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Premier League
Coventry
3–1Finished
Sunderland
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 GMTMatchday 9 · Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry

Coventry v Sunderland match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 31 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Coventry hold a 42% chance of victory according to the model, with draws and Sunderland wins also in play. Both teams face injury concerns in defence ahead of kickoff. Expected goals total 2.51, with a 0.23 gap in Coventry's favour. Recent head-to-head meetings have been close, including a 1-1 draw and a 2-2 draw.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 42%Coventry win
  • 29%Draw
  • 29%Sunderland win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

CoventryCoventry

Last 5: 2 wins, no draws, 3 defeats

  1. lost0–1v Fulham
  2. lost1–3at Tottenham
  3. won4–1v Newcastle
  4. won1–0at Nottingham Forest
  5. lost1–3v Aston Villa
SunderlandSunderland

Last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat

  1. won3–2v Brentford
  2. drew0–0v Leeds
  3. drew1–1at Lech Poznan
  4. lost0–2at Bournemouth
  5. won2–1at Torreense

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Coventry won 42 of 53 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Sunderland won 20 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Coventry won 4 of the last 8 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Coventry's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

8 meetings: Coventry 4, draws 3, Sunderland 1

Goals: Coventry 13, Sunderland 6

DateMatchScore
13 May 2025Sunderland v CoventryChampionship0–1 AET 1–1
9 May 2025Coventry v SunderlandChampionship1–2
15 Mar 2025Coventry v SunderlandChampionship3–0
9 Nov 2024Sunderland v CoventryChampionship2–2
23 Dec 2023Sunderland v CoventryChampionship0–3
26 Aug 2023Coventry v SunderlandChampionship0–0
25 Feb 2023Coventry v SunderlandChampionship2–1
31 Jul 2022Sunderland v CoventryChampionship1–1

Home and away

Coventry

Coventry at home

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • LostFulham24 Oct 20260–1
  • WonNewcastle12 Oct 20264–1
  • LostAston VillaLeague Cup16 Sep 20261–3
  • LostBrighton13 Sep 20260–5
  • LostHull City29 Aug 20260–1

Coventry: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
19 scored, 14 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Sunderland

Sunderland away

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnLech PoznanUEFA Europa League22 Oct 20261–1
  • LostBournemouth18 Oct 20260–2
  • WonTorreenseUEFA Europa League15 Oct 20262–1
  • LostManchester City20 Sep 20263–5
  • DrawnBrentford5 Sep 20261–1

Sunderland: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Coventry
Last match
7 days before24 Oct 2026 · v Fulham · Premier League
Next match
6 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Everton · Premier League
Sunderland
Last match
3 days before28 Oct 2026 · v Brentford · League Cup
Next match
5 days after5 Nov 2026 · v Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Europa League

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 2 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Coventry

ScoreCoventryLeague sides
Scored first42 won, 5 drawn, 6 lost in 53 matches749 won, 242 drawn, 169 lost in 1160 matches
Conceded first6 won, 6 drawn, 19 lost in 31 matches169 won, 242 drawn, 749 lost in 1160 matches
1 goal up at half-time16 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches329 won, 127 drawn, 74 lost in 530 matches
Level at half-time15 won, 10 drawn, 9 lost in 34 matches304 won, 330 drawn, 304 lost in 938 matches
2+ goals up after 60 minutes21 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 21 matches294 won, 11 drawn, 4 lost in 309 matches
Level after 60 minutes15 won, 9 drawn, 8 lost in 32 matches211 won, 328 drawn, 211 lost in 750 matches
1 goal up after 70 minutes16 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost in 20 matches350 won, 113 drawn, 37 lost in 500 matches
Level after 70 minutes12 won, 9 drawn, 6 lost in 27 matches166 won, 362 drawn, 166 lost in 694 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes24 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches412 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost in 418 matches
Level after 80 minutes7 won, 12 drawn, 3 lost in 22 matches124 won, 396 drawn, 124 lost in 644 matches
Level after 15 minutes32 won, 13 drawn, 20 lost in 65 matches621 won, 460 drawn, 621 lost in 1702 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost in 22 matches316 won, 105 drawn, 78 lost in 499 matches
Level after 30 minutes20 won, 13 drawn, 14 lost in 47 matches434 won, 388 drawn, 434 lost in 1256 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreCoventryLeague sides
All matches37 scored, 22 conceded (90)878 scored, 878 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes16 scored, 10 conceded (41)315 scored, 327 conceded (889)
When level after 75 minutes12 scored, 4 conceded (24)236 scored, 236 conceded (662)
When trailing after 75 minutes9 scored, 8 conceded (25)327 scored, 315 conceded (889)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 39 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 19(league sides: 1,374 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 657)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Sunderland

