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Premier League
Crystal Palace
14:00
Liverpool
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · GMTMatchday 10 · Selhurst Park, London

Crystal Palace v Liverpool · analysis and preview

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Our selection

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Most likely: Liverpool win

Liverpool are favoured to win with the model assessing a 45% chance against Crystal Palace's 29%, with draws at 26%. Expected goals stand at 1.61 for Liverpool and 1.24 for Palace, a gap of 0.37. Liverpool have won two of their last three, while Palace have won just once in five recent matches.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 29%Crystal Palace win
  • 26%Draw
  • 45%Liverpool win

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. drew1–1v 1899 Hoffenheim
  2. lost0–2at Tottenham
  3. won1–0at Fulham
  4. lost0–2v Newcastle
  5. drew2–2at Beşiktaş
LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. lost2–3at Fenerbahçe
  2. lost0–1v Arsenal
  3. drew1–1v Chelsea
  4. won2–0v Brighton
  5. won4–3v Villarreal

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Premier League, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 192 of 272.
  • Liverpool won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

10 meetings: Crystal Palace 3, draws 3, Liverpool 4

Goals: Crystal Palace 11, Liverpool 12

DateMatchScore
25 Apr 2026Liverpool v Crystal Palace3–1
29 Oct 2025Liverpool v Crystal PalaceLeague Cup0–3
27 Sep 2025Crystal Palace v Liverpool2–1
25 May 2025Liverpool v Crystal Palace1–1
5 Oct 2024Crystal Palace v Liverpool0–1
14 Apr 2024Liverpool v Crystal Palace0–1
9 Dec 2023Crystal Palace v Liverpool1–2
25 Feb 2023Crystal Palace v Liverpool0–0
15 Aug 2022Liverpool v Crystal Palace1–1
23 Jan 2022Crystal Palace v Liverpool1–3

Home and away

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • Drawn1899 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League5 Nov 20261–1
  • LostNewcastle25 Oct 20260–2
  • WonNottingham Forest11 Oct 20263–1
  • WonLech PoznanUEFA Europa League17 Sep 20264–0
  • LostIpswich12 Sep 20262–3

Crystal Palace: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10
Liverpool

Liverpool away

Last 5: 4 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost

  • LostFenerbahçeUEFA Champions League4 Nov 20262–3
  • WonBrentford17 Oct 20262–1
  • WonLask LinzUEFA Champions League14 Oct 20266–3
  • WonBournemouth20 Sep 20261–0
  • WonIpswich4 Sep 20262–0

Liverpool: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
7 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Crystal Palace
Last match
3 days before5 Nov 2026 · v 1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League
Next match
13 days after21 Nov 2026 · v Coventry · Premier League
Liverpool
Last match
4 days before4 Nov 2026 · v Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League
Next match
Not known

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

Crystal PalaceLiverpool
75Matches with xG75
118.65xG for138.86
93Goals scored141
106.95xG against88.73
110Goals conceded97

Crystal Palace

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Crystal Palace: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
31 Oct 2026at Tottenham0.213.550–2
25 Oct 2026v Newcastle1.590.950–2
18 Oct 2026at Brighton0.772.000–5
11 Oct 2026v Nottingham Forest2.413.343–1
20 Sep 2026at Leeds1.061.310–0
12 Sep 2026v Ipswich0.621.672–3
5 Sep 2026at Fulham1.973.143–2
28 Aug 2026v Manchester City0.662.211–4
22 Aug 2026at Everton1.961.120–2
24 May 2026v Arsenal0.982.531–2

Liverpool

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Liverpool: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
1 Nov 2026v Arsenal1.121.020–1
25 Oct 2026v Brighton1.201.322–0
17 Oct 2026at Brentford1.540.902–1
11 Oct 2026v Manchester City0.941.280–3
20 Sep 2026at Bournemouth1.650.791–0
12 Sep 2026v Fulham1.280.700–0
4 Sep 2026at Ipswich0.690.752–0
29 Aug 2026v Nottingham Forest1.752.302–2
23 Aug 2026at Newcastle2.981.582–2
24 May 2026v Brentford3.041.561–1

This league season

Premier League matches since 21 Aug 2026.

Crystal PalaceLiverpool
9 of 9Matches with xG9 of 9
7Points in those matches15
8.52xPts13.91
11.25xG for13.15
19.29xG against10.64

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Crystal Palace and Liverpool

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 17:38 GMT

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