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La Liga
Deportivo La Coruna
2–1Finished
Osasuna
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 20:00 GMTMatchday 11 · Estadio de Riazor, La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna v Osasuna match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Mon 2 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

Written before kick-off

Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna are evenly matched, with the model giving La Coruna a 44% chance of victory compared to Osasuna's 28%, and a 28% draw probability. Expected goals stand at 1.47 for La Coruna and 1.14 for Osasuna, a gap of 0.33 in the hosts' favour. Both teams are significantly weakened by injuries.

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 44%Deportivo La Coruna win
  • 28%Draw
  • 28%Osasuna win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

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Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna

Last 5: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats

  1. won3–0at Auriense
  2. lost0–1at Atletico Madrid
  3. drew1–1v Levante
  4. lost2–3at Real Sociedad
  5. drew1–1v Real Betis
OsasunaOsasuna

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won6–0at Atletico Calatayud
  2. lost0–2at Sevilla
  3. won2–0v Racing Santander
  4. lost2–5at Real Betis
  5. drew1–1v Rayo Vallecano

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • La Liga, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 256 of 321.
  • Osasuna won 17 of 30 matches in which they scored first, since 9 Nov 2024.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Osasuna's last 10 away league games.
  • Both teams scored in 9 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10 home league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

1 meeting: Deportivo La Coruna 0, draws 0, Osasuna 1

Goals: Deportivo La Coruna 1, Osasuna 2

DateMatchScore
16 Dec 2021Deportivo La Coruna v OsasunaCopa del Rey1–2

Home and away

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna at home

Last 5: 1 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost

  • DrawnLevante16 Oct 20261–1
  • DrawnReal Betis20 Sep 20261–1
  • LostSevilla16 Sep 20260–1
  • WonValencia30 Aug 20263–1
  • DrawnElche17 Aug 20261–1

Deportivo La Coruna: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
15 scored, 11 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
9 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
5 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10
Osasuna

Osasuna away

Last 5: 1 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost

  • WonAtletico CalatayudCopa del Rey29 Oct 20266–0
  • LostSevilla26 Oct 20260–2
  • LostReal Betis11 Oct 20262–5
  • LostAtletico Madrid16 Sep 20260–4
  • LostAlaves6 Sep 20262–5

Osasuna: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 27 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Deportivo La Coruna
Last match
4 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Auriense · Copa del Rey
Next match
5 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Espanyol · La Liga
Osasuna
Last match
4 days before29 Oct 2026 · v Atletico Calatayud · Copa del Rey
Next match
5 days after7 Nov 2026 · v Athletic Club · La Liga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 9 Nov 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Osasuna

ScoreOsasunaLeague sides
Scored first17 won, 8 drawn, 5 lost in 30 matches778 won, 248 drawn, 146 lost in 1172 matches
Conceded first4 won, 11 drawn, 25 lost in 40 matches146 won, 248 drawn, 778 lost in 1172 matches
1 goal up at half-time12 won, 5 drawn, 4 lost in 21 matches334 won, 127 drawn, 62 lost in 523 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 14 drawn, 12 lost in 31 matches348 won, 378 drawn, 348 lost in 1074 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 15 drawn, 8 lost in 31 matches266 won, 386 drawn, 266 lost in 918 matches
Level after 70 minutes5 won, 13 drawn, 6 lost in 24 matches210 won, 424 drawn, 210 lost in 844 matches
Level after 80 minutes5 won, 15 drawn, 4 lost in 24 matches155 won, 456 drawn, 155 lost in 766 matches
Level after 15 minutes14 won, 17 drawn, 24 lost in 55 matches656 won, 492 drawn, 656 lost in 1804 matches
Level after 30 minutes9 won, 16 drawn, 15 lost in 40 matches484 won, 428 drawn, 484 lost in 1396 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreOsasunaLeague sides
All matches28 scored, 21 conceded (75)804 scored, 804 conceded (2496)
When level after 75 minutes10 scored, 7 conceded (26)237 scored, 237 conceded (800)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 7 conceded (30)279 scored, 288 conceded (848)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 44 times, equalised within 15 minutes 8, by full time 18(league sides: 1,316 times, within 15 minutes 213, by full time 611)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Since 9 Nov 2024

Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna
—Matches with xG74
—xG for91.82
—Goals scored85
—xG against101.96
—Goals conceded106

Osasuna

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Osasuna: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
26 Oct 2026at Sevilla0.631.200–2
18 Oct 2026v Racing Santander3.650.282–0
11 Oct 2026at Real Betis1.942.892–5
19 Sep 2026v Rayo Vallecano0.531.011–1
16 Sep 2026at Atletico Madrid0.483.990–4
12 Sep 2026v Espanyol1.051.430–2
6 Sep 2026at Alaves1.641.202–5
31 Aug 2026v Getafe1.680.681–0
27 Aug 2026at Celta Vigo2.600.142–1
24 Aug 2026v Levante0.701.280–0

This league season

La Liga matches since 15 Aug 2026.

Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna
10 of 10Matches with xG10 of 10
11Points in those matches11
13.14xPts14.24
11.78xG for14.90
11.81xG against14.10

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna
    Ruled out
    P. Aubameyang (Knee Injury) · M. Casado (Collarbone injury) · Z. Eddahchouri (Wrist Injury) · B. Ede (Hamstring Injury)
  • OsasunaOsasuna
    Ruled out
    R. Del Castillo (Muscle Injury) · J. Herrando (Muscle Injury) · A. Oroz (Hamstring Injury)

Published 2 Nov 2026, 18:58 GMT · not changed since

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