Defensor Sporting v Racing Montevideo match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 24 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Racing Montevideo hold a 37% model chance of victory against Defensor Sporting's 31%, with a 32% draw probability. The model projects 2.12 goals, with Racing generating a narrow expected goals advantage.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 31%Defensor Sporting win
- 32%Draw
- 37%Racing Montevideo win
PRO analysis
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Form · newest first
Last 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Defensor Sporting won 4 of the last 6 meetings.
- Racing Montevideo without a win in their last 5 away games.
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 of Racing Montevideo's last 10 away league games.
- Not both teams scored in 7 of Racing Montevideo's last 10 away league games.
Last meetings
Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.
6 meetings: Defensor Sporting 4, draws 2, Racing Montevideo 0
Goals: Defensor Sporting 7, Racing Montevideo 2
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 May 2026 | Racing Montevideo v Defensor Sporting | 0–0 |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Racing Montevideo v Defensor Sporting | 1–1 |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Defensor Sporting v Racing Montevideo | 2–0 |
| 22 Jun 2024 | Racing Montevideo v Defensor Sporting | 0–1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Racing Montevideo v Defensor Sporting | 1–2 |
| 3 Apr 2023 | Racing Montevideo v Defensor Sporting | 0–1 |
Home and away
Defensor Sporting at home
Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost
- LostCerro10 Oct 20262–3
- WonDanubio27 Sep 20261–0
- WonDeportivo Maldonado13 Sep 20261–0
- LostAtletico Torque29 Aug 20261–3
- LostLiverpool Montevideo16 Aug 20260–4
Defensor Sporting: home league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 9 scored, 17 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 5 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 5 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 10
Racing Montevideo away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostJuventud11 Oct 20260–2
- LostProgreso26 Sep 20261–2
- DrawnLiverpool Montevideo21 Sep 20260–0
- LostCerro6 Sep 20260–1
- DrawnDanubio23 Aug 20260–0
Racing Montevideo: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 4 scored, 11 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 3 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 2 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Boston River · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 8 days after1 Nov 2026 · v Progreso · Primera División · Uruguay
- Last match
- 7 days before17 Oct 2026 · v Wanderers · Primera División · Uruguay
- Next match
- 7 days after31 Oct 2026 · v Cerro Largo · Primera División · Uruguay
Injuries and suspensions
Team news was not available for this match.
Published 24 Oct 2026, 18:58 BST · not changed since
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