LEDGER
Sign inGo PRO
Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–1Finished
Hamburger SV
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:30 GMTMatchday 8 · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV match analysis

This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sun 1 Nov 2026 and has not been changed since.

Pre-match analysis · as published

How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off

  • 57%Eintracht Frankfurt win
  • 22%Draw
  • 21%Hamburger SV win

PRO analysis

The full analysis is part of PRO

PRO members can read the full analysis exactly as it was published: the evidence and the risks behind our estimate.

See PRO plans

Free on every match: kick-off time, our estimate of each result, form, past meetings and whether we found a signal.

Form · newest first

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt

Last 5: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats

  1. won3–1at Hamburger SV
  2. lost0–1at Borussia Dortmund
  3. won1–0v 1. FC Köln
  4. lost0–6at RB Leipzig
  5. drew2–2v SC Freiburg
Hamburger SVHamburger SV

Last 5: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats

  1. lost1–3v Eintracht Frankfurt
  2. lost0–1at SC Paderborn 07
  3. won1–0v VfB Stuttgart
  4. won3–2at 1899 Hoffenheim
  5. won2–1v 1. FC Köln

Past results

From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.

Trends

  • Eintracht Frankfurt won 28 of 46 matches in which they scored first, since 2 Nov 2024.
  • Hamburger SV avoided defeat in 7 of 23 matches in which their opponent scored first, since 24 Aug 2025.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Eintracht Frankfurt's last 10 home league games.
  • Over 2.5 goals in 7 of Hamburger SV's last 10 away league games.

Last meetings

Meetings in the competitions Ledger covers.

3 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 1, draws 1, Hamburger SV 1

Goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 5, Hamburger SV 4

DateMatchScore
27 Oct 2026Hamburger SV v Eintracht FrankfurtDFB Pokal1–3
2 May 2026Eintracht Frankfurt v Hamburger SV1–2
20 Dec 2025Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt1–1

Home and away

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt at home

Last 5: 1 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost

  • Won1. FC Köln16 Oct 20261–0
  • DrawnSC Freiburg19 Sep 20262–2
  • LostFC Augsburg6 Sep 20261–4
  • DrawnVfB Stuttgart16 May 20262–2
  • LostHamburger SV2 May 20261–2

Eintracht Frankfurt: home league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
16 scored, 15 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
4 of 10
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV away

Last 5: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost

  • LostSC Paderborn 0724 Oct 20260–1
  • Won1899 Hoffenheim10 Oct 20263–2
  • LostRB Leipzig13 Sep 20260–5
  • LostBorussia Dortmund29 Aug 20260–2
  • WonVerlDFB Pokal24 Aug 20263–0

Hamburger SV: away league games

Last 10 league games, 90-minute score

Goals
11 scored, 23 conceded in 10
Both teams scored
6 of 10
Over 2.5 goals
7 of 10
Clean sheets
0 of 10

Rest and schedule

Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.

Eintracht Frankfurt
Last match
5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Hamburger SV · DFB Pokal
Next match
6 days after7 Nov 2026 · v SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Last match
5 days before27 Oct 2026 · v Eintracht Frankfurt · DFB Pokal
Next match
5 days after6 Nov 2026 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga

When the score changes

Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Since 2 Nov 2024

ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
Scored first28 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost in 46 matches614 won, 198 drawn, 128 lost in 940 matches
Conceded first5 won, 10 drawn, 21 lost in 36 matches128 won, 198 drawn, 614 lost in 940 matches
Level at half-time12 won, 13 drawn, 9 lost in 34 matches208 won, 294 drawn, 208 lost in 710 matches
Level after 60 minutes8 won, 14 drawn, 4 lost in 26 matches156 won, 294 drawn, 156 lost in 606 matches
2+ goals up after 70 minutes19 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches334 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost in 344 matches
2+ goals up after 80 minutes20 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost in 20 matches362 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost in 365 matches
Level after 15 minutes24 won, 14 drawn, 18 lost in 56 matches493 won, 366 drawn, 493 lost in 1352 matches
1 goal up after 30 minutes10 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost in 20 matches250 won, 82 drawn, 62 lost in 394 matches
Level after 30 minutes15 won, 15 drawn, 11 lost in 41 matches325 won, 318 drawn, 325 lost in 968 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreEintracht FrankfurtLeague sides
All matches22 scored, 38 conceded (85)723 scored, 723 conceded (1988)
When leading after 75 minutes7 scored, 19 conceded (36)302 scored, 270 conceded (741)
When level after 75 minutes5 scored, 7 conceded (20)151 scored, 151 conceded (506)
When trailing after 75 minutes10 scored, 12 conceded (29)270 scored, 302 conceded (741)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 48 times, equalised within 15 minutes 10, by full time 23(league sides: 1,134 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 516)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