ScoreSunderlandLeague sides
Scored first20 won, 9 drawn, 2 lost in 31 matches749 won, 242 drawn, 169 lost in 1160 matches
Conceded first12 won, 8 drawn, 26 lost in 46 matches169 won, 242 drawn, 749 lost in 1160 matches
Level at half-time13 won, 17 drawn, 12 lost in 42 matches304 won, 330 drawn, 304 lost in 938 matches
Level after 60 minutes17 won, 19 drawn, 7 lost in 43 matches211 won, 328 drawn, 211 lost in 750 matches
Level after 70 minutes13 won, 17 drawn, 6 lost in 36 matches166 won, 362 drawn, 166 lost in 694 matches
1 goal up after 80 minutes19 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost in 24 matches359 won, 99 drawn, 22 lost in 480 matches
Level after 80 minutes8 won, 17 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches124 won, 396 drawn, 124 lost in 644 matches
Level after 15 minutes23 won, 23 drawn, 24 lost in 70 matches621 won, 460 drawn, 621 lost in 1702 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 17 drawn, 17 lost in 49 matches434 won, 388 drawn, 434 lost in 1256 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreSunderlandLeague sides
All matches24 scored, 23 conceded (87)878 scored, 878 conceded (2440)
When leading after 75 minutes2 scored, 8 conceded (28)315 scored, 327 conceded (889)
When level after 75 minutes11 scored, 7 conceded (31)236 scored, 236 conceded (662)
When trailing after 75 minutes11 scored, 8 conceded (28)327 scored, 315 conceded (889)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 46 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 26(league sides: 1,374 times, within 15 minutes 231, by full time 657)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 2 Nov 2024

CoventrySunderland
89Matches with xG82
148.86xG for94.68
154Goals scored87
102.49xG against108.31
103Goals conceded99

Coventry

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Coventry: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026v Fulham0.580.610–1
19 Oct 2026at Tottenham0.790.901–3
12 Oct 2026v Newcastle1.471.844–1
19 Sep 2026at Nottingham Forest0.671.101–0
13 Sep 2026v Brighton1.332.810–5
5 Sep 2026at Manchester City1.372.120–1
29 Aug 2026v Hull City1.290.720–1
21 Aug 2026at Arsenal0.201.880–3
2 May 2026at Watford1.391.704–0
26 Apr 2026v Wrexham1.581.253–1

Sunderland

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Sunderland: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
25 Oct 2026v Leeds0.830.760–0
18 Oct 2026at Bournemouth0.134.400–2
10 Oct 2026v Brighton0.721.410–2
20 Sep 2026at Manchester City3.572.823–5
12 Sep 2026v Arsenal1.801.880–2
5 Sep 2026at Brentford1.711.211–1
30 Aug 2026v Fulham2.020.951–0
22 Aug 2026at Ipswich0.661.801–2
24 May 2026v Chelsea1.840.892–1
17 May 2026at Everton0.761.043–1

Coventry: 1 without xG left outSunderland: 1 without xG left out

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

CoventrySunderland
8 of 8Matches with xG8 of 8
6Points in those matches5
8.29xPts9.76
7.70xG for11.44
11.98xG against15.23

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Coventry and Sunderland

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • CoventryCoventry
    Ruled out
    A. Amenda (Calf Injury) · J. Eccles (Ankle Injury) · L. Woolfenden (Knee Injury) · H. Wright (Muscle Injury)
    Doubtful
    B. Thomas (Calf Injury)
  • SunderlandSunderland
    Ruled out
    D. Ballard (Muscle Injury) · R. Mundle (Knee Injury)
    Doubtful
    N. Mukiele (Face Injury) · J. Ta Bi (Injury)

Published 31 Oct 2026, 13:58 GMT · not changed since

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