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Serie A
Como
2–0Finished
Sassuolo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 BSTMatchday 8 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como v Sassuolo match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Como are heavy favourites at home with a 62% win probability. The model projects 2.86 expected goals total, with Como expected to generate 1.95 and Sassuolo 0.91, a gap of 1.04 in Como's favour.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 62%Como win
  • 23%Draw
  • 15%Sassuolo win

PRO analysis

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ComoComo

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

SassuoloSassuolo

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Como won 31 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 25 Oct 2024.
  • Sassuolo avoided defeat in 7 of 26 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 23 Aug 2025.
  • Como won 2 of the last 3 meetings.
  • Como unbeaten in their last 5 home games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Como 2, draws 0, Sassuolo 1

Goals: Como 6, Sassuolo 2

DateMatchScore
17 Apr 2026Sassuolo v Como2–1
28 Nov 2025Como v Sassuolo2–0
24 Sep 2025Como v SassuoloCoppa Italia3–0

Home and away

Como

Como at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20264–1
  • DrawnAS Roma11 Oct 20260–0
  • WonParma14 Sep 20262–1
  • WonRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20264–1
  • WonParma17 May 20261–0

Como: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
17 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Sassuolo

Sassuolo away

Last 5: 0 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostFrosinone16 Oct 20262–4
  • LostMonza18 Sep 20261–2
  • DrawnBologna6 Sep 20262–2
  • LostAtalanta23 Aug 20261–2
  • LostParma24 May 20260–1

Sassuolo: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
10 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Como
Last match
3 days before21 Oct 2026 · v Manchester United · UEFA Champions League
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Torino · Serie A
Sassuolo
Last match
8 days before16 Oct 2026 · v Frosinone · Serie A
Next match
3 days after27 Oct 2026 · v Lazio · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Como

Since 25 Oct 2024

ScoreComoLeague sides
Scored first31 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 46 matches756 won, 236 drawn, 124 lost in 1116 matches
Conceded first6 won, 5 drawn, 14 lost in 25 matches124 won, 236 drawn, 756 lost in 1116 matches
1 goal up at half-time17 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches334 won, 121 drawn, 56 lost in 511 matches
Level at half-time11 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost in 31 matches319 won, 394 drawn, 319 lost in 1032 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes18 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches370 won, 111 drawn, 34 lost in 515 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 5 lost in 24 matches238 won, 406 drawn, 238 lost in 882 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches389 won, 94 drawn, 22 lost in 505 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 25 matches179 won, 448 drawn, 179 lost in 806 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes22 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 22 matches328 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 332 matches
Level after 15 minutes20 won, 18 drawn, 18 lost in 56 matches615 won, 534 drawn, 615 lost in 1764 matches
Level after 30 minutes19 won, 15 drawn, 12 lost in 46 matches449 won, 424 drawn, 449 lost in 1322 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreComoLeague sides
All matches30 scored, 15 conceded (78)701 scored, 701 conceded (2422)
When leading after 75 minutes19 scored, 5 conceded (34)247 scored, 225 conceded (822)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 3 conceded (25)229 scored, 229 conceded (778)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 12(league sides: 1,244 times, within 15 minutes 183, by full time 551)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sassuolo

Since 23 Aug 2025

ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 4 drawn, 19 lost in 26 matches124 won, 236 drawn, 756 lost in 1116 matches
Level after 15 minutes12 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost in 30 matches615 won, 534 drawn, 615 lost in 1764 matches
Level after 30 minutes8 won, 6 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches449 won, 424 drawn, 449 lost in 1322 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSassuoloLeague sides
All matches10 scored, 15 conceded (45)701 scored, 701 conceded (2422)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 29 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 16(league sides: 1,244 times, within 15 minutes 183, by full time 551)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

ComoSassuolo
75Since 25 Oct 2024Matches with xG45Since 23 Aug 2025
110.02xG for54.35
115Goals scored58
79.16xG against66.12
73Goals conceded64

Como

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Como: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
18 Oct 2026at Fiorentina1.592.113–1
11 Oct 2026v AS Roma1.351.080–0
20 Sep 2026at Frosinone2.122.180–2
14 Sep 2026v Parma2.981.152–1
4 Sep 2026at Genoa1.780.784–1
30 Aug 2026at Napoli1.051.392–1
22 Aug 2026at Udinese1.502.141–1
24 May 2026at Cremonese2.471.064–1
17 May 2026v Parma2.770.431–0
10 May 2026at Hellas Verona0.851.071–0

Sassuolo

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sassuolo: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
16 Oct 2026at Frosinone2.042.592–4
11 Oct 2026v AC Milan1.191.181–1
18 Sep 2026at Monza1.471.511–2
13 Sep 2026v Juventus1.021.103–2
6 Sep 2026at Bologna1.621.882–2
29 Aug 2026v Torino1.851.262–1
23 Aug 2026at Atalanta2.700.881–2
24 May 2026at Parma0.911.120–1
17 May 2026v Lecce2.020.862–3
8 May 2026at Torino2.243.261–2

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

ComoSassuolo
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
14Points in those matches8
10.58xPts10.53
12.37xG for11.89
10.83xG against10.40

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Como and Sassuolo

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • ComoComo
    Ruled out
    T. Chalobah (Injury) · A. Diao (Thigh Injury) · M. Kean (Leg Injury) · M. Liberali (Leg Injury) · J. Rodriguez (Injury)
  • SassuoloSassuolo
    Ruled out
    D. Boloca (Muscle Injury) · J. Idzes (Muscle Injury) · I. Kone (Broken Leg) · F. Leysen (Knee Injury) · Y. Paz (Knee Injury)

Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 BST · not changed since

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