 lost in 1278 matches |
| 1 goal down after 60 minutes | 2 won, 1 drawn, 17 lost in 20 matches | 68 won, 172 drawn, 549 lost in 789 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 22 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost in 29 matches | 576 won, 153 drawn, 47 lost in 776 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 6 won, 10 drawn, 6 lost in 22 matches | 279 won, 640 drawn, 279 lost in 1198 matches |
| 1 goal up after 80 minutes | 25 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches | 654 won, 121 drawn, 19 lost in 794 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 3 won, 12 drawn, 7 lost in 22 matches | 175 won, 712 drawn, 175 lost in 1062 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 30 won, 13 drawn, 27 lost in 70 matches | 937 won, 750 drawn, 937 lost in 2624 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 27 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 53 matches | 669 won, 640 drawn, 669 lost in 1978 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Sheffield Utd | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 20 scored, 27 conceded (95) | 1065 scored, 1065 conceded (3678) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 14 conceded (47) | 356 scored, 386 conceded (1286) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 9 conceded (21) | 323 scored, 323 conceded (1106) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 4 scored, 4 conceded (27) | 386 scored, 356 conceded (1286) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 19(league sides: 1,929 times, within 15 minutes 327, by full time 852)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 4 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Earlier league matches
| Charlton | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 60Since 9 Aug 2025 | Matches with xG | 95Since 10 Nov 2024 |
| 60.65 | xG for | 140.30 |
| 55 | Goals scored | 138 |
| 85.31 | xG against | 113.23 |
| 80 | Goals conceded | 114 |
Charlton
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | v Bolton | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0–1 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | at Middlesbrough | 0.46 | 1.79 | 0–3 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Norwich | 0.87 | 1.75 | 1–3 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Watford | 1.31 | 2.87 | 0–2 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | at Burnley | 2.13 | 1.08 | 2–2 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Bristol City | 1.78 | 1.47 | 1–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Cardiff | 1.26 | 2.60 | 1–3 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Portsmouth | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0–0 |
| 9 Sep 2026 | v QPR | 0.48 | 1.10 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Stoke City | 0.61 | 2.14 | 0–4 |
Sheffield Utd
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | at Preston | 2.02 | 0.96 | 3–2 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | v Wrexham | 1.33 | 0.70 | 1–0 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | v Derby | 2.55 | 1.15 | 1–1 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | at Bristol City | 1.23 | 0.58 | 1–0 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | at Portsmouth | 1.80 | 2.01 | 2–3 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | v Lincoln | 0.68 | 1.39 | 3–0 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Stoke City | 0.36 | 0.65 | 1–2 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Wolves | 0.63 | 1.57 | 0–1 |
| 8 Sep 2026 | at Blackburn | 0.47 | 1.60 | 2–1 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Norwich | 0.79 | 3.04 | 1–3 |
This league season
Championship matches since 14 Aug 2026. Play-off rounds count here as league matches.
| Charlton | Sheffield Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 of 14 | Matches with xG | 14 of 14 |
| 14 | Points in those matches | 22 |
| 14.08 | xPts | 17.87 |
| 13.32 | xG for | 17.10 |
| 21.77 | xG against | 19.14 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Charlton and Sheffield Utd
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news not available yet.
Updated 6 Nov 2026, 18:18 GMT
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