Coventry v Fulham match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Coventry host Fulham in a closely matched fixture. The model gives Fulham a 37% chance of winning compared to Coventry's 36%, with a 28% probability of a draw. Expected goals total 2.68.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 36%Coventry win
- 28%Draw
- 36%Fulham win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.
See PRO plansFree on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.
Form · newest first
CoventryLast 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats
FulhamLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Coventry won 42 of 53 matches in which they scored first, since 26 Oct 2024.
- Premier League, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 188 of 267.
- Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Coventry's last 10 home league games.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Fulham's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
2 meetings: Coventry 2, draws 0, Fulham 0
Goals: Coventry 7, Fulham 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2022 | Fulham v CoventryChampionship | 1–3 |
| 2 Oct 2021 | Coventry v FulhamChampionship | 4–1 |
Home and away
CoventryCoventry at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- WonNewcastle12 Oct 20264–1
- LostAston VillaLeague Cup16 Sep 20261–3
- LostBrighton13 Sep 20260–5
- LostHull City29 Aug 20260–1
- WonWrexhamChampionship26 Apr 20263–1
Coventry: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 21 scored, 14 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 6 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 8 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
FulhamFulham away
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- LostIpswich10 Oct 20261–2
- WonWest HamLeague Cup15 Sep 20263–2
- DrawnLiverpool12 Sep 20260–0
- LostSunderland30 Aug 20260–1
- DrawnWolves17 May 20261–1
Fulham: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 13 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 4 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Coventry- Last match
- 5 days before19 Oct 2026 · v Tottenham · Premier League
- Next match
- 7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Sunderland · Premier League
Fulham- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Hull City · Premier League
- Next match
- 4 days after28 Oct 2026 · v Crystal Palace · League Cup
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 26 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Coventry
| Score | Coventry | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 42 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 53 matches | 742 won, 241 drawn, 169 lost in 1152 matches |
| Conceded first | 7 won, 6 drawn, 18 lost in 31 matches | 169 won, 241 drawn, 742 lost in 1152 matches |
| 1 goal up at half-time | 16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches | 327 won, 126 drawn, 74 lost in 527 matches |
| Level at half-time | 15 won, 10 drawn, 8 lost in 33 matches | 301 won, 328 drawn, 301 lost in 930 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 60 minutes | 21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches | 291 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 306 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 15 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 31 matches | 209 won, 326 drawn, 209 lost in 744 matches |
| 1 goal up after 70 minutes | 16 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches | 349 won, 113 drawn, 37 lost in 499 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 12 won, 9 drawn, 5 lost in 26 matches | 164 won, 358 drawn, 164 lost in 686 matches |
| 2+ goals up after 80 minutes | 24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches | 408 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 414 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 8 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 23 matches | 124 won, 392 drawn, 124 lost in 640 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 32 won, 13 drawn, 19 lost in 64 matches | 616 won, 456 drawn, 616 lost in 1688 matches |
| 1 goal up after 30 minutes | 19 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches | 314 won, 104 drawn, 78 lost in 496 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 20 won, 13 drawn, 13 lost in 46 matches | 430 won, 386 drawn, 430 lost in 1246 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Coventry | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 39 scored, 21 conceded (90) | 875 scored, 875 conceded (2422) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 16 scored, 10 conceded (41) | 315 scored, 327 conceded (884) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 12 scored, 3 conceded (23) | 233 scored, 233 conceded (654) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 11 scored, 8 conceded (26) | 327 scored, 315 conceded (884) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 40 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 20(league sides: 1,367 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 655)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 26 Oct 2024
| Coventry | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 89 | Matches with xG | 75 |
| 151.62 | xG for | 95.94 |
| 157 | Goals scored | 97 |
| 103.59 | xG against | 101.92 |
| 104 | Goals conceded | 104 |
Coventry
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | at Tottenham | 0.79 | 0.90 | 1–3 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | v Newcastle | 1.47 | 1.84 | 4–1 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | at Nottingham Forest | 0.67 | 1.10 | 1–0 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | v Brighton | 1.33 | 2.81 | 0–5 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | at Manchester City | 1.37 | 2.12 | 0–1 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | v Hull City | 1.29 | 0.72 | 0–1 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | at Arsenal | 0.20 | 1.88 | 0–3 |
| 2 May 2026 | at Watford | 1.39 | 1.70 | 4–0 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | v Wrexham | 1.58 | 1.25 | 3–1 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | v Portsmouth | 3.26 | 0.10 | 5–1 |
Fulham
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | v Hull City | 1.48 | 0.18 | 1–0 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | at Ipswich | 1.81 | 1.15 | 1–2 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | v Manchester United | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1–1 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | at Liverpool | 0.70 | 1.28 | 0–0 |
| 5 Sep 2026 | v Crystal Palace | 3.14 | 1.97 | 2–3 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | at Sunderland | 0.95 | 2.02 | 0–1 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | v Chelsea | 1.33 | 2.24 | 2–3 |
| 24 May 2026 | v Newcastle | 1.81 | 0.31 | 2–0 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Wolves | 1.59 | 1.40 | 1–1 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Bournemouth | 1.33 | 0.82 | 0–1 |
Coventry: 1 without xG left out
This league season
Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.
| Coventry | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 of 7 | Matches with xG | 7 of 7 |
| 6 | Points in those matches | 5 |
| 7.02 | xPts | 10.08 |
| 7.12 | xG for | 11.03 |
| 11.37 | xG against | 10.44 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Coventry and Fulham
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Ruled out
- A. Amenda (Calf Injury) · J. Eccles (Injury) · L. Woolfenden (Knee Injury) · H. Wright (Muscle Injury)
- Ruled out
- R. Sessegnon (Red Card)
Published 24 Oct 2026, 13:58 BST · not changed since
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