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Serie A
Como
1–0Finished
Venezia
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:30 GMTMatchday 10 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Como v Venezia match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Como are heavy favourites in this Serie A clash, with an expected-goals advantage of 1.23 in their favour. The hosts have won four of their last five matches, though Venezia draw frequently in head-to-head meetings (1-1 and 2-2 in their last two). Both teams are dealing with multiple injuries heading into the fixture.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 66%Como win
  • 21%Draw
  • 13%Venezia win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

ComoComo

Last 5: 4 wins, no draws, 1 defeat

  1. won3–1at Torino
  2. won2–0v Sassuolo
  3. won4–1v Manchester United
  4. won3–1at Fiorentina
  5. lost2–3at Feyenoord
VeneziaVenezia

Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats

  1. lost0–2v Inter
  2. lost0–1at Genoa
  3. won1–0v Napoli
  4. lost1–3at Atalanta
  5. lost0–2v Lazio

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Como won 32 of 47 matches in which they scored first, since 4 Nov 2024.
  • Serie A, since 19 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 219 of 278.
  • Como unbeaten in their last 5 home games.
  • Venezia without a win in their last 5 away games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

6 meetings: Como 2, draws 2, Venezia 2

Goals: Como 8, Venezia 10

DateMatchScore
8 Mar 2025Como v Venezia1–1
8 Dec 2024Venezia v Como2–2
3 Mar 2024Como v VeneziaSerie B · Italy2–1
20 Aug 2023Venezia v ComoSerie B · Italy3–0
1 Apr 2023Venezia v ComoSerie B · Italy3–2
6 Nov 2022Como v VeneziaSerie B · Italy1–0

Home and away

Como

Como at home

Last 5: 4 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost

  • WonSassuolo24 Oct 20262–0
  • WonManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League21 Oct 20264–1
  • DrawnAS Roma11 Oct 20260–0
  • WonParma14 Sep 20262–1
  • WonRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League10 Sep 20264–1

Como: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 9 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
5 of 10
Venezia

Venezia away

Last 5: 0 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost

  • LostGenoa25 Oct 20260–1
  • LostAtalanta12 Oct 20261–3
  • LostFrosinone6 Sep 20262–3
  • LostUdineseCoppa Italia2 Sep 20261–2
  • LostAC Milan28 Aug 20260–2

Venezia: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
4 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Como
Last match
5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Torino · Serie A
Next match
3 days after4 Nov 2026 · v Lens · UEFA Champions League
Venezia
Last match
4 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Inter · Serie A
Next match
5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Udinese · Serie A

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 4 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Como

ScoreComoLeague sides
Scored first32 won, 8 drawn, 7 lost in 47 matches770 won, 239 drawn, 128 lost in 1137 matches
Conceded first7 won, 5 drawn, 12 lost in 24 matches128 won, 239 drawn, 770 lost in 1137 matches
1 goal up at half-time17 won, 6 drawn, 4 lost in 27 matches337 won, 124 drawn, 58 lost in 519 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches326 won, 396 drawn, 326 lost in 1048 matches
1 goal up after 60 minutes18 won, 7 drawn, 2 lost in 27 matches376 won, 112 drawn, 35 lost in 523 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 23 matches241 won, 410 drawn, 241 lost in 892 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 4 drawn, 1 lost in 21 matches394 won, 97 drawn, 24 lost in 515 matches
Level after 70 minutes7 won, 14 drawn, 3 lost in 24 matches180 won, 450 drawn, 180 lost in 810 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes23 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 23 matches339 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost in 343 matches
Level after 15 minutes22 won, 18 drawn, 16 lost in 56 matches626 won, 542 drawn, 626 lost in 1794 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 46 matches454 won, 428 drawn, 454 lost in 1336 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreComoLeague sides
All matches33 scored, 13 conceded (78)721 scored, 721 conceded (2466)
When leading after 75 minutes19 scored, 5 conceded (35)253 scored, 235 conceded (840)
When level after 75 minutes7 scored, 3 conceded (25)233 scored, 233 conceded (786)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 29 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,274 times, within 15 minutes 190, by full time 567)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 19 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

ComoVenezia
75Since 4 Nov 2024Matches with xG37Since 3 Nov 2024
111.44xG for41.23
119Goals scored28
76.01xG against62.08
68Goals conceded57

Como

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Como: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
27 Oct 2026at Torino2.281.173–1
24 Oct 2026v Sassuolo1.690.262–0
18 Oct 2026at Fiorentina1.592.113–1
11 Oct 2026v AS Roma1.351.080–0
20 Sep 2026at Frosinone2.122.180–2
14 Sep 2026v Parma2.981.152–1
4 Sep 2026at Genoa1.780.784–1
30 Aug 2026at Napoli1.051.392–1
22 Aug 2026at Udinese1.502.141–1
24 May 2026at Cremonese2.471.064–1

Venezia

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Venezia: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
28 Oct 2026v Inter1.672.390–2
25 Oct 2026at Genoa1.820.410–1
17 Oct 2026v Napoli0.672.461–0
12 Oct 2026at Atalanta2.482.191–3
19 Sep 2026v Lazio1.891.600–2
11 Sep 2026v Fiorentina0.493.312–4
6 Sep 2026at Frosinone2.171.902–3
28 Aug 2026at AC Milan0.802.210–2
23 Aug 2026v Lecce2.052.700–2
25 May 2025v Juventus0.881.962–3

This league season

Serie A matches since 22 Aug 2026.

ComoVenezia
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
20Points in those matches3
15.07xPts10.21
16.34xG for14.04
12.26xG against19.17

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Como and Venezia

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • ComoComo
    Ruled out
    A. Diao (Thigh Injury) · M. Kean (Leg Injury) · J. Rodriguez (Injury)
    Doubtful
    T. Chalobah (Injury) · M. Liberali (Calf Injury)
  • VeneziaVenezia
    Ruled out
    A. Adorante (Hernia) · B. Franjic (Shoulder Injury) · M. Sverko (Hip Injury)
    Doubtful
    T. Correia (Thigh Injury) · T. J. Helgason (Injury) · P. Mazzocchi (Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 10:28 GMT · not changed since

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