Hamburger SV

Since 24 Aug 2025

ScoreHamburger SVLeague sides
Conceded first4 won, 3 drawn, 16 lost in 23 matches128 won, 198 drawn, 614 lost in 940 matches
Level at half-time5 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost in 21 matches208 won, 294 drawn, 208 lost in 710 matches
Level after 15 minutes9 won, 11 drawn, 15 lost in 35 matches493 won, 366 drawn, 493 lost in 1352 matches
Level after 30 minutes7 won, 10 drawn, 7 lost in 24 matches325 won, 318 drawn, 325 lost in 968 matches

Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.

Goals after 75 minutes
ScoreHamburger SVLeague sides
All matches10 scored, 18 conceded (42)723 scored, 723 conceded (1988)

After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 27 times, equalised within 15 minutes 6, by full time 12(league sides: 1,134 times, within 15 minutes 194, by full time 516)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.

League sides: every team in this league since 18 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.

xG and expected points

Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.

Earlier league matches

Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
67Since 2 Nov 2024Matches with xG41Since 24 Aug 2025
107.30xG for48.50
123Goals scored46
99.11xG against73.39
116Goals conceded70

Eintracht Frankfurt

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Eintracht Frankfurt: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026at Borussia Dortmund0.911.560–1
16 Oct 2026v 1. FC Köln1.840.821–0
10 Oct 2026at RB Leipzig1.464.030–6
19 Sep 2026v SC Freiburg2.183.092–2
12 Sep 2026at FSV Mainz 052.042.123–1
6 Sep 2026v FC Augsburg2.221.131–4
29 Aug 2026at Union Berlin1.471.843–3
16 May 2026v VfB Stuttgart2.561.322–2
8 May 2026at Borussia Dortmund1.121.942–3
2 May 2026v Hamburger SV0.650.621–2

Hamburger SV

xG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)Last matches with xG, oldest on the left
Show the numbers
Hamburger SV: Last matches with xG, newest first
DateOpponentxG forxG againstGoals (tick; no tick = 0)
24 Oct 2026at SC Paderborn 070.491.210–1
17 Oct 2026v VfB Stuttgart1.461.711–0
10 Oct 2026at 1899 Hoffenheim1.280.933–2
19 Sep 2026v 1. FC Köln1.451.412–1
13 Sep 2026at RB Leipzig1.102.430–5
6 Sep 2026v FSV Mainz 050.192.770–5
29 Aug 2026at Borussia Dortmund0.911.530–2
16 May 2026at Bayer Leverkusen1.793.271–1
10 May 2026v SC Freiburg1.980.413–2
2 May 2026at Eintracht Frankfurt0.620.652–1

This league season

Bundesliga matches since 28 Aug 2026.

Eintracht FrankfurtHamburger SV
7 of 7Matches with xG7 of 7
8Points in those matches9
8.87xPts6.70
12.12xG for6.88
14.59xG against11.99

Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.

xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.

PRO depth

PRO depth: Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburger SV

  • Corners won and concededPRO
  • Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
  • Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
  • First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
PRO: these figures for both teams

Injuries and suspensions

  • Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
    Ruled out
    J. Ngankam (Hamstring Injury)
  • Hamburger SVHamburger SV
    Ruled out
    N. Capaldo (Muscle Injury) · B. Nadir (Muscle Injury) · Y. Poulsen (Hip Injury) · N. Remberg (Knee Injury) · F. Vieira (Thigh Injury) · M. Vuskovic (Doping)
    Doubtful
    S. Bornauw (Face Injury)

Published 1 Nov 2026, 15:28 GMT · not changed since

All fixtures