Erzurumspor FK v Eyüpspor match analysis
This analysis was locked at kick-off on Sat 17 Oct 2026 and has not been changed since.
Pre-match analysis · as published
Written before kick-off
Erzurumspor are clear favourites at home with a 46% chance of winning, while Eyüpspor arrive with just one win in their last five matches. Eyüpspor will be without suspended midfielder Abdullahi, with further injury doubts over El Yamiq and Sabiri.
How the match could end · our estimate before kick-off
- 46%Erzurumspor FK win
- 28%Draw
- 26%Eyüpspor win
PRO analysis
The full analysis is part of PRO
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Form · newest first
Erzurumspor FKLast 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat
EyüpsporLast 5: 1 win, no draws, 4 defeats
Head-to-head
Head-to-head data was not available for this match.
Past results
From stored results before kick-off. Each figure shows how many games it covers.
Trends
- Süper Lig, since 11 Aug 2023: home sides leading by one goal after 70 minutes won 197 of 252.
- Eyüpspor won 18 of 31 matches in which they scored first, since 19 Oct 2024.
- Eyüpspor without a win in their last 5 away games.
Home and away
Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK at home
Last 3: 2 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
- WonSamsunspor20 Sep 20261–0
- WonKonyaspor5 Sep 20261–0
- LostGalatasaray21 Aug 20260–4
EyüpsporEyüpspor away
Last 5: 0 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost
- LostFenerbahçe20 Sep 20260–8
- LostÇorum FK6 Sep 20260–3
- LostBeşiktaş16 Aug 20260–1
- DrawnFenerbahçe17 May 20263–3
- DrawnKayserispor3 May 20261–1
Eyüpspor: away league games
Last 10 league games, 90-minute score
- Goals
- 7 scored, 26 conceded in 10
- Both teams scored
- 4 of 10
- Over 2.5 goals
- 6 of 10
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 10
Rest and schedule
Days since each team's last match and until its next one, in the competitions Ledger tracks. Friendlies are left out.
Erzurumspor FK- Last match
- 7 days before10 Oct 2026 · v Alanyaspor · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig
Eyüpspor- Last match
- 5 days before12 Oct 2026 · v Göztepe · Süper Lig
- Next match
- 7 days after24 Oct 2026 · v Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig
When the score changes
Each team's results from a given score, in its covered competitions since 19 Oct 2024. Every figure shows how many matches it covers.
Eyüpspor
| Score | Eyüpspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 18 won, 10 drawn, 3 lost in 31 matches | 663 won, 198 drawn, 146 lost in 1007 matches |
| Conceded first | 3 won, 1 drawn, 31 lost in 35 matches | 146 won, 198 drawn, 663 lost in 1007 matches |
| Level at half-time | 5 won, 10 drawn, 13 lost in 28 matches | 271 won, 326 drawn, 271 lost in 868 matches |
| Level after 60 minutes | 6 won, 9 drawn, 10 lost in 25 matches | 197 won, 338 drawn, 197 lost in 732 matches |
| Level after 70 minutes | 5 won, 7 drawn, 9 lost in 21 matches | 156 won, 380 drawn, 156 lost in 692 matches |
| Level after 15 minutes | 11 won, 11 drawn, 24 lost in 46 matches | 542 won, 460 drawn, 542 lost in 1544 matches |
| Level after 30 minutes | 7 won, 8 drawn, 20 lost in 35 matches | 394 won, 356 drawn, 394 lost in 1144 matches |
Won-drawn-lost (matches), on the 90-minute score.
| Score | Eyüpspor | League sides |
|---|---|---|
| All matches | 16 scored, 32 conceded (69) | 739 scored, 739 conceded (2184) |
| When leading after 75 minutes | 7 scored, 10 conceded (22) | 291 scored, 259 conceded (760) |
| When trailing after 75 minutes | 3 scored, 16 conceded (28) | 259 scored, 291 conceded (760) |
After going a goal down before the 76th minute: 36 times, equalised within 15 minutes 3, by full time 8(league sides: 1,165 times, within 15 minutes 204, by full time 522)Stoppage time counts as no extra minutes.
League sides: every team in this league since 11 Aug 2023, both venues, each match counted once for each side. Shown for context, not as a comparison.
xG and expected points
Each team's xG and points from its own earlier league matches, before this kick-off. Facts about past matches, not a forecast for this one.
Since 19 Oct 2024
| Erzurumspor FK | Eyüpspor | |
|---|---|---|
| — | Matches with xG | 69 |
| — | xG for | 79.80 |
| — | Goals scored | 74 |
| — | xG against | 111.02 |
| — | Goals conceded | 105 |
Eyüpspor
Show the numbers
| Date | Opponent | xG for | xG against | Goals (tick; no tick = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | v Göztepe | 1.33 | 3.15 | 0–4 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | at Fenerbahçe | 0.72 | 5.14 | 0–8 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | v Rizespor | 1.42 | 2.05 | 0–2 |
| 6 Sep 2026 | at Çorum FK | 0.73 | 2.58 | 0–3 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | v Alanyaspor | 1.48 | 0.66 | 2–1 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | v Gaziantep FK | 0.49 | 1.16 | 0–1 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | at Beşiktaş | 0.09 | 1.28 | 0–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | at Fenerbahçe | 0.52 | 1.33 | 3–3 |
| 9 May 2026 | v Rizespor | 1.67 | 0.75 | 4–0 |
| 3 May 2026 | at Kayserispor | 0.90 | 1.46 | 1–1 |
This league season
Süper Lig matches since 14 Aug 2026.
| Erzurumspor FK | Eyüpspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 of 7 | Matches with xG | 7 of 7 |
| 8 | Points in those matches | 3 |
| 7.02 | xPts | 5.11 |
| 5.72 | xG for | 6.26 |
| 10.52 | xG against | 16.02 |
Each figure is a total over the matches shown beside it.
xG: API-Football. xPts: Ledger, from xG with a Poisson model that treats the two teams' goals as independent. That model slightly under-counts draws, so xPts totals come out a little high.
PRO depth
PRO depth: Erzurumspor FK and Eyüpspor
- Corners won and concededPRO
- Shots and shots on target, for and againstPRO
- Yellow cards, own and opponent'sPRO
- First-half goals, scored and concededPRO
Injuries and suspensions
- Doubtful
- G. Kerk (Injury)
- Ruled out
- A. Abdullahi (Red Card)
- Doubtful
- J. El Yamiq (Inactive) · A. Sabiri (Muscle Injury)
Published 17 Oct 2026, 10:27 BST · not changed since
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