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Primera División · Uruguay
Defensor Sporting
23:00
Penarol
Sun 15 Nov 2026 · GMTClausura · Matchday 14 · Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo

Defensor Sporting v Penarol · analysis and preview

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No signal on this match

Most likely: Penarol win

Penarol hold a 47% chance of winning this Uruguayan derby according to the model, compared to Defensor Sporting's 24%, with a 29% probability of a draw. Expected goals stand at 2.34, split 0.93 for Defensor and 1.41 for Penarol. Defensor are struggling with one draw and three defeats in their last five, while Penarol show steadier form from the same period.

How the match could end · our estimate

  • 24%Defensor Sporting win
  • 29%Draw
  • 47%Penarol win

PRO analysis

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PRO shows the full analysis of every match: our estimate next to the bookmaker’s price for each market, the written preview and the risks, and a signal whenever a match qualifies.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting

Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  1. won2–0at Progreso
  2. drew3–3v Racing Montevideo
  3. lost0–1at Boston River
  4. lost2–3v Cerro
  5. lost2–3at Albion FC
PenarolPenarol

Last 5: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 defeat

  1. drew1–1v Wanderers
  2. drew0–0at Juventud
  3. lost0–1at Liverpool Montevideo
  4. drew1–1v Progreso
  5. won1–0at Racing Montevideo

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Penarol won 6 of the last 9 meetings.
  • Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Penarol's last 10 away league games.
  • Not both teams scored in 7 of Penarol's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

9 meetings: Defensor Sporting 1, draws 2, Penarol 6

Goals: Defensor Sporting 5, Penarol 14

DateMatchScore
24 May 2026Defensor Sporting v Penarol0–2
4 May 2026Penarol v Defensor Sporting1–1
8 Jun 2025Penarol v Defensor Sporting3–0
3 May 2025Defensor Sporting v Penarol0–1
27 Jul 2024Penarol v Defensor Sporting1–0
18 May 2024Defensor Sporting v Penarol0–2
23 Jul 2023Penarol v Defensor Sporting2–1
25 Feb 2023Defensor Sporting v Penarol2–2
13 Feb 2022Penarol v Defensor Sporting0–1

Home and away

Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting at home

Last 5: 2 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnRacing Montevideo24 Oct 20263–3
  • LostCerro10 Oct 20262–3
  • WonDanubio27 Sep 20261–0
  • WonDeportivo Maldonado13 Sep 20261–0
  • LostAtletico Torque29 Aug 20261–3

Defensor Sporting: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
6 of 10
Clean sheets
2 of 10
Penarol

Penarol away

Last 5: 2 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnJuventud24 Oct 20260–0
  • LostLiverpool Montevideo18 Oct 20260–1
  • WonRacing Montevideo4 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnAtletico Torque1 Oct 20261–1
  • WonCerro19 Sep 20262–1

Penarol: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
12 scored, 4 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
3 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
2 of 10
Clean sheets
6 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Defensor Sporting
Last match
14 days before1 Nov 2026 · v Progreso · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
Not known
Penarol
Last match
15 days before31 Oct 2026 · v Wanderers · Primera División · Uruguay
Next match
Not known

Injuries and suspensions

Team news not available yet.

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 20:48 GMT

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