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Serie A
Como
0–0Finished
AS Roma
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 BSTMatchday 6

Como v AS Roma match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 11 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 32%Como win
  • 27%Draw
  • 41%AS Roma win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ComoComo

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

AS RomaAS Roma

Last 5: 3 wins, 2 draws, no defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Como won 29 of 43 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
  • AS Roma won 49 of 56 matches in which they scored first, since 20 Oct 2024.
  • AS Roma unbeaten in their last 5 away games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Como's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

4 meetings: Como 2, draws 0, AS Roma 2

Goals: Como 5, AS Roma 4

DateMatchScore
15 Mar 2026Como v AS Roma2–1
15 Dec 2025AS Roma v Como1–0
2 Mar 2025AS Roma v Como2–1
15 Dec 2024Como v AS Roma2–0

Home and away

Como

Como at home

Last 5: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost

  • WonParma14 Sep 20262–1
  • WonRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20264–1
  • WonParma17 May 20261–0
  • DrawnNapoli2 May 20260–0
  • LostInter12 Apr 20263–4

Como: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
23 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
AS Roma

AS Roma away

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonTorino14 Sep 20262–0
  • DrawnFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20261–1
  • WonLecce31 Aug 20264–0
  • WonHellas Verona24 May 20262–0
  • WonParma10 May 20263–2

AS Roma: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Como
Last match
21 days before20 Sep 2026 · v Frosinone · Serie A
Next match
3 days after14 Oct 2026 · v Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League
AS Roma
Last match
22 days before19 Sep 2026 · v Inter · Serie A
Next match
3 days after14 Oct 2026 · v Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Como

Since 19 Oct 2024

ScoreComoLeague sides
Scored first29 won, 8 drawn, 6 lost in 43 matches742 won, 234 drawn, 123 lost in 1099 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 14 lost in 26 matches123 won, 234 drawn, 742 lost in 1099 matches
1 goal up at half-time15 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches328 won, 120 drawn, 56 lost in 504 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 30 matches315 won, 390 drawn, 315 lost in 1020 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes18 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches365 won, 110 drawn, 34 lost in 509 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches235 won, 402 drawn, 235 lost in 872 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches384 won, 93 drawn, 22 lost in 499 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches178 won, 444 drawn, 178 lost in 800 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes20 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches318 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 322 matches
Level after 15 minutes19 won, 18 drawn, 17 lost in 54 matches605 won, 528 drawn, 605 lost in 1738 matches
Level after 30 minutes18 won, 14 drawn, 11 lost in 43 matches442 won, 420 drawn, 442 lost in 1304 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreComoLeague sides
All matches28 scored, 13 conceded (75)693 scored, 693 conceded (2386)
When leading after 75 minutes18 scored, 4 conceded (32)242 scored, 222 conceded (806)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 3 conceded (25)229 scored, 229 conceded (774)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,222 times, within 15 minutes 179, by full time 544)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

AS Roma

Since 20 Oct 2024

ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
Scored first49 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost in 56 matches742 won, 234 drawn, 123 lost in 1099 matches
Conceded first6 won, 10 drawn, 22 lost in 38 matches123 won, 234 drawn, 742 lost in 1099 matches
1 goal up at half-time26 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 29 matches328 won, 120 drawn, 56 lost in 504 matches
Level at half-time17 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 36 matches315 won, 390 drawn, 315 lost in 1020 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes31 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 35 matches365 won, 110 drawn, 34 lost in 509 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost in 22 matches235 won, 402 drawn, 235 lost in 872 matches
1 goal down after 60 minutes2 won, 5 drawn, 13 lost in 20 matches34 won, 110 drawn, 365 lost in 509 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes20 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches280 won, 13 drawn, 1 lost in 294 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes29 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 31 matches384 won, 93 drawn, 22 lost in 499 matches
1 goal down after 70 minutes1 won, 7 drawn, 12 lost in 20 matches22 won, 93 drawn, 384 lost in 499 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes25 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 25 matches318 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 322 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes27 won, 2 drawn, 0 lost in 29 matches427 won, 83 drawn, 11 lost in 521 matches
1 goal down after 80 minutes1 won, 3 drawn, 16 lost in 20 matches11 won, 83 drawn, 427 lost in 521 matches
1 goal up after 15 minutes17 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches201 won, 60 drawn, 40 lost in 301 matches
Level after 15 minutes36 won, 12 drawn, 15 lost in 63 matches605 won, 528 drawn, 605 lost in 1738 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes25 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 28 matches288 won, 108 drawn, 57 lost in 453 matches
Level after 30 minutes24 won, 11 drawn, 14 lost in 49 matches442 won, 420 drawn, 442 lost in 1304 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreAS RomaLeague sides
All matches31 scored, 23 conceded (94)693 scored, 693 conceded (2386)
When leading after 75 minutes15 scored, 11 conceded (53)242 scored, 222 conceded (806)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 3 conceded (22)222 scored, 242 conceded (806)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 41 times, equalised within 15 minutes 11, by full time 25(league sides: 1,222 times, within 15 minutes 179, by full time 544)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

ComoAS Roma
74Since 19 Oct 2024Matches with xG74Since 20 Oct 2024
108.36xG for111.21
113Goals scored121
76.48xG against77.79
73Goals conceded64

Como

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Como: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
20 Sep 2026at Frosinone2.122.180–2
14 Sep 2026v Parma2.981.152–1
4 Sep 2026at Genoa1.780.784–1
30 Aug 2026at Napoli1.051.392–1
22 Aug 2026at Udinese1.502.141–1
24 May 2026at Cremonese2.471.064–1
17 May 2026v Parma2.770.431–0
10 May 2026at Hellas Verona0.851.071–0
2 May 2026v Napoli1.790.660–0
26 Apr 2026at Genoa1.060.592–0

AS Roma

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
AS Roma: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
19 Sep 2026v Inter1.662.862–2
14 Sep 2026at Torino1.850.862–0
5 Sep 2026v Atalanta2.970.702–1
31 Aug 2026at Lecce3.270.804–0
24 Aug 2026v Fiorentina3.070.354–0
24 May 2026at Hellas Verona3.390.842–0
17 May 2026v Lazio1.190.692–0
10 May 2026at Parma2.620.733–2
4 May 2026v Fiorentina2.240.144–0
25 Apr 2026at Bologna2.130.502–0

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

ComoAS Roma
5 of 5Matches with xG5 of 5
10Points in those matches13
7.94xPts10.83
9.43xG for12.82
7.64xG against5.57

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Como and AS Roma

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • ComoComoNo injuries or suspensions reported.
  • AS RomaAS RomaM. Bah (Knee Injury) · B. Cristante (Injury) · K. Koulierakis (Knock) · M. Svilar (Toe Injury)

Published 11 Oct 2026, 10:27 BST · not changed since

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