Danubio v Central Espanol match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 18 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Danubio are favoured to win this home match, with the model giving them a 41% chance, though a draw at 31% remains likely given recent inconsistency. Central Espanol have lost their last four matches and face a difficult trip away. The model expects 2.15 goals in total.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 41%Danubio win
- 31%Draw
- 28%Central Espanol win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
DanubioLast 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats
Central EspanolLast 5: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Danubio won 8 of 20 matches in which they scored first, since 23 Feb 2025.
- Primera División, since 23 Feb 2025: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 61 of 77.
- Central Espanol without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 7 of Danubio's last 10 home league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
1 meeting: Danubio 0, draws 1, Central Espanol 0
Goals: Danubio 2, Central Espanol 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Central Espanol v Danubio | 2–2 |
Home and away
DanubioDanubio at home
Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost
- WonCerro Largo4 Oct 20262–1
- DrawnWanderers20 Sep 20261–1
- LostPenarol5 Sep 20260–4
- DrawnRacing Montevideo23 Aug 20260–0
- LostCerro9 Aug 20260–1
Danubio: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 6 scored, 12 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 3 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Central EspanolCentral Espanol away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostDeportivo Maldonado3 Oct 20260–3
- DrawnCerro Largo13 Sep 20260–0
- LostWanderers28 Aug 20260–3
- LostPenarol16 Aug 20261–2
- DrawnBoston River12 Jul 20260–0
Central Espanol: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 5 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Danubio- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Central Espanol · Copa Uruguay
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Deportivo Maldonado · Primera División · Uruguay
Central Espanol- Last match
- 3 days before15 Oct 2026 · v Danubio · Copa Uruguay
- Next match
- 6 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Albion FC · Primera División · Uruguay
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Danubio
Since 23 Feb 2025
| Score | Danubio | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 8 won, 9 drawn, 3 lost in 20 matches | 256 won, 73 drawn, 44 lost in 373 matches |
| Conceded first | 1 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost in 24 matches | 44 won, 73 drawn, 256 lost in 373 matches |
| Level at half-time | 4 won, 12 drawn, 10 lost in 26 matches | 119 won, 150 drawn, 119 lost in 388 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 3 won, 13 drawn, 5 lost in 21 matches | 93 won, 158 drawn, 93 lost in 344 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 4 won, 15 drawn, 6 lost in 25 matches | 87 won, 158 drawn, 87 lost in 332 matches |
| Level after 80 minutes | 1 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 20 matches | 59 won, 168 drawn, 59 lost in 286 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 8 won, 13 drawn, 18 lost in 39 matches | 235 won, 170 drawn, 235 lost in 640 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 4 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost in 27 matches | 164 won, 154 drawn, 164 lost in 482 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Danubio | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 11 scored, 21 conceded (50) | 259 scored, 259 conceded (818) |
| When level after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 6 conceded (21) | 104 scored, 104 conceded (302) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 22 times, equalised within 15 minutes 2, by full time 9(league sides: 392 times, within 15 minutes 79, by full time 177)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
Central Espanol
Since 7 Feb 2026
| Score | Central Espanol | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Level after 15 minutes | 9 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost in 27 matches | 235 won, 170 drawn, 235 lost in 640 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 8 won, 7 drawn, 6 lost in 21 matches | 164 won, 154 drawn, 164 lost in 482 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Central Espanol | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 7 scored, 11 conceded (32) | 259 scored, 259 conceded (818) |
League sides: every team in this league since 23 Feb 2025, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Danubio and Central Espanol
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 18 Oct 2026, 18:23 BST · not changed since
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