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La Liga
Deportivo La Coruna
1–1Finished
Levante
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 20:00 BSTMatchday 9

Deportivo La Coruna v Levante match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Fri 16 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Deportivo La Coruna are slight favourites at home with a 46% win probability, though a draw is far from unlikely at 27%. Expected goals of 2.72 point to a competitive match, and Levante have proven dangerous in recent meetings.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 46%Deportivo La Coruna win
  • 27%Draw
  • 27%Levante win

PRO analysis

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PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

LevanteLevante

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 248 of 312.
  • Levante avoided defeat in 6 of 26 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 16 Aug 2025.
  • Levante without a win in their last 5 away games.
  • Both teams scored in 8 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

2 meetings: Deportivo La Coruna 0, draws 0, Levante 2

Goals: Deportivo La Coruna 2, Levante 4

DateMatchScore
25 Jan 2025Deportivo La Coruna v LevanteSegunda División1–2
24 Oct 2024Levante v Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División2–1

Home and away

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • DrawnReal Betis20 Sep 20261–1
  • LostSevilla16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonValencia30 Aug 20263–1
  • DrawnElche17 Aug 20261–1
  • LostLas PalmasSegunda División31 May 20261–2

Deportivo La Coruna: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 10 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
8 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
1 of 10
Levante

Levante away

Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostVillarreal20 Sep 20261–3
  • DrawnMalaga6 Sep 20260–0
  • DrawnOsasuna24 Aug 20260–0
  • LostEspanyol16 Aug 20260–3
  • LostReal Betis23 May 20261–2

Levante: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
7 scored, 18 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
5 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
3 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Deportivo La Coruna
Last match
5 days before11 Oct 2026 · v Real Sociedad · La Liga
Next match
8 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Madrid · La Liga
Levante
Last match
4 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Sevilla · La Liga
Next match
5 days after21 Oct 2026 · v Athletic Club · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 16 Aug 2025. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Levante

ScoreLevanteLeague sides
Conceded first3 won, 3 drawn, 20 lost in 26 matches143 won, 245 drawn, 757 lost in 1145 matches
Level at half-time6 won, 6 drawn, 8 lost in 20 matches342 won, 370 drawn, 342 lost in 1054 matches
Level after 15 minutes8 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost in 30 matches639 won, 482 drawn, 639 lost in 1760 matches
Level after 30 minutes6 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost in 24 matches471 won, 418 drawn, 471 lost in 1360 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreLevanteLeague sides
All matches19 scored, 21 conceded (45)787 scored, 787 conceded (2436)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 30 times, equalised within 15 minutes 5, by full time 13(league sides: 1,286 times, within 15 minutes 212, by full time 601)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 16 Aug 2025

Deportivo La CorunaLevante
—Matches with xG45
—xG for62.15
—Goals scored58
—xG against75.06
—Goals conceded76

Levante

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Levante: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
12 Oct 2026v Sevilla1.822.203–3
20 Sep 2026at Villarreal0.454.271–3
13 Sep 2026v Barcelona2.422.582–4
6 Sep 2026at Malaga0.811.460–0
29 Aug 2026v Real Betis2.761.925–2
24 Aug 2026at Osasuna1.280.700–0
16 Aug 2026at Espanyol0.281.550–3
23 May 2026at Real Betis2.281.511–2
17 May 2026v Mallorca2.440.342–0
12 May 2026at Celta Vigo1.522.183–2

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

Deportivo La CorunaLevante
8 of 8Matches with xG7 of 7
10Points in those matches6
10.02xPts7.55
8.90xG for9.82
9.47xG against14.68

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Deportivo La Coruna and Levante

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
    Ruled out
    L. Amatucci (Red Card) · P. Aubameyang (Knee Injury) · M. Casado (Collarbone injury) · Z. Eddahchouri (Wrist Injury)
  • LevanteLevante
    Ruled out
    K. Etta Eyong (Muscle Injury) · A. Primo (Shoulder Injury) · H. Sotelo (Knee Injury)

Published 16 Oct 2026, 18:57 BST · not changed since

